An original Thinka practice paper modelled on the structure and difficulty of the Jun 2024 (V3) Cambridge International A Level Economics (9708) paper. Not affiliated with or reproduced from Cambridge.
Paper 1 AS Level Multiple Choice
Answer all thirty multiple choice questions. Each question has four options and is worth one mark.
30 Question · 30 marks
Question 1 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
An economy produces agricultural goods and manufacturing goods. A technological breakthrough improves productivity only in the manufacturing sector. How does this affect the economy's Production Possibility Curve (PPC)?
A.The PPC pivots outwards along the manufacturing axis.
B.The PPC shifts outwards parallel to the original curve.
C.The PPC pivots outwards along the agricultural axis.
D.There is a movement along the PPC towards manufacturing goods成品 (manufacturing goods).
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Worked solution
The technological breakthrough increases the maximum possible output of manufacturing goods while the maximum possible output of agricultural goods remains constant. Therefore, the production possibility curve (PPC) pivots outwards along the manufacturing axis.
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for selecting option A. Reject all other options.
Question 2 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
The price of Good X rises by 10%. As a result, the quantity demanded of Good Y falls by 5%, and the quantity demanded of Good Z rises by 15%. What can be concluded about goods Y and Z in relation to Good X?
A.Y is a substitute and Z is a complement.
B.Y is a complement and Z is a substitute.
C.Both Y and Z are complements.
D.Both Y and Z are substitutes.
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Worked solution
Cross elasticity of demand (XED) is calculated as the percentage change in quantity demanded of one good divided by the percentage change in price of another. For Good Y: \(\text{XED} = -5\% / +10\% = -0.5\). A negative XED indicates that Good Y is a complement. For Good Z: \(\text{XED} = +15\% / +10\% = +1.5\). A positive XED indicates that Good Z is a substitute.
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for identifying Y as a complement and Z as a substitute. Reject all other options.
Question 3 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
A government introduces a tariff on imported steel. Which combination of effects is most likely to occur in the domestic economy?
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Worked solution
A tariff is a tax on imports. It increases the domestic price of imports, making them less competitive. As a result, steel imports will fall. The higher price allows domestic steel producers to expand production (domestic steel production rises) and sell at a higher price (domestic steel price rises).
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for the correct combination showing falling imports, rising domestic production, and rising domestic prices. Reject all other options.
Question 4 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
A country's manufacturing sector undergoes restructuring, replacing manual assembly workers with robotic systems. The displaced workers find it difficult to secure new jobs because they lack the necessary IT and programming skills. What type of unemployment does this represent?
A.Cyclical unemployment
B.Frictional unemployment
C.Seasonal unemployment
D.Structural unemployment
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Worked solution
Structural unemployment occurs when there is a mismatch between the skills of the unemployed and the skills required for the jobs available. Technological changes, such as automation replacing assembly workers who lack IT skills, lead directly to structural unemployment.
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for identifying structural unemployment. Reject all other options.
Question 5 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
What would cause both the equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity of coffee to rise?
A.An increase in the wages of coffee plantation workers.
B.A successful advertising campaign for coffee.
C.An increase in the price of tea, a close substitute, combined with a bumper harvest of coffee beans.
D.A reduction in the sales tax on coffee.
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Worked solution
An increase in equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity is caused by a rightward shift of the demand curve. A successful advertising campaign increases consumer tastes and preferences for coffee, shifting the demand curve to the right.
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for identifying the option that shifts demand to the right. Reject all other options.
Question 6 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
Under a floating exchange rate system, which event is most likely to cause a depreciation of a country's currency?
A.An increase in domestic interest rates relative to foreign interest rates.
B.A rise in foreign tourists visiting the country.
C.A prolonged increase in the country's domestic rate of inflation relative to its trading partners.
D.A reduction in the country's demand for imports.
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Worked solution
A relatively higher rate of domestic inflation compared to trading partners makes exports less price-competitive and imports more attractive. This reduces foreign demand for the currency and increases domestic demand for foreign currencies (increasing the supply of the domestic currency on the foreign exchange market), leading to a depreciation.
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for identifying high relative inflation as the cause of currency depreciation. Reject all other options.
Question 7 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
Country A can produce 10 units of wheat or 5 units of cloth with one unit of resources. Country B can produce 6 units of wheat or 4 units of cloth with one unit of resources. Which statement about comparative advantage is correct?
A.Country A has a comparative advantage in both wheat and cloth.
B.Country B has a comparative advantage in wheat.
C.Country A has a comparative advantage in wheat, and Country B has a comparative advantage in cloth.
D.Country A has a comparative advantage in cloth, and Country B has a comparative advantage in wheat.
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Worked solution
The opportunity cost of producing wheat in Country A is \(5/10 = 0.5\) units of cloth. In Country B, it is \(4/6 = 0.67\) units of cloth. Thus, Country A has a comparative advantage in wheat. The opportunity cost of producing cloth in Country A is \(10/5 = 2\) units of wheat, whereas in Country B it is \(6/4 = 1.5\) units of wheat. Thus, Country B has a comparative advantage in cloth.
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for identifying the correct comparative advantages. Reject all other options.
Question 8 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
An economy is operating at its full employment level of output. If the government significantly increases its spending on infrastructure without any corresponding increase in taxation, what is the most likely short-run outcome?
A.A decrease in the general price level and an increase in real output.
B.An increase in the general price level and little to no change in real output.
C.A decrease in both the general price level and real output.
D.An increase in real output with no change in the general price level.
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Worked solution
At full employment, the aggregate supply (AS) curve is highly inelastic (vertical at Yf). An increase in government spending shifts the aggregate demand (AD) curve to the right, which increases the general price level but has little to no effect on the real output because the economy is already at maximum capacity.
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for the correct short-run macroeconomic outcome. Reject all other options.
Question 9 · multiple_choice
1 marks
A country produces only two goods: capital goods and consumer goods. Its production possibility curve (PPC) is concave to the origin. What does a movement along the PPC from producing more capital goods to producing more consumer goods indicate?
A.The opportunity cost of consumer goods in terms of capital goods is constant.
B.The opportunity cost of consumer goods in terms of capital goods is increasing.
C.The economy is experiencing economic growth.
D.There is an increase in the underemployment of resources.
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Worked solution
A concave production possibility curve (PPC) represents increasing opportunity costs. As resources are reallocated from producing capital goods to producing consumer goods, resources that are increasingly less suited to the production of consumer goods must be transferred, resulting in a rising opportunity cost per unit of consumer goods produced.
Marking scheme
Correct option B is worth 1 mark. Distractors A, C, and D are incorrect and receive 0 marks.
Question 10 · multiple_choice
1 marks
The price of good X increases from $10 to $12. As a result, the quantity demanded of good Y increases from 400 units to 500 units per week. What is the cross elasticity of demand (XED) for good Y with respect to the price of good X, and how are the two goods related?
A.XED = +1.25; they are substitutes.
B.XED = +1.25; they are complements.
C.XED = +0.80; they are substitutes.
D.XED = +0.80; they are complements.
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Worked solution
Percentage change in the price of X = ((12 - 10) / 10) * 100 = +20%. Percentage change in the quantity demanded of Y = ((500 - 400) / 400) * 100 = +25%. Cross elasticity of demand (XED) = % change in quantity demanded of Y / % change in price of X = +25% / +20% = +1.25. A positive XED indicates that the goods are substitutes.
Marking scheme
Correct option A is worth 1 mark. Distractors B, C, and D represent incorrect calculations or incorrect relationships and receive 0 marks.
Question 11 · multiple_choice
1 marks
What will unambiguously cause a decrease in the equilibrium price of a good, while the effect on its equilibrium quantity is uncertain?
A.An increase in the wages of workers in the industry and a successful advertising campaign.
B.An increase in the price of a substitute good and a reduction in indirect taxes on the product.
C.A decrease in consumer incomes (the good is normal) and an improvement in production technology.
D.A rise in the price of a complementary good and a rise in the cost of raw materials.
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Worked solution
A decrease in consumer incomes for a normal good causes the demand curve to shift leftward, which lowers both equilibrium price and quantity. An improvement in production technology causes the supply curve to shift rightward, which lowers equilibrium price but increases equilibrium quantity. Combined, these two shifts must cause the equilibrium price to decrease, while the net change in equilibrium quantity is uncertain as it depends on the relative magnitudes of the two shifts.
Marking scheme
Correct option C is worth 1 mark. Distractors A, B, and D represent other curve shifts that do not result in a guaranteed price decrease with an uncertain quantity effect, and receive 0 marks.
Question 12 · multiple_choice
1 marks
A country introduces a tariff on imports of foreign cars. What is the most likely outcome of this policy for the domestic economy?
A.Domestic car production decreases and consumer surplus increases.
B.Domestic car production increases and government tax revenue increases.
C.Domestic car prices fall and the volume of car imports rises.
D.Domestic consumer expenditure on foreign cars must decrease to zero.
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Worked solution
A tariff raises the domestic price of imported cars. This shifts domestic consumer demand toward domestically produced cars, causing domestic car production to increase. At the same time, the government collects tariff revenue on the remaining imported cars, leading to an increase in tax revenue.
Marking scheme
Correct option B is worth 1 mark. Distractor A is incorrect because domestic production increases and consumer surplus decreases. Distractor C is incorrect because prices rise and the volume of imports falls. Distractor D is incorrect because a tariff reduces imports but does not necessarily reduce them to zero.
Question 13 · multiple_choice
1 marks
The government of an economy increases its spending on national infrastructure, while at the same time, world oil prices rise significantly. This economy is a net importer of oil. How will these events affect the aggregate demand (AD) curve and the short-run aggregate supply (SRAS) curve of this economy?
A.AD shifts to the right; SRAS shifts to the right.
B.AD shifts to the left; SRAS shifts to the right.
C.AD shifts to the right; SRAS shifts to the left.
D.AD shifts to the left; SRAS shifts to the left.
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Worked solution
Government spending on infrastructure is a direct injection into the circular flow and a component of Aggregate Demand (G). An increase in this spending shifts the AD curve to the right. Higher world oil prices increase the cost of energy and production inputs across the economy, which shifts the short-run aggregate supply (SRAS) curve to the left.
Marking scheme
Correct option C is worth 1 mark. Distractors A, B, and D represent incorrect directional shifts of AD or SRAS and receive 0 marks.
Question 14 · multiple_choice
1 marks
A decline in the global demand for coal leads to the permanent closure of several coal mines in a region. The former miners find it difficult to obtain new jobs because their skills are not transferable to the expanding service sector in the country. Which type of unemployment are these workers experiencing?
A.Cyclical unemployment
B.Frictional unemployment
C.Seasonal unemployment
D.Structural unemployment
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Worked solution
Structural unemployment occurs when there is a mismatch between the skills of the unemployed workers and the requirements of the new jobs available in the economy. The decline of the coal mining industry and the non-transferability of miners' skills to the service sector is a classic example of structural unemployment.
Marking scheme
Correct option D is worth 1 mark. Distractor A is incorrect because cyclical unemployment is caused by a general demand-deficient downturn in the macroeconomic business cycle. Distractor B is incorrect because frictional unemployment refers to temporary transitional unemployment. Distractor C is incorrect because seasonal unemployment relates to changes in seasons.
Question 15 · multiple_choice
1 marks
The maximum daily output of wheat and clothing that can be produced by one worker in Country X and Country Y is as follows: in Country X, a worker can produce either 10 tonnes of wheat or 5 units of clothing; in Country Y, a worker can produce either 8 tonnes of wheat or 2 units of clothing. Which statement is correct according to the theory of comparative advantage?
A.Country X has a comparative advantage in both wheat and clothing.
B.Country Y has a comparative advantage in wheat.
C.Country X has an absolute advantage in wheat only.
D.Country Y has a comparative advantage in clothing.
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Worked solution
To find comparative advantage, calculate the opportunity costs. In Country X, the opportunity cost of 1 tonne of wheat is 5/10 = 0.5 units of clothing. In Country Y, the opportunity cost of 1 tonne of wheat is 2/8 = 0.25 units of clothing. Since Country Y has a lower opportunity cost of producing wheat, it has the comparative advantage in wheat. Conversely, Country X has a lower opportunity cost of producing clothing (2 tonnes of wheat compared to Country Y's 4 tonnes of wheat), giving Country X a comparative advantage in clothing.
Marking scheme
Correct option B is worth 1 mark. Distractor A is incorrect because a country cannot have a comparative advantage in both goods. Distractor C is incorrect because Country X has an absolute advantage in both goods (10 > 8 and 5 > 2). Distractor D is incorrect because Country X has the comparative advantage in clothing.
Question 16 · multiple_choice
1 marks
Which economic event represents an increase in an economy's potential economic growth rather than its actual economic growth?
A.A reduction in the level of unemployed resources, moving the economy closer to its production possibility curve.
B.An increase in the production of consumer goods due to a temporary rise in consumer confidence.
C.An increase in the size of the national labor force through net immigration of skilled workers.
D.An expansion of aggregate demand that leads to an increase in real GDP.
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Worked solution
Potential economic growth refers to an increase in the productive capacity of the economy, represented by an outward shift of the production possibility curve (PPC) or the Long-Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS) curve. This occurs when there is an increase in the quantity or quality of the factors of production, such as an expansion of the labor force through the net immigration of skilled workers. The other options describe movements toward the existing boundary or demand-driven increases in actual output.
Marking scheme
Correct option C is worth 1 mark. Distractors A, B, and D represent changes in actual economic growth (higher capacity utilization or demand-side expansions) and receive 0 marks.
Question 17 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
An economy is currently experiencing a high level of cyclical unemployment. If the government successfully implements policies that restore full employment, how will this change be illustrated on a diagram of the country's production possibility curve (PPC)?
A.A movement from a point inside the PPC boundary to a point on the boundary.
B.An outward shift of the entire PPC boundary.
C.A movement along the PPC boundary towards capital-intensive goods.
D.An inward shift of the entire PPC boundary.
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Worked solution
Unemployment represents an inefficient or underemployed use of resources, which is represented by a point inside the PPC. Achieving full employment means that the economy is now utilizing its resources fully and efficiently, which moves the operating point to the PPC boundary. An outward shift of the PPC represents economic growth (an increase in productive capacity), which is not the case here since the productive capacity has not changed, only the utilization of existing capacity.
Marking scheme
1 mark for identifying that restoring full employment moves the economy from a point inside the PPC boundary to a point on the boundary.
Question 18 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
The price of product X rises by 10%. Consequently, the weekly quantity demanded of product Y falls from 200 units to 160 units. What is the cross elasticity of demand (XED) for product Y with respect to the price of product X, and what is the relationship between the two products?
A.-2.0; they are complementary goods.
B.-0.5; they are complementary goods.
C.+2.0; they are substitute goods.
D.+0.5; they are substitute goods.
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Worked solution
Cross elasticity of demand (XED) is calculated as the percentage change in quantity demanded of product Y divided by the percentage change in price of product X. The percentage change in quantity demanded of Y is \(((160 - 200) / 200) \times 100 = -20\%\). The percentage change in the price of X is \(+10\%\). Therefore, \(XED = -20\% / +10\% = -2.0\). A negative XED value indicates that the two products are complementary goods.
Marking scheme
1 mark for the correct calculation of XED (-2.0) and the correct classification of the relationship (complementary goods).
Question 19 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
What would cause both the equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity of a normal good to rise?
A.A fall in the wages of the workers who produce the good.
B.A rise in consumer disposable income.
C.The introduction of an indirect tax on the good.
D.A fall in the price of a substitute good.
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Worked solution
For both the equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity to rise, there must be a rightward shift of the demand curve. A rise in consumer disposable income will shift the demand curve for a normal good to the right, leading to a higher equilibrium price and quantity. Options A and C shift the supply curve, and option D shifts the demand curve to the left.
Marking scheme
1 mark for identifying the correct event (rise in consumer income) that causes a rightward shift in demand, increasing both equilibrium price and quantity.
Question 20 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
A steel mill closes down permanently due to a long-term decline in global steel demand and cheaper foreign competition. The workers find that their skills are not easily transferable to the newly expanding IT sector in their region. What type of unemployment does this describe?
A.Cyclical unemployment
B.Frictional unemployment
C.Seasonal unemployment
D.Structural unemployment
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Worked solution
Structural unemployment occurs when there is a mismatch between the skills of the unemployed workers and the skills needed for the jobs available. This mismatch is caused by structural changes in the economy, such as the permanent decline of an industry.
Marking scheme
1 mark for identifying structural unemployment as the correct type of unemployment resulting from structural changes and skills mismatch.
Question 21 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
A government decides to replace a voluntary export restraint (VER) with an import tariff that restricts imports to the exact same quantity. What will be the most likely effect of this policy change?
A.A redistribution of revenue from foreign exporters to the domestic government.
B.A decrease in the domestic price of the imported good.
C.An increase in the domestic consumer surplus.
D.A rise in the total volume of imports.
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Worked solution
Both a voluntary export restraint (VER) and a tariff restrict the quantity of imports. Under a VER, foreign exporters capture the scarcity premium (quota rent). If replaced by a tariff that restricts imports to the same level, the domestic price remains unchanged, meaning consumer surplus is unaffected, but the revenue from the price premium is now collected as tariff revenue by the domestic government.
Marking scheme
1 mark for identifying that the policy redistributes revenue from foreign exporters to the domestic government.
Question 22 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
Under a floating exchange rate system, which combination of changes is most likely to cause a depreciation of a country's currency?
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Worked solution
A rise in the domestic inflation rate relative to trading partners makes exports less price competitive and imports more attractive, reducing the demand for the currency and increasing its supply, which causes depreciation. A fall in domestic interest rates leads to capital outflows (hot money leaving the country) as investors seek higher returns elsewhere, which increases the supply of the currency and depreciates it.
Marking scheme
1 mark for correctly identifying that rising inflation and falling interest rates both lead to currency depreciation.
Question 23 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
What would cause an increase in both the equilibrium price level and the equilibrium real output level in an economy in the short run?
A.A rise in the exchange rate of the country's currency.
B.An increase in the rate of sales tax (VAT).
C.An increase in business optimism about future profitability.
D.A decrease in the wages paid to workers across the economy.
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Worked solution
An increase in both the equilibrium price level and real output in the short run requires a rightward shift in the Aggregate Demand (AD) curve. An increase in business optimism leads to an increase in private investment expenditure, which is a key component of AD, shifting the AD curve to the right.
Marking scheme
1 mark for identifying that increased business optimism shifts Aggregate Demand to the right, raising both real output and the price level.
Question 24 · Multiple Choice
1 marks
A government adopts an expansionary fiscal policy. Which pair of macroeconomic objectives is most likely to experience a conflict in the short run as a result of this policy?
A.Reducing unemployment and achieving price stability.
B.Promoting economic growth and reducing unemployment.
C.Promoting economic growth and encouraging private investment.
D.Reducing inflation and improving the balance of payments on current account.
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Worked solution
Expansionary fiscal policy increases aggregate demand, which helps to increase real output and reduce unemployment. However, the increased pressure on resources tends to pull the price level up, causing inflation. Therefore, the objectives of reducing unemployment and achieving price stability conflict in the short run.
Marking scheme
1 mark for identifying the short-run conflict between reducing unemployment and achieving price stability.
Question 25 · multiple_choice
1 marks
A firm sells 200 units of a product per week at a price of $10 per unit. The price elasticity of demand (PED) for the product is estimated to be -1.5. If the firm increases the price of the product to $11, what will be the expected change in its weekly total revenue?
A.An increase of $20
B.An increase of $170
C.A decrease of $130
D.A decrease of $300
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Worked solution
1. Calculate the percentage change in price: \(\%\Delta P = \frac{11 - 10}{10} \times 100 = +10\%\). 2. Use the PED formula to find the percentage change in quantity demanded: \(\text{PED} = \frac{\%\Delta Q}{\%\Delta P} \implies -1.5 = \frac{\%\Delta Q}{10\%} \implies \%\Delta Q = -15\%\). 3. Calculate the new quantity demanded: \(Q_{\text{new}} = 200 \times (1 - 0.15) = 170 \text{ units}\). 4. Calculate the original and new total revenue: \(\text{Original TR} = 200 \times \$10 = \$2000\), \(\text{New TR} = 170 \times \$11 = \$1870\). 5. Calculate the change in total revenue: \(\Delta \text{TR} = \$1870 - \$2000 = -\$130\) (a decrease of $130).
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for the correct answer C. No other marks are awarded.
Question 26 · multiple_choice
1 marks
Which change is most likely to cause a shift to the left in the demand curve for public bus transport, assuming it is an inferior good?
A.An increase in consumer incomes
B.An increase in the price of private car travel
C.An increase in the fares of public bus transport
D.A government subsidy to bus operating companies
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Worked solution
An inferior good is one for which demand decreases when consumer incomes rise. Therefore, an increase in consumer incomes will cause the demand curve for public bus transport to shift to the left. An increase in the price of a substitute (private car travel) would shift demand to the right. An increase in public bus fares causes a movement along the demand curve, not a shift. A government subsidy shifts the supply curve, not the demand curve.
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for the correct answer A. No other marks are awarded.
Question 27 · multiple_choice
1 marks
An economy produces two goods: agricultural products and industrial machinery. Which event would cause the country's production possibility curve (PPC) to pivot outwards along the axis representing industrial machinery, while leaving the maximum possible production of agricultural products unchanged?
A.An increase in the general level of education of the entire national workforce
B.The discovery of new arable land suitable only for crop cultivation
C.A technological innovation specifically designed for manufacturing steel
D.A reduction in the rate of unemployment in the industrial sector
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Worked solution
A pivot outwards along only one axis indicates an increase in productive capacity or productivity that is specific to that particular sector. A technological innovation specifically designed for manufacturing steel increases the efficiency and capacity of producing industrial machinery (which relies heavily on steel) without directly affecting the capacity to produce agricultural products. An increase in general education shifts the entire curve. The discovery of arable land pivots the curve along the agricultural axis. A reduction in unemployment moves the economy closer to the existing PPC but does not shift or pivot the curve.
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for the correct answer C. No other marks are awarded.
Question 28 · multiple_choice
1 marks
A country decides to impose a tariff on imports of foreign cars to protect its domestic manufacturing sector. Which group is most likely to experience a loss of economic surplus as a direct result of this policy?
A.Domestic car manufacturers
B.Domestic car consumers
C.The domestic government
D.Workers employed in domestic car factories
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Worked solution
The tariff increases the domestic price of foreign cars, allowing domestic manufacturers to also raise their prices. As a result, domestic consumers face higher prices and consume a lower quantity of cars, causing a loss of consumer surplus. Domestic car manufacturers gain producer surplus, the government gains tariff revenue, and domestic workers benefit from expanded domestic production.
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for the correct answer B. No other marks are awarded.
Question 29 · multiple_choice
1 marks
In a floating exchange rate system, which development is most likely to cause a depreciation of a country's currency?
A.A rise in domestic interest rates relative to foreign interest rates
B.A decrease in the domestic demand for foreign imports
C.A rise in the rate of inflation in the country relative to its trading partners
D.An increase in foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows into the country
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Worked solution
A higher rate of inflation relative to trading partners makes the country's exports less price-competitive abroad, reducing foreign demand for its exports (and thus reducing demand for its currency). At the same time, foreign imports become relatively cheaper for domestic consumers, increasing the domestic demand for imports (and thus increasing the supply of the domestic currency on the foreign exchange market to buy foreign currencies). Both effects work together to cause a depreciation of the currency. A rise in domestic interest rates, a decrease in import demand, and an increase in FDI inflows all cause currency appreciation.
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for the correct answer C. No other marks are awarded.
Question 30 · multiple_choice
1 marks
A decline in the global demand for coal leads to the permanent closure of several mines in a region. The former miners find it difficult to obtain new jobs because their skills are not easily transferable to growing sectors such as software development. What type of unemployment does this situation describe?
A.Cyclical unemployment
B.Frictional unemployment
C.Seasonal unemployment
D.Structural unemployment
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Worked solution
Structural unemployment occurs when there is a mismatch between the skills of the unemployed and the skills required for the jobs available in the economy. This is often caused by long-term structural changes in the economy, such as the permanent decline of an industry (e.g., coal mining) and the growth of other sectors requiring completely different skills. Frictional unemployment is short-term transition, cyclical is caused by aggregate demand recessions, and seasonal is linked to regular seasonal variations.
Marking scheme
Award 1 mark for the correct answer D. No other marks are awarded.
Paper 2 Section A
Answer all parts of Question 1 (Data Response) based on the provided case study.
5 Question · 20 marks
Question 1 · data-response
4 marks
Case Study Context: Zephyrus is a developing economy. In 2022, to protect its infant manufacturing industry, the government imposed a 15% tariff on imported machinery. In 2023, its currency, the Zephyr (Z$) depreciated significantly. Meanwhile, inflation rose from 2% in 2021 to 8% in 2023. A severe drought devastated agricultural output (coffee exports), causing rising unemployment, while the domestic manufacturing sector struggled to grow due to a severe shortage of skilled labour. Question: Explain, with the aid of a tariff diagram, the likely effect of the 15% tariff on imported machinery on consumer surplus and government revenue in Zephyrus.
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Worked solution
A tariff on imported machinery raises the domestic market price of machinery from Pw to Pt (where Pt = Pw + 15%). As a result of this price increase: 1. Consumer surplus falls: Consumers (such as domestic manufacturing firms using imported machinery) must pay a higher price and purchase a smaller quantity. This loss of consumer surplus is represented by the trapezoidal area between Pt and Pw bounded by the demand curve. 2. Government revenue increases: The government collects the tariff of 15% on each unit of remaining machinery imports. This is represented by the rectangular area equal to the tariff rate (Pt - Pw) multiplied by the new volume of imports (domestic consumption Q4 minus domestic production Q3).
Marking scheme
Up to 2 marks for a correctly labeled tariff diagram: 1 mark for showing the world price (Pw) and the higher tariff-inclusive price (Pt); 1 mark for showing the reduction in imports. Up to 2 marks for explanation: 1 mark for explaining the reduction in consumer surplus (identifying the area on the diagram); 1 mark for explaining the generation of government revenue (identifying the tariff revenue rectangle).
Question 2 · data-response
4 marks
Case Study Context: Zephyrus is a developing economy. In 2022, to protect its infant manufacturing industry, the government imposed a 15% tariff on imported machinery. In 2023, its currency, the Zephyr (Z$) depreciated significantly. Meanwhile, inflation rose from 2% in 2021 to 8% in 2023. A severe drought devastated agricultural output (coffee exports), causing rising unemployment, while the domestic manufacturing sector struggled to grow due to a severe shortage of skilled labour. Question: Explain how the depreciation of the Zephyr (Z$) in 2023 could improve Zephyrus's current account balance, and state the condition required for this improvement to occur.
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Worked solution
When the Zephyr (Z$) depreciates, the foreign price of Zephyrus's exports (such as coffee) falls, making them more competitive abroad. This increases the quantity demanded of exports. At the same time, the domestic price of imports (such as machinery) increases, which decreases the quantity demanded of imports. For these volume changes to translate into an overall improvement in the trade balance (current account), the Marshall-Lerner condition must hold. This mathematical condition states that the sum of the price elasticity of demand for exports and the price elasticity of demand for imports must be greater than one: \(|PED_x + PED_m| > 1\). If demand is inelastic (less than 1), the current account balance may actually worsen in the short term, which is described by the J-curve effect.
Marking scheme
1 mark for explaining how depreciation reduces import spending by making imports more expensive in domestic currency. 1 mark for explaining how depreciation increases export earnings by making exports cheaper in foreign currency. 1 mark for stating the Marshall-Lerner condition: \(|PED_x + PED_m| > 1\). 1 mark for applying to the context of Zephyrus (e.g., coffee exports and machinery imports).
Question 3 · data-response
4 marks
Case Study Context: Zephyrus is a developing economy. In 2022, to protect its infant manufacturing industry, the government imposed a 15% tariff on imported machinery. In 2023, its currency, the Zephyr (Z$) depreciated significantly. Meanwhile, inflation rose from 2% in 2021 to 8% in 2023. A severe drought devastated agricultural output (coffee exports), causing rising unemployment, while the domestic manufacturing sector struggled to grow due to a severe shortage of skilled labour. Question: With reference to the case study, distinguish between the type of unemployment affecting the agricultural sector and the type of unemployment affecting the manufacturing sector.
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Worked solution
The unemployment in the agricultural sector is a form of structural (or seasonal) unemployment triggered by a natural climate shock (the severe drought). Because the physical conditions prevent crop cultivation, agricultural jobs are temporarily or permanently lost regardless of labor desire. In contrast, the manufacturing sector suffers from a different structural unemployment issue: a occupational mismatch. Jobs exist in manufacturing, but the unemployed workers (perhaps from the agricultural sector) lack the specialized skills required to operate modern machinery or manage industrial production. Structural unemployment involves a fundamental mismatch between the skills of the unemployed and the skills required for the available jobs.
Marking scheme
1 mark for identifying and explaining the agricultural unemployment as structural/seasonal due to the drought. 1 mark for identifying the manufacturing unemployment as structural/occupational. 1 mark for explaining the general concept of structural unemployment (mismatch of skills or location). 1 mark for contrasting the two sectors using the case study details (weather-induced job loss versus lack of skills/training for vacant factory jobs).
Question 4 · data-response
4 marks
Case Study Context: Zephyrus is a developing economy. In 2022, to protect its infant manufacturing industry, the government imposed a 15% tariff on imported machinery. In 2023, its currency, the Zephyr (Z$) depreciated significantly. Meanwhile, inflation rose from 2% in 2021 to 8% in 2023. A severe drought devastated agricultural output (coffee exports), causing rising unemployment, while the domestic manufacturing sector struggled to grow due to a severe shortage of skilled labour. Question: Explain how both cost-push factors and demand-pull factors could have contributed to the rise in inflation from 2% to 8% in Zephyrus.
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Worked solution
1. Cost-push inflation: The 15% tariff directly increased the cost of imported machinery, a key capital input. This was compounded by the depreciation of the Z$, which made all foreign inputs more expensive. Higher input prices increased the cost of production for domestic firms, shifting the Short-Run Aggregate Supply (SRAS) curve to the left and raising the price level. 2. Demand-pull inflation: The tariff on machinery and the depreciation of the currency made foreign manufactured goods less attractive and more expensive. This redirected consumer and business demand toward domestic substitutes. This rise in domestic expenditure, alongside potential export growth from a weaker currency, shifted the Aggregate Demand (AD) curve to the right, pulling prices upward.
Marking scheme
1 mark for explaining cost-push inflation (rising production costs shifting SRAS left). 1 mark for linking cost-push inflation to the tariff or the depreciation of the currency in Zephyrus. 1 mark for explaining demand-pull inflation (aggregate demand growing faster than aggregate supply). 1 mark for linking demand-pull inflation to the case study (e.g., switching expenditure from expensive imports to domestic alternatives).
Question 5 · data-response
4 marks
Case Study Context: Zephyrus is a developing economy. In 2022, to protect its infant manufacturing industry, the government imposed a 15% tariff on imported machinery. In 2023, its currency, the Zephyr (Z$) depreciated significantly. Meanwhile, inflation rose from 2% in 2021 to 8% in 2023. A severe drought devastated agricultural output (coffee exports), causing rising unemployment, while the domestic manufacturing sector struggled to grow due to a severe shortage of skilled labour. Question: Explain one interventionist supply-side policy and one market-led supply-side policy that the government of Zephyrus could use to address the shortage of skilled labour in the manufacturing sector.
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Worked solution
To resolve the structural skills shortage, the government has two main pathways: 1. Interventionist supply-side policy: The government can directly fund and set up national vocational training centers or technical colleges specializing in manufacturing engineering. This active government involvement directly increases the supply of skilled labor by subsidizing the cost of human capital development. 2. Market-led supply-side policy: The government can reduce personal income tax rates for skilled technical roles or deregulate the labor market. By lowering taxes, the financial incentive (net wage) for individuals to invest their own time and money into gaining manufacturing qualifications increases. It may also encourage skilled foreign workers to migrate to Zephyrus, relying on market forces to correct the shortage.
Marking scheme
1 mark for explaining a relevant interventionist supply-side policy (e.g., government-funded education/training). 1 mark for explaining how this interventionist policy addresses the skill shortage in Zephyrus. 1 mark for explaining a relevant market-led supply-side policy (e.g., income tax cuts or labor market deregulation). 1 mark for explaining how this market-led policy incentivizes skills acquisition or labor mobility in Zephyrus.
Paper 2 Section B
Answer one essay question from a choice of two. Each essay consists of part (a) worth 8 marks and part (b) worth 12 marks.
2 Question · 20 marks
Question 1 · Short Essay
8 marks
Explain the differences between frictional unemployment and structural unemployment, and explain why structural unemployment is typically more difficult for a government to resolve.
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Worked solution
Frictional unemployment refers to short-term, transitional unemployment that occurs when individuals are searching for new jobs or are in transition between jobs. Examples include university graduates looking for their first job or workers who have resigned to find a better position. It is generally a natural and inevitable part of a healthy, dynamic economy. Structural unemployment, on the other hand, is a longer-term form of unemployment caused by structural shifts in the economy, such as the decline of traditional manufacturing industries or technological advancements that automate tasks. This creates a fundamental mismatch between the skills possessed by the unemployed workforce and the skills required by employers. It can also involve a geographical mismatch where vacancies are in one region but the unemployed live in another. Structural unemployment is significantly harder for a government to resolve than frictional unemployment. Addressing frictional unemployment is relatively straightforward and low-cost, often requiring improvements in the flow of information, such as online job recruitment portals or enhanced services at government employment centers. In contrast, resolving structural unemployment requires overcoming deep-rooted occupational and geographical immobilities. Workers cannot easily switch from declining industries (like coal mining or manual manufacturing) to expanding sectors (such as software development or high-tech healthcare) without extensive retraining. Overcoming occupational immobility requires long-term, high-cost government investment in education, apprenticeship schemes, and retraining programs. Similarly, overcoming geographical immobility requires policies to subsidize worker relocation or to encourage investment in economically depressed regions. These supply-side interventions are not only expensive but take many years to design, implement, and yield results, with no guarantee of success.
Marking scheme
AO1 Knowledge and Understanding (4 marks): - 3 to 4 marks: Clear, accurate definitions and explanations of both frictional and structural unemployment, with relevant examples provided for each. - 1 to 2 marks: Weak or incomplete definitions of one or both terms, or a simple list of points without clear differentiation. AO2 Application (4 marks): - 3 to 4 marks: Logical and detailed explanation of why structural unemployment is harder to resolve than frictional unemployment. The response must focus on the concept of occupational and geographical immobilities and compare the complex, long-term supply-side policies needed for structural unemployment with the simpler, information-based policies needed for frictional unemployment. - 1 to 2 marks: Identification of some difficulties in reducing structural unemployment or a brief mention of policies, but lacks analytical depth or fails to clearly contrast the difficulties of the two types.
Question 2 · essay
12 marks
Assess whether the imposition of tariffs is the most effective policy for a government to protect employment in domestic industries.
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Worked solution
An imposition of a tariff is a tax placed on imported goods designed to protect domestic industries from foreign competition. To assess whether it is the most effective policy to protect domestic employment, we must analyze its mechanism, limitations, and alternative policies. Firstly, a tariff increases the domestic price of imported goods. This makes imported goods less price-competitive, causing domestic consumers to switch their spending to domestic substitutes. Consequently, demand for domestic products increases, prompting domestic firms to expand production and hire more workers, thereby protecting or increasing employment in that sector. However, tariffs have significant drawbacks. They distort market forces and lead to welfare losses (deadweight loss). They also increase costs for domestic firms that rely on imported raw materials, which could cause lay-offs in other parts of the economy. Furthermore, foreign nations may retaliate by imposing their own tariffs, hurting exporting industries and causing job losses there. Alternative policies include subsidies and supply-side policies. A government subsidy to domestic producers reduces their production costs, allowing them to compete with imports without raising prices for consumers. This avoids the regressive nature of tariffs but incurs a substantial opportunity cost for government funds. Alternatively, supply-side policies, such as retraining schemes, help structurally unemployed workers transition to expanding industries, addressing the root cause of long-term job loss, though they require significant time and funding. In evaluation, tariffs are rarely the most effective long-term policy. While they provide immediate, politically popular relief to a specific industry, they create net welfare losses, risk retaliation, and protect inefficient domestic monopolies. Subsidies are generally preferable as they do not raise consumer prices, while long-term structural employment is best addressed through supply-side education and retraining rather than protectionism.
Marking scheme
Analysis (up to 8 marks): Up to 4 marks for explaining how a tariff works to protect employment (mechanism of price increase, shift in demand to domestic goods, expansion of domestic supply, and job preservation). Up to 4 marks for explaining the limitations of tariffs (retaliation, higher costs of imported inputs, consumer welfare loss) and/or explaining alternative policies (e.g., domestic subsidies, retraining schemes). Evaluation (up to 4 marks): 1 to 2 marks for comparing the effectiveness of tariffs against alternative policies. 3 to 4 marks for a reasoned conclusion on whether tariffs are the 'most' effective policy, recognizing that effectiveness depends on factors such as the duration of the policy, the risk of retaliation, and the underlying cause of unemployment.
Paper 2 Section C
Answer one essay question from a choice of two. Each essay consists of part (a) worth 8 marks and part (b) worth 12 marks.
2 Question · 20 marks
Question 1 · Short Essay
8 marks
Explain, with the aid of a tariff diagram, how the imposition of a tariff on an imported good affects both domestic consumers and domestic producers.
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Worked solution
A tariff is a tax on imported goods designed to protect domestic industries. The economic effects on domestic consumers and producers can be explained using a demand and supply diagram: 1. Diagram Setup: The diagram should show domestic demand (Dd) and domestic supply (Sd). At the initial world price \( P_w \), domestic consumption is \( Q_{d1} \) and domestic production is \( Q_{s1} \). The volume of imports is the difference \( Q_{d1} - Q_{s1} \). 2. Tariff Imposition: When a tariff \( t \) is imposed, the domestic price rises to \( P_w + t \). This causes domestic demand to contract to \( Q_{d2} \) and domestic supply to expand to \( Q_{s2} \). Imports shrink to \( Q_{d2} - Q_{s2} \). 3. Impact on Domestic Consumers: Consumers are negatively affected because they pay a higher price \( P_w + t \) instead of \( P_w \). Their total consumption falls from \( Q_{d1} \) to \( Q_{d2} \). Consequently, consumer surplus is reduced by the area of the trapezium between the two price lines. 4. Impact on Domestic Producers: Domestic producers benefit as they can now sell their output at the higher price \( P_w + t \). They expand their production from \( Q_{s1} \) to \( Q_{s2} \), increasing their market share. Their producer surplus increases by the area next to the supply curve between the two price levels, and their total revenue increases significantly.
Marking scheme
AO1 Knowledge and Understanding (Up to 3 marks): - 1 mark for a correct tariff diagram showing domestic demand and supply curves and the world price \( P_w \). - 1 mark for showing the tariff price \( P_w + t \) and the resulting contraction of imports. - 1 mark for clearly labeling the changes in consumer and/or producer surplus on the diagram. AO2 Application (Up to 5 marks): - Up to 3 marks for explaining the negative impact on consumers (higher prices, reduced quantity consumed, and loss of consumer surplus). - Up to 3 marks for explaining the positive impact on domestic producers (higher price received, expansion of output, and gain in producer surplus and revenue). Note: A maximum of 5 marks can be awarded in total if no diagram is provided.
Question 2 · Long Essay
12 marks
Evaluate whether a tariff is a more effective protectionist policy than an import quota to support a country’s infant industries.
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Worked solution
**Introduction:**
- **Infant industries** are newly established domestic industries that currently lack the economies of scale to compete internationally but have a potential comparative advantage in the long run. - **Tariff:** A tax levied on imported goods, designed to raise their domestic price and protect domestic producers. - **Import quota:** A physical restriction on the maximum quantity of a good that can be imported over a specific time period.
**Analysis of a Tariff:**
- **How it works:** A tariff shifts the world supply curve upward by the amount of the tariff, raising the domestic market price from the world price \(P_w\) to the tariff-inclusive price \(P_t\). - **Impact on infant industries:** Domestic producers, who face higher production costs than foreign competitors initially, can now expand their supply from \(Q_1\) to \(Q_2\). This expansion allows them to gain experience, train labor, and reinvest profits to achieve economies of scale (moving down the long-run average cost curve). - **Government Revenue:** A tariff generates tax revenue (equal to the tariff rate multiplied by the volume of imports). This revenue can be directly used by the government to subsidize the development of the infant industry (e.g., funding R&D, infrastructure, or technical training). - **Market Discipline:** Although imports are reduced, foreign firms can still sell in the domestic market if they are highly efficient, which maintains some competitive pressure and prevents the infant industry from becoming completely inefficient.
**Analysis of an Import Quota:**
- **How it works:** A quota restricts the physical quantity of imports. Once the quota limit is reached, domestic consumers must purchase from domestic suppliers, driving up the domestic price. - **Impact on infant industries:** A quota provides a guaranteed market share to the infant industry, protecting them completely from foreign surges. This certainty can encourage long-term investment by domestic entrepreneurs. - **No Government Revenue:** Unlike tariffs, standard quotas do not generate revenue for the government; instead, they create 'quota rents' (windfall profits) which typically accrue to foreign exporters or domestic importers who hold the licenses. - **Extreme Distortion:** Quotas completely insulate the domestic market from foreign price signals once the limit is met. This lack of competition can lead to permanent complacency, where the 'infant' never grows up and remains dependent on protection.
**Evaluation & Comparison:**
- **Revenue vs. Quota Rents:** A tariff is superior in terms of government finances, as the revenue generated can be targeted directly at fixing the market failures (e.g., lack of capital) that the infant industry faces. - **Certainty of Protection:** A quota is more effective if foreign supply is highly price-elastic or if foreign firms engage in dumping, where a tariff might fail to sufficiently restrict import volumes. - **Market Efficiency:** Tariffs are generally preferred by economists because they work through the price mechanism and are more transparent, whereas quotas distort price signals more severely and encourage corruption/rent-seeking in the allocation of import licenses.
**Conclusion:**
In conclusion, a tariff is generally a more effective policy than an import quota to support infant industries. While a quota offers guaranteed market protection, its high level of distortion and lack of government revenue generation make it less desirable. However, the ultimate effectiveness of either policy depends on whether the protection is strictly temporary and paired with supply-side reforms to ensure the domestic industry eventually becomes globally competitive.
Marking scheme
**Analysis (AO2 and AO3): Max 8 marks**
- **7-8 marks:** Clear, well-structured, and detailed analysis of both tariffs and quotas, explaining the economic mechanisms of how they protect infant industries. Accurate use of economic concepts (e.g., prices, domestic output expansion, government revenue, quota rents). - **5-6 marks:** Good analysis of both instruments, but may lack depth in linking the policy effects back to the specific developmental needs of infant industries (such as achieving economies of scale). Alternatively, an excellent analysis of one policy with only brief coverage of the other. - **3-4 marks:** Limited analysis that mostly defines tariffs and quotas with simple descriptions of their effects, showing weak analytical links to how they support infant industries. - **1-2 marks:** Superficial or highly inaccurate attempt to describe protectionist tools, lacking appropriate economic terminology.
**Evaluation (AO4): Max 4 marks**
- **3-4 marks:** Offers a reasoned, balanced judgment on which policy is more effective. Considers crucial trade-offs such as the benefits of government revenue (tariffs) versus guaranteed volume restriction (quotas), and the long-term risk of industry dependency and inefficiency. - **1-2 marks:** A basic conclusion is provided, but it is largely an assertion or lacks strong theoretical justification.
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