HKDSE · Answers & Marking Scheme

2022 HKDSE Mathematics M1 (Calculus and Statistics) Answers & Marking Scheme

Thinka 2022 DSE-Style Mock — Mathematics M1 (Calculus and Statistics)

100 marks150 mins2022
An original Thinka practice paper modelled on the structure and difficulty of that year's HKDSE paper. Not affiliated with or reproduced from the HKEAA.

Section A

Answer ALL questions in this section. Write your answers in the spaces provided.
8 Question · 50 marks
Question 1 · Short Questions (5 marks)
5 marks
In the expansion of \(\left(1 + \frac{x}{k}\right)^n\) in ascending powers of \(x\), where \(n\) is a positive integer and \(k\) is a non-zero real number, the coefficient of \(x\) is \(2\) and the coefficient of \(x^2\) is \(\frac{3}{2}\). Find the values of \(n\) and \(k\).

Answer

n = 4, k = 2

Worked solution

By binomial expansion, \(\left(1 + \frac{x}{k}\right)^n = 1 + \binom{n}{1}\left(\frac{x}{k}\right) + \binom{n}{2}\left(\frac{x}{k}\right)^2 + \dots = 1 + \frac{n}{k}x + \frac{n(n-1)}{2k^2}x^2 + \dots\). Comparing coefficients: \(\frac{n}{k} = 2\) --- (1), and \(\frac{n(n-1)}{2k^2} = \frac{3}{2}\) --- (2). From (1), we have \(k = \frac{n}{2}\). Substituting \(k = \frac{n}{2}\) into (2): \(\frac{n(n-1)}{2\left(\frac{n}{2}\right)^2} = \frac{3}{2}\), which simplifies to \(\frac{2(n-1)}{n} = \frac{3}{2}\), then \(4n - 4 = 3n\), so \(n = 4\). Since \(k = \frac{n}{2}\), we have \(k = 2\).

Marking scheme

1M for binomial expansion up to \(x^2\) term. 1M for setting up both equations. 1M for substitution to eliminate one variable. 1A for \(n = 4\). 1A for \(k = 2\).
Question 2 · Short Questions (5 marks)
5 marks
Box \(X\) contains 3 red balls and 2 blue balls. Box \(Y\) contains 2 red balls and 4 blue balls. A fair die is rolled. If the result is 1 or 2, a ball is randomly drawn from Box \(X\); otherwise, a ball is randomly drawn from Box \(Y\). (a) Find the probability that a red ball is drawn. (b) Given that a red ball is drawn, find the probability that the die rolled was 1 or 2.

Answer

(a) 19/45, (b) 9/19

Worked solution

Let \(R\) be the event of drawing a red ball, \(X\) be the event of choosing Box \(X\) (i.e., rolling 1 or 2), and \(Y\) be the event of choosing Box \(Y\) (i.e., rolling 3, 4, 5, or 6). We have \(P(X) = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}\) and \(P(Y) = \frac{4}{6} = \frac{2}{3}\). (a) By the law of total probability, \(P(R) = P(X)P(R|X) + P(Y)P(R|Y) = \frac{1}{3} \cdot \frac{3}{5} + \frac{2}{3} \cdot \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{5} + \frac{2}{9} = \frac{19}{45}\). (b) By Bayes' Theorem, the required probability is \(P(X|R) = \frac{P(X \cap R)}{P(R)} = \frac{P(X)P(R|X)}{P(R)} = \frac{\frac{1}{3} \cdot \frac{3}{5}}{\frac{19}{45}} = \frac{1/5}{19/45} = \frac{9}{19}\).

Marking scheme

(a) 1M for summing the two conditional cases, 1A for \(\frac{19}{45}\). (b) 1M for the conditional probability definition, 1M for substitution of calculated values, 1A for \(\frac{9}{19}\).
Question 3 · Short Questions
6 marks
In the expansion of \((1 + ax)^n (1 - 3x)^2\), where \(n\) is a positive integer and \(a\) is a non-zero constant, the coefficient of \(x\) is \(4\) and the coefficient of \(x^2\) is \(-11\). Find the values of \(a\) and \(n\).

Answer

a = 2, n = 5

Worked solution

We have \((1+ax)^n = 1 + nax + \frac{n(n-1)}{2}a^2 x^2 + \dots\) and \((1-3x)^2 = 1 - 6x + 9x^2\). In the expansion of \((1+ax)^n(1-3x)^2\), the coefficient of \(x\) is given by \(na(1) + 1(-6) = 4\), which simplifies to \(na = 10\) (Equation 1). The coefficient of \(x^2\) is given by \(\frac{n(n-1)}{2}a^2(1) + na(-6) + 1(9) = -11\), which simplifies to \(\frac{n(n-1)a^2}{2} - 6na + 9 = -11\) (Equation 2). Substituting Equation 1 into Equation 2, we get \(\frac{na(n-1)a}{2} - 6(10) + 9 = -11\), which gives \(\frac{10(n-1)a}{2} - 60 + 9 = -11\), so \(5a(n-1) - 51 = -11\), which simplifies to \(a(n-1) = 8\) (Equation 3). From Equation 1, we have \(a = \frac{10}{n}\). Substituting this into Equation 3 yields \(\frac{10}{n}(n-1) = 8\), which simplifies to \(10n - 10 = 8n\), so \(2n = 10\), giving \(n = 5\). Finally, substituting \(n = 5\) into Equation 1 gives \(5a = 10\), which yields \(a = 2\). Thus, \(a = 2\) and \(n = 5\).

Marking scheme

For expanding both terms correctly up to \(x^2\) (can be implicit): 1M. For obtaining \(na = 10\): 1M. For obtaining \(\frac{n(n-1)}{2}a^2 - 6na + 9 = -11\): 1M. For solving the simultaneous equations (substituting \(na=10\) or equivalent): 1M. For finding \(n = 5\): 1A. For finding \(a = 2\): 1A.
Question 4 · Short Questions
6 marks
Consider the curve \(C: y = \frac{e^{2x}}{x-1}\) for \(x > 1\). (a) Find \(\frac{\mathrm{d}y}{\mathrm{d}x}\). (2 marks) (b) Find the coordinates of the local minimum point of \(C\). (4 marks)

Answer

(a) \frac{\mathrm{d}y}{\mathrm{d}x} = \frac{e^{2x}(2x-3)}{(x-1)^2}, (b) (1.5, 2e^3)

Worked solution

(a) Using the quotient rule, we have \(\frac{\mathrm{d}y}{\mathrm{d}x} = \frac{\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}x}(e^{2x})(x-1) - e^{2x}\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}x}(x-1)}{(x-1)^2} = \frac{2e^{2x}(x-1) - e^{2x}(1)}{(x-1)^2} = \frac{e^{2x}(2x-3)}{(x-1)^2}\). (b) To find the stationary points, set \(\frac{\mathrm{d}y}{\mathrm{d}x} = 0\). Since \(e^{2x} > 0\) and \(x > 1\), we have \(2x - 3 = 0\), which gives \(x = 1.5\). Using the first derivative test: For \(1 < x < 1.5\), \(2x-3 < 0\) so \(\frac{\mathrm{d}y}{\mathrm{d}x} < 0\). For \(x > 1.5\), \(2x-3 > 0\) so \(\frac{\mathrm{d}y}{\mathrm{d}x} > 0\). Therefore, \(C\) has a local minimum at \(x = 1.5\). When \(x = 1.5\), the \(y\)-coordinate is \(y = \frac{e^{2(1.5)}}{1.5-1} = \frac{e^3}{0.5} = 2e^3\). Thus, the coordinates of the local minimum point of \(C\) are \((1.5, 2e^3)\).

Marking scheme

(a) For applying quotient rule (or product rule): 1M. For correct simplified expression: 1A. (b) For setting \(\frac{\mathrm{d}y}{\mathrm{d}x} = 0\): 1M. For finding \(x = 1.5\): 1A. For showing that this is a local minimum: 1M. For finding the \(y\)-coordinate and presenting the correct point \((1.5, 2e^3)\): 1A.
Question 5 · Short Questions
7 marks
In the expansion of \((1 + kx)^n (1 - 2x)^5\), where \(n\) is a positive integer and \(k\) is a constant, the coefficients of \(x\) and \(x^2\) are \(-2\) and \(-16\) respectively. Find the values of \(n\) and \(k\).

Answer

n = 4, k = 2

Worked solution

Using binomial expansion: \((1 + kx)^n = 1 + nkx + \frac{n(n-1)k^2}{2}x^2 + \dots\) and \((1 - 2x)^5 = 1 - 10x + 40x^2 - \dots\). Product expansion up to the \(x^2\) term: \((1 + kx)^n (1 - 2x)^5 = (1 + nkx + \frac{n(n-1)k^2}{2}x^2 + \dots)(1 - 10x + 40x^2 - \dots)\). The coefficient of \(x\) is \(nk - 10 = -2\), which gives \(nk = 8\) (Equation 1). The coefficient of \(x^2\) is \(40 - 10nk + \frac{n(n-1)k^2}{2} = -16\) (Equation 2). Substitute \(nk = 8\) into Equation 2: \(40 - 10(8) + \frac{n^2k^2 - nk^2}{2} = -16\), \(-40 + \frac{64 - 8k}{2} = -16\), \(-40 + 32 - 4k = -16\), \(-8 - 4k = -16\), \(4k = 8\), \(k = 2\). Substitute \(k = 2\) into Equation 1: \(n(2) = 8\), which gives \(n = 4\).

Marking scheme

1M: Correct general expansion terms. 1M: Setting up coefficient equation of x. 1A: For nk = 8. 1M: Setting up coefficient equation of x^2. 1M: Substituting nk = 8 into the coefficient equation of x^2. 1A: For k = 2. 1A: For n = 4.
Question 6 · Short Questions
7 marks
A software system contains code written by two programmers, Alice and Bob. Alice wrote \(60\%\) of the code, and Bob wrote the remaining \(40\%\). It is known that \(2\%\) of the lines of code written by Alice contain errors, while \(5\%\) of the lines of code written by Bob contain errors. A line of code is randomly selected. (a) Find the probability that the selected line of code contains an error. (b) Given that the selected line of code contains an error, find the probability that it was written by Bob.

Answer

(a) 0.032 ; (b) 0.625

Worked solution

Let \(A\) be the event that the code is written by Alice, \(B\) be the event that the code is written by Bob, and \(E\) be the event that the code contains an error. Given: \(P(A) = 0.60\), \(P(B) = 0.40\), \(P(E|A) = 0.02\), \(P(E|B) = 0.05\). (a) By the law of total probability: \(P(E) = P(A)P(E|A) + P(B)P(E|B) = (0.60)(0.02) + (0.40)(0.05) = 0.012 + 0.020 = 0.032\). (b) By Bayes' theorem: \(P(B|E) = \frac{P(B \cap E)}{P(E)} = \frac{P(B)P(E|B)}{P(E)} = \frac{(0.40)(0.05)}{0.032} = \frac{0.020}{0.032} = 0.625\).

Marking scheme

(a) 1M: Applying total probability formula. 1M: Correct substitution of values. 1A: Correct answer (0.032 or 4/125). (b) 1M: Applying Bayes' theorem formula. 1M: Correct numerator. 1M: Dividing by the answer in (a). 1A: Correct answer (0.625 or 5/8).
Question 7 · Short Questions
7 marks
The profit \(P\) (in million dollars) of a startup company \(t\) years after its establishment is modeled by \(P(t) = 12 t^2 e^{-0.5t} + 5\) for \(t \ge 0\). (a) Find \(\frac{\mathrm{d}P}{\mathrm{d}t}\). (b) Determine the value of \(t\) at which the profit is maximum. Hence, find the maximum profit of the company, leaving your answer in terms of \(e\).

Answer

(a) 6t e^{-0.5t} (4 - t) ; (b) t = 4, maximum profit is 192 e^{-2} + 5 million dollars

Worked solution

(a) Using the product rule and chain rule: \(\frac{\mathrm{d}P}{\mathrm{d}t} = 12 \left( \frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}t}(t^2) e^{-0.5t} + t^2 \frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}t}(e^{-0.5t}) \right) = 12 \left( 2t e^{-0.5t} + t^2 (-0.5 e^{-0.5t}) \right) = 12 e^{-0.5t} (2t - 0.5t^2) = 6t e^{-0.5t} (4 - t)\). (b) Set \(\frac{\mathrm{d}P}{\mathrm{d}t} = 0\): \(6t e^{-0.5t} (4 - t) = 0\). Since \(t > 0\) for critical values within the range and \(e^{-0.5t} > 0\), we get \(t = 4\). For \(0 < t < 4\), \(\frac{\mathrm{d}P}{\mathrm{d}t} > 0\); for \(t > 4\), \(\frac{\mathrm{d}P}{\mathrm{d}t} < 0\). Hence, \(P\) attains its maximum at \(t = 4\). The maximum profit is \(P(4) = 12(4)^2 e^{-0.5(4)} + 5 = 12(16) e^{-2} + 5 = 192 e^{-2} + 5\) million dollars.

Marking scheme

(a) 1M: Applying product rule. 1M: Correct derivative of e^{-0.5t}. 1A: Correct derivative expression. (b) 1M: Set derivative to zero and solve for t. 1A: t = 4. 1M: Performing first derivative test to verify maximum. 1A: Maximum profit = 192 e^{-2} + 5.
Question 8 · Short Questions
7 marks
Let \(C\) be a curve passing through the point \((0, 4)\). It is given that the slope of the tangent to \(C\) at any point \((x, y)\) is given by \(\frac{\mathrm{d}y}{\mathrm{d}x} = x \sqrt{2x^2 + 9}\). Find the equation of \(C\).

Answer

y = \frac{1}{6} (2x^2 + 9)^{3/2} - \frac{1}{2}

Worked solution

We integrate \(\frac{\mathrm{d}y}{\mathrm{d}x}\) to find the equation of \(C\): \(y = \int x \sqrt{2x^2 + 9} \mathrm{d}x\). Let \(u = 2x^2 + 9\). Then \(\mathrm{d}u = 4x \mathrm{d}x\), which gives \(x \mathrm{d}x = \frac{1}{4} \mathrm{d}u\). Substituting these into the integral: \(y = \int \sqrt{u} \cdot \frac{1}{4} \mathrm{d}u = \frac{1}{4} \int u^{1/2} \mathrm{d}u = \frac{1}{4} \left( \frac{u^{3/2}}{3/2} \right) + C = \frac{1}{6} u^{3/2} + C = \frac{1}{6} (2x^2 + 9)^{3/2} + C\), where \(C\) is a constant. Since the curve passes through \((0, 4)\), substitute \(x = 0\) and \(y = 4\): \(4 = \frac{1}{6} (2(0)^2 + 9)^{3/2} + C\), \(4 = \frac{1}{6} (27) + C\), \(4 = 4.5 + C\), \(C = -0.5\). Thus, the equation of the curve \(C\) is \(y = \frac{1}{6} (2x^2 + 9)^{3/2} - \frac{1}{2}\).

Marking scheme

1M: Expressing equation as indefinite integral. 1M: Using integration by substitution method. 1A: Correct rewritten integral in terms of u. 1M: Integrating u^{1/2}. 1A: Correct expression with C. 1M: Substituting (0, 4) to solve for C. 1A: Correct final equation of curve.

Section B

Answer ALL questions in this section. Write your answers in the spaces provided.
4 Question · 50 marks
Question 1 · Structured Questions
11 marks
The rate of change of the mass of a certain chemical substance \(X\) in a chemical reaction tank, in grams per week, is modeled by \( \frac{dX}{dt} = \frac{80 \ln(t+1)}{(t+1)^2} \) where \(t\) (\(t \ge 0\)) is the number of weeks elapsed since the reaction started.\n(a) Find the value of \(t\) at which the rate of change of the mass of chemical \(X\) is maximum. (4 marks)\n(b) (i) Using integration by parts, find \( \int \frac{\ln(t+1)}{(t+1)^2} dt \). (3 marks)\n(ii) It is given that the initial mass of chemical \(X\) in the tank is 100 grams. Find the mass of chemical \(X\) in the tank after 5 weeks, correct to 2 decimal places. (4 marks)

Answer

en: (a) \(t = e^{0.5} - 1\) weeks; (b)(i) \(-\frac{\ln(t+1) + 1}{t+1} + C\); (ii) \(142.78\) grams | zh: (a) \(t = e^{0.5} - 1\) 星期; (b)(i) \(-\frac{\ln(t+1) + 1}{t+1} + C\); (ii) \(142.78\) 克

Worked solution

(a) Let \(R(t) = \frac{80 \ln(t+1)}{(t+1)^2}\) for \(t \ge 0\).\n\(R'(t) = 80 \cdot \frac{\frac{1}{t+1}(t+1)^2 - \ln(t+1) \cdot 2(t+1)}{(t+1)^4} = \frac{80[1 - 2\ln(t+1)]}{(t+1)^3}\).\nSet \(R'(t) = 0\), we have \(1 - 2\ln(t+1) = 0 \Rightarrow \ln(t+1) = 0.5 \Rightarrow t = e^{0.5} - 1\).\nFor \(0 \le t < e^{0.5} - 1\), \(R'(t) > 0\); for \(t > e^{0.5} - 1\), \(R'(t) < 0\).\nTherefore, \(R(t)\) is maximum when \(t = e^{0.5} - 1\) weeks.\n\n(b) (i) Let \(u = t+1\), then \(du = dt\).\n\(\int \frac{\ln(t+1)}{(t+1)^2} dt = \int \frac{\ln u}{u^2} du = \int \ln u d(-u^{-1}) = -\frac{\ln u}{u} - \int -u^{-1} \cdot \frac{1}{u} du = -\frac{\ln u}{u} + \int u^{-2} du = -\frac{\ln u + 1}{u} + C = -\frac{\ln(t+1) + 1}{t+1} + C\).\n\n(ii) \(X(t) = \int \frac{dX}{dt} dt = -80 \cdot \frac{\ln(t+1) + 1}{t+1} + C\).\nUsing \(X(0) = 100\):\n\(100 = -80 \cdot \frac{\ln(1) + 1}{1} + C \Rightarrow 100 = -80 + C \Rightarrow C = 180\).\nSo \(X(t) = 180 - \frac{80(\ln(t+1) + 1)}{t+1}\).\nWhen \(t = 5\):\n\(X(5) = 180 - \frac{80(\ln(6) + 1)}{6} = \frac{500 - 40\ln(6)}{3} \approx 142.78\) grams.\nThe mass of chemical \(X\) after 5 weeks is \(142.78\) grams.

Marking scheme

(a) 1M for quotient rule, 1A for finding \(R'(t)\), 1M for solving \(R'(t) = 0\), 1A for identifying maximum with justification.\n(b)(i) 1M for integration by parts, 1M for intermediate integration, 1A for final answer with C.\n(b)(ii) 1M for integrating dX/dt, 1M for using initial condition to find C, 1A for correct X(t), 1A for correct mass at t=5 (accept exact value or rounded correct to 2 decimal places).
Question 2 · Structured Questions
12 marks
The concentration of a pollutant in a water sample, \(C(t)\) (in ppm), at \(t\) hours after a chemical treatment is initiated, is modeled by\n\(C(t) = \frac{a t + b}{t^2 + 3}\) for \(t \ge 0\),\nwhere \(a\) and \(b\) are constants.\nIt is given that the initial concentration of the pollutant is \(4\text{ ppm}\), and the rate of change of the concentration of the pollutant is \(0\text{ ppm/hour}\) when \(t = 1\).\n\n(a) Find the values of \(a\) and \(b\). (4 marks)\n\n(b) Show that the concentration of the pollutant is decreasing for \(t > 1\). (2 marks)\n\n(c) Find the rate of change of the concentration of the pollutant when \(t = 3\). (2 marks)\n\n(d) Let \(C''(t)\) be the second derivative of \(C(t)\).\n(i) Find \(C''(t)\).\n(ii) A researcher claims that the rate of decrease of the concentration of the pollutant is the fastest when \(t = 3\). Do you agree? Explain your answer. (4 marks)

Answer

a = 12, b = 12, C'(3) = -1, C''(t) = 24(t^3 + 3t^2 - 9t - 3)/(t^2+3)^3, Disagree

Worked solution

(a) Since the initial concentration is \(4\text{ ppm}\),\n\(C(0) = 4 \implies \frac{b}{3} = 4 \implies b = 12\).\n\nNext, we have \(C(t) = \frac{at + 12}{t^2 + 3}\).\nBy the quotient rule:\n\(C'(t) = \frac{a(t^2 + 3) - 2t(at + 12)}{(t^2 + 3)^2} = \frac{-at^2 - 24t + 3a}{(t^2 + 3)^2}\).\nSince the rate of change at \(t = 1\) is \(0\), we have \(C'(1) = 0\):\n\(\frac{-a(1)^2 - 24(1) + 3a}{(1^2 + 3)^2} = 0\)\n\(2a - 24 = 0 \implies a = 12\).\n\n(b) Substituting \(a = 12\) into \(C'(t)\):\n\(C'(t) = \frac{-12t^2 - 24t + 36}{(t^2 + 3)^2} = \frac{-12(t-1)(t+3)}{(t^2 + 3)^2}\).\nFor \(t > 1\), we have \(t-1 > 0\), \(t+3 > 0\), and \((t^2 + 3)^2 > 0\).\nTherefore, \(C'(t) < 0\) for all \(t > 1\).\nThus, the concentration of the pollutant is decreasing for \(t > 1\).\n\n(c) When \(t = 3\):\n\(C'(3) = \frac{-12(3-1)(3+3)}{(3^2 + 3)^2} = \frac{-12(2)(6)}{144} = -1\text{ ppm/hour}\).\n\n(d) (i) Differentiating \(C'(t) = \frac{-12t^2 - 24t + 36}{(t^2 + 3)^2}\) with respect to \(t\) again:\nLet \(u = -12t^2 - 24t + 36 \implies u' = -24t - 24\)\nLet \(v = (t^2 + 3)^2 \implies v' = 4t(t^2 + 3)\)\nUsing the quotient rule:\n\(C''(t) = \frac{(-24t-24)(t^2+3)^2 - (-12t^2-24t+36)(4t(t^2+3))}{(t^2+3)^4}\)\n\(C''(t) = \frac{(-24t-24)(t^2+3) - 4t(-12t^2-24t+36)}{(t^2+3)^3}\)\n\(C''(t) = \frac{(-24t^3 - 24t^2 - 72t - 72) + (48t^3 + 96t^2 - 144t)}{(t^2+3)^3}\)\n\(C''(t) = \frac{24t^3 + 72t^2 - 216t - 72}{(t^2+3)^3} = \frac{24(t^3 + 3t^2 - 9t - 3)}{(t^2+3)^3}\).\n\n(ii) Let \(R(t) = -C'(t)\) be the rate of decrease. To maximize \(R(t)\), we need \(R'(t) = -C''(t) = 0\).\nWhen \(t = 3\):\n\(C''(3) = \frac{24(3^3 + 3(3^2) - 9(3) - 3)}{(3^2+3)^3} = \frac{24(24)}{12^3} = \frac{576}{1728} = \frac{1}{3} \neq 0\).\nSince \(R'(3) = -C''(3) = -\frac{1}{3} \neq 0\), \(t = 3\) is not a stationary point of \(R(t)\).\nHence, the rate of decrease is not the fastest when \(t = 3\). The researcher's claim is incorrect (disagree).

Marking scheme

(a) \n- 1M for substituting \(t=0\) into \(C(t) = 4\) \n- 1A for \(b=12\) \n- 1M for finding \(C'(t)\) using quotient rule and setting \(C'(1) = 0\) \n- 1A for \(a=12\)\n\n(b) \n- 1M for factorizing \(C'(t) = \frac{-12(t-1)(t+3)}{(t^2+3)^2}\) \n- 1A for concluding \(C'(t) < 0\) for \(t > 1\) with clear explanation\n\n(c) \n- 1M for substituting \(t=3\) into \(C'(t)\) \n- 1A for \(-1\text{ ppm/hour}\) (accept \(-1\))\n\n(d)(i) \n- 1M for differentiating \(C'(t)\) using quotient rule \n- 1A for \(C''(t) = \frac{24(t^3 + 3t^2 - 9t - 3)}{(t^2+3)^3}\) (or equivalent simplified form)\n\n(d)(ii) \n- 1M for substituting \(t=3\) into \(C''(t)\) to find \(C''(3) = \frac{1}{3}\) \n- 1A for explaining \(C''(3) \neq 0\) hence \(R'(3) \neq 0\) and concluding disagree
Question 3 · Structured
13 marks
A company introduces a new product. The sales rate \( S(t) \) (in thousands of units per month) of the product at time \( t \) months (where \( t \ge 0 \)) is modeled by
\( S(t) = \frac{a \ln(t+1) + b}{t+1} \),
where \( a \) and \( b \) are positive constants.

(a) Show that the maximum value of \( S(t) \) occurs at \( t = e^{1 - \frac{b}{a}} - 1 \). (4 marks)

(b) It is given that the maximum sales rate of the product is \( 12 \) thousand units per month, and this maximum occurs at \( t = 1 \) month.
(i) Find the values of \( a \) and \( b \).
(ii) Hence, find the sales rate at the start of the product launch (i.e. at \( t = 0 \)). (4 marks)

(c) The total sales of the product over the first \( T \) months (in thousands of units) is given by \( I(T) = \int_0^T S(t) dt \).
(i) Using the substitution \( u = \ln(t+1) \), find \( I(T) \) in terms of \( T \).
(ii) The marketing department claims that the total sales of the product will exceed 50 thousand units within the first 5 months. Do you agree? Explain your answer. (5 marks)

Answer

(a) S'(t) = 0 implies t = e^(1-b/a) - 1; (b)(i) a = 24, b = 24 - 24 ln 2 approx 7.36; (ii) 7.36 thousand units per month; (c)(i) I(T) = 12(ln(T+1))^2 + (24 - 24 ln 2)ln(T+1); (ii) I(5) approx 51.7 > 50, Agree.

Worked solution

(a) Using the quotient rule, we have:
\( S'(t) = \frac{\frac{d}{dt}[a \ln(t+1) + b] \cdot (t+1) - [a \ln(t+1) + b] \cdot \frac{d}{dt}(t+1)}{(t+1)^2} \)
\( S'(t) = \frac{\frac{a}{t+1}(t+1) - (a \ln(t+1) + b)}{(t+1)^2} \)
\( S'(t) = \frac{a - b - a \ln(t+1)}{(t+1)^2} \)
Set \( S'(t) = 0 \):
\( a - b - a \ln(t+1) = 0 \implies \ln(t+1) = 1 - \frac{b}{a} \)
\( t+1 = e^{1 - \frac{b}{a}} \implies t = e^{1 - \frac{b}{a}} - 1 \)
Since \( a > 0 \):
For \( t < e^{1 - \frac{b}{a}} - 1 \), \( \ln(t+1) < 1 - \frac{b}{a} \implies S'(t) > 0 \).
For \( t > e^{1 - \frac{b}{a}} - 1 \), \( \ln(t+1) > 1 - \frac{b}{a} \implies S'(t) < 0 \).
Therefore, the maximum value of \( S(t) \) occurs at \( t = e^{1 - \frac{b}{a}} - 1 \).

(b)(i) Since the maximum occurs at \( t = 1 \):
\( e^{1 - \frac{b}{a}} - 1 = 1 \implies e^{1 - \frac{b}{a}} = 2 \implies 1 - \frac{b}{a} = \ln 2 \implies b = a(1 - \ln 2) \) --- (1)
Also, the maximum value is 12:
\( S(1) = 12 \implies \frac{a \ln 2 + b}{2} = 12 \implies a \ln 2 + b = 24 \) --- (2)
Substitute (1) into (2):
\( a \ln 2 + a(1 - \ln 2) = 24 \implies a = 24 \)
Substitute \( a = 24 \) back into (1):
\( b = 24(1 - \ln 2) = 24 - 24 \ln 2 \approx 7.36 \)
(ii) At \( t = 0 \):
\( S(0) = \frac{a \ln(1) + b}{1} = b = 24 - 24 \ln 2 \approx 7.36 \) thousand units per month.

(c)(i) \( I(T) = \int_0^T \frac{24 \ln(t+1) + b}{t+1} dt \)
Let \( u = \ln(t+1) \). Then \( du = \frac{1}{t+1} dt \).
When \( t = 0 \), \( u = 0 \).
When \( t = T \), \( u = \ln(T+1) \).
\( I(T) = \int_0^{\ln(T+1)} (24u + b) du = [12u^2 + bu]_0^{\ln(T+1)} = 12(\ln(T+1))^2 + b \ln(T+1) \)
Thus, \( I(T) = 12(\ln(T+1))^2 + (24 - 24 \ln 2)\ln(T+1) \).
(ii) Substitute \( T = 5 \) into the expression:
\( I(5) = 12(\ln 6)^2 + (24 - 24 \ln 2)\ln 6 \)
Since \( \ln 6 \approx 1.791759 \) and \( 24 - 24 \ln 2 \approx 7.364444 \):
\( I(5) \approx 12(1.791759)^2 + 7.364444(1.791759) \approx 38.5249 + 13.1953 = 51.7202 \) thousand units.
Since \( 51.7202 > 50 \), the total sales will exceed 50 thousand units. Thus, the claim is agreed.

Marking scheme

(a)
1M: For quotient rule differentiation.
1A: For \( S'(t) = \frac{a - b - a\ln(t+1)}{(t+1)^2} \).
1M: For setting \( S'(t) = 0 \) and solving for \( t \).
1A: For explaining the first derivative test to show it is a maximum.

(b)(i)
1M: For using (a) to set up \( e^{1-b/a} - 1 = 1 \) or equivalent.
1M: For using \( S(1) = 12 \) to set up equation.
1A: For \( a = 24 \) and \( b = 24 - 24\ln 2 \) (or \( b \approx 7.36 \)).
(b)(ii)
1A: For finding \( S(0) \approx 7.36 \) (accept 7.36 to 7.4).

(c)(i)
1M: For substitution \( u = \ln(t+1) \) and \( du = \frac{1}{t+1} dt \).
1M: For integration to get \( 12u^2 + bu \).
1A: For \( I(T) = 12(\ln(T+1))^2 + (24 - 24 \ln 2)\ln(T+1) \).
(c)(ii)
1M: For substituting \( T = 5 \) and calculating \( I(5) \).
1A: For finding \( I(5) \approx 51.7 > 50 \) and concluding "Agree".
Question 4 · Structured Question
14 marks
A chemical factory releases pollutants into a lake. Let \(A(t)\) (in \(\text{kg}\)) be the total amount of pollutant in the lake at time \(t\) days, where \(t \ge 0\). Initially, there are \(20\text{ kg}\) of pollutant in the lake. The rate of change of the amount of pollutant in the lake is modeled by:
$$\frac{dA}{dt} = \begin{cases} t \sqrt{4-t} & \text{for } 0 \le t \le 4 \\\\ \frac{k \ln(t-3)}{(t-3)^2} & \text{for } t > 4 \end{cases}$$
where \(k\) is a positive constant.

(a) (i) Find \(\int_0^4 t \sqrt{4-t} dt\).
(ii) Hence, find the amount of pollutant in the lake at \(t=4\).
(4 marks)

(b) Assume that \(A(t)\) is continuous at \(t=4\).
(i) Using the substitution \(u = t-3\), find \(\int \frac{\ln(t-3)}{(t-3)^2} dt\).
(ii) It is given that as \(t \to \infty\), the total amount of pollutant in the lake approaches a maximum level of \(40\text{ kg}\). Show that \(k = \frac{172}{15}\).
(7 marks)

(c) Let \(k = \frac{172}{15}\).
(i) Using the trapezoidal rule with 2 subintervals, estimate the increase in the amount of pollutant in the lake from \(t=6\) to \(t=10\).
(ii) Determine whether the estimate in (c)(i) is an overestimate or an underestimate. Explain your answer.
(3 marks)

Answer

3.33

Worked solution

(a) (i) Let \(u = 4-t\). Then \(dt = -du\).
When \(t = 0\), \(u = 4\); when \(t = 4\), \(u = 0\).
\\begin{aligned}
\\int_0^4 t \\sqrt{4-t} dt &= \\int_4^0 (4-u) \\sqrt{u} (-du) \\\\
&= \\int_0^4 (4u^{1/2} - u^{3/2}) du \\\\
&= \\left[ \\frac{8}{3}u^{3/2} - \\frac{2}{5}u^{5/2} \\right]_0^4 \\\\
&= \\frac{8}{3}(4)^{3/2} - \\frac{2}{5}(4)^{5/2} \\\\
&= \\frac{64}{3} - \\frac{64}{5} \\\\
&= \\frac{128}{15}
\\end{aligned}
(ii) At \(t=4\), the amount of pollutant is:
\(A(4) = A(0) + \int_0^4 t \sqrt{4-t} dt = 20 + \frac{128}{15} = \frac{428}{15} \approx 28.5333\text{ kg}\).

(b) (i) Let \(u = t-3\), so \(du = dt\).
\\begin{aligned}
\\int \\frac{\\ln(t-3)}{(t-3)^2} dt &= \\int \\frac{\\ln u}{u^2} du \\\\
&= -\\frac{\\ln u}{u} - \\int -\\frac{1}{u^2} du \quad \\text{(by parts, let } w = \\ln u, dv = u^{-2}du\\text{)} \\\\
&= -\\frac{\\ln u}{u} - \\frac{1}{u} + C \\\\
&= -\\frac{\\ln(t-3)}{t-3} - \\frac{1}{t-3} + C
\\end{aligned}
(ii) For \(t > 4\):
\(A(t) = k \left( -\frac{\ln(t-3)}{t-3} - \frac{1}{t-3} \right) + C_2\).
Since \(A(t)\) is continuous at \(t=4\):
\(\lim_{t \to 4^+} A(t) = A(4)\)
\(k \left( -\frac{\ln(1)}{1} - \frac{1}{1} \right) + C_2 = \frac{428}{15}\)
\(-k + C_2 = \frac{428}{15} \implies C_2 = \frac{428}{15} + k\).
As \(t \to \infty\), \(A(t) \to 40\).
Since \(\lim_{t \to \infty} \frac{\ln(t-3)}{t-3} = 0\) and \(\lim_{t \to \infty} \frac{1}{t-3} = 0\),
\(C_2 = 40\).
Therefore,
\(\frac{428}{15} + k = 40 \implies k = 40 - \frac{428}{15} = \frac{172}{15}\).

(c) (i) Let \(H(t) = \frac{172}{15} \frac{\ln(t-3)}{(t-3)^2}\).
With \(n=2\) subintervals, \(h = \frac{10-6}{2} = 2\).
The values of \(H(t)\) at \(t=6\), \(8\), \(10\) are:
\(H(6) = \frac{172}{15} \frac{\ln 3}{9} \approx 1.399558\)
\(H(8) = \frac{172}{15} \frac{\ln 5}{25} \approx 0.738194\)
\(H(10) = \frac{172}{15} \frac{\ln 7}{49} \approx 0.454925\)
The trapezoidal estimate is:
\(I \approx \frac{2}{2} [H(6) + 2H(8) + H(10)] \approx 1.399558 + 2(0.738194) + 0.454925 \approx 3.330871 \approx 3.33\text{ kg}\).
(ii) Let \(y = H(t) = \frac{172}{15} \frac{\ln(t-3)}{(t-3)^2}\).
\(\frac{dy}{dt} = \frac{172}{15} \frac{1 - 2\ln(t-3)}{(t-3)^3}\)
\(\frac{d^2y}{dt^2} = \frac{172}{15} \frac{6\ln(t-3) - 5}{(t-3)^4}\)
For \(6 \le t \le 10\), we have \(t-3 \ge 3 > e^{5/6} \approx 2.30\).
Thus, \(6\ln(t-3) - 5 \ge 6\ln 3 - 5 \approx 1.59 > 0\).
Since \(\frac{d^2 y}{dt^2} > 0\) on \([6, 10]\), the curve is concave upwards.
Therefore, the estimate in (c)(i) is an overestimate.

Marking scheme

(a) (i) 1M for substitution \(u=4-t\), 1M for integration to get \(\frac{8}{3}u^{3/2} - \frac{2}{5}u^{5/2}\), 1A for \(\frac{128}{15}\) (or 8.53).
(a) (ii) 1A for \(20 + \frac{128}{15} = \frac{428}{15}\) (or 28.5).
(b) (i) 1M for substitution \(u=t-3\), 1M for integration by parts, 1A for \(-\frac{\ln(t-3)}{t-3} - \frac{1}{t-3} + C\).
(b) (ii) 1M for integrating \(H(t)\) to get \(A(t)\) with constant, 1M for continuity condition, 1M for limit at infinity, 1A for showing \(k = \frac{172}{15}\) correctly.
(c) (i) 1M for using trapezoidal rule with 2 subintervals, 1A for \(3.33\).
(c) (ii) 1A for showing \(\frac{d^2 H}{dt^2} > 0\) on \([6, 10]\) and concluding it is an overestimate.