IB DP · Thinka-original Practice Paper

2025 IB DP Mathematics - Analysis and Approaches Practice Paper with Answers

Thinka May 2025 SL (TZ2) IB Diploma Programme-Style Mock — Mathematics - Analysis and Approaches

160 marks180 mins2025
An original Thinka practice paper modelled on the structure and difficulty of the May 2025 SL (TZ2) IB Diploma Programme Mathematics - Analysis and Approaches paper. Not affiliated with or reproduced from IB.

Paper 1 Section A

Answer all questions. Answers must be written within the answer boxes provided.
6 Question · 35 marks
Question 1 · Short response
4 marks
Find the value of \( k \), where \( k > 1 \), such that \\int_{1}^{k} \\frac{6}{3x - 1} \\, dx = \\ln(16) .
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Worked solution

To find the value of \( k \), we first integrate the function with respect to \( x \): \\int \\frac{6}{3x - 1} \\, dx . Using the rule \\int \\frac{1}{ax + b} \\, dx = \\frac{1}{a} \\ln|ax + b| + C, we have: \\int \\frac{6}{3x - 1} \\, dx = 6 \\cdot \\frac{1}{3} \\ln|3x - 1| = 2 \\ln|3x - 1| . Now we apply the limits of integration from \( 1 \) to \( k \): \\left[ 2 \\ln|3x - 1| \\right]_{1}^{k} = \\ln(16) . Since \( k > 1 \), we have \( 3x - 1 > 0 \) over the interval. Substituting the limits gives: 2 \\ln(3k - 1) - 2 \\ln(3(1) - 1) = \\ln(16) \\implies 2 \\ln(3k - 1) - 2 \\ln(2) = \\ln(16) . Divide the entire equation by 2: \\ln(3k - 1) - \\ln(2) = \\frac{1}{2} \\ln(16) . Using the laws of logarithms: \\ln\\left( \\frac{3k - 1}{2} \\right) = \\ln(16^{1/2}) \\implies \\ln\\left( \\frac{3k - 1}{2} \\right) = \\ln(4) . Taking the exponential of both sides: \\frac{3k - 1}{2} = 4 \\implies 3k - 1 = 8 \\implies 3k = 9 \\implies k = 3 .

Marking scheme

**M1** for an attempt to integrate of the form \( A \ln(3x - 1) \). **A1** for correct integration resulting in \( 2 \ln(3x - 1) \) (or equivalent). **M1** for correctly substituting the limits and setting up an equation to solve for \( k \) (e.g., \( 2\ln(3k-1) - 2\ln(2) = \ln(16) \)). **A1** for \( k = 3 \). *Note: Award at most **M1A1M1A0** if \( k = 3 \) is found but other incorrect solutions like \( k = -7/3 \) are also kept (since \( k > 1 \) is given in the question).*
Question 2 · short_response
5 marks
An arithmetic sequence \( u_n \) has first term \( u_1 = 4 \) and common difference \( d \). A geometric sequence \( v_n \) has first term \( v_1 = 4 \) and common ratio \( r \). It is given that \( u_2 = v_2 + 2 \) and \( u_3 = v_3 + 3 \). Find the possible values of \( r \).
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Worked solution

Using the definitions of arithmetic and geometric sequences, we write expressions for the terms: \( u_2 = 4 + d \), \( u_3 = 4 + 2d \), \( v_2 = 4r \), and \( v_3 = 4r^2 \). From the first relation, we have: \( u_2 = v_2 + 2 \Rightarrow 4 + d = 4r + 2 \Rightarrow d = 4r - 2 \). From the second relation, we have: \( u_3 = v_3 + 3 \Rightarrow 4 + 2d = 4r^2 + 3 \). Substituting the expression for \( d \) into this equation gives: \( 4 + 2(4r - 2) = 4r^2 + 3 \). Simplifying the equation: \( 4 + 8r - 4 = 4r^2 + 3 \Rightarrow 8r = 4r^2 + 3 \Rightarrow 4r^2 - 8r + 3 = 0 \). Factoring the quadratic: \( (2r - 1)(2r - 3) = 0 \). Thus, we find the possible values of \( r \) are \( r = \frac{1}{2} \) and \( r = \frac{3}{2} \).

Marking scheme

M1: Attempt to write expressions for the terms in terms of \( d \) and \( r \). A1: Correctly establishing the relation \( d = 4r - 2 \) (or equivalent). M1: Substituting the expression for \( d \) into the equation for the third terms. A1: Obtaining the correct quadratic equation, e.g., \( 4r^2 - 8r + 3 = 0 \). A1: Finding both correct values: \( r = \frac{1}{2} \) and \( r = \frac{3}{2} \).
Question 3 · short_response
5 marks
A curve has equation \( y = f(x) \). The gradient of the curve is given by \( f'(x) = 3x \sqrt{x^2 + 5} \). Given that the curve passes through the point \( (2, 10) \), find \( f(x) \).
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Worked solution

To find \( f(x) \), we integrate the gradient function: \( f(x) = \int 3x \sqrt{x^2 + 5} \, dx \). We use integration by substitution. Let \( u = x^2 + 5 \), which gives \( \frac{du}{dx} = 2x \), or \( x \, dx = \frac{1}{2} \, du \). Substituting these into the integral: \( f(x) = \int 3 \sqrt{u} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \, du = \frac{3}{2} \int u^{\frac{1}{2}} \, du \). Integrating with respect to \( u \): \( f(x) = \frac{3}{2} \left( \frac{2}{3} u^{\frac{3}{2}} \right) + C = u^{\frac{3}{2}} + C \). Substituting back \( u = x^2 + 5 \): \( f(x) = (x^2 + 5)^{\frac{3}{2}} + C \). We use the point \( (2, 10) \) to find the constant \( C \): \( 10 = (2^2 + 5)^{\frac{3}{2}} + C \Rightarrow 10 = (9)^{\frac{3}{2}} + C \Rightarrow 10 = 27 + C \Rightarrow C = -17 \). Therefore, the equation of the curve is \( f(x) = (x^2 + 5)^{\frac{3}{2}} - 17 \).

Marking scheme

M1: Realising integration is required and attempting integration by substitution. A1: Correct substituted integral, e.g., \( \frac{3}{2} \int u^{\frac{1}{2}} \, du \). A1: Correct integration yielding \( (x^2 + 5)^{\frac{3}{2}} + C \). M1: Substituting \( x = 2 \) and \( y = 10 \) into their integrated expression to find \( C \). A1: Correct final function \( f(x) = (x^2 + 5)^{\frac{3}{2}} - 17 \).
Question 4 · Short response
7 marks
Consider the function \( f(x) = \ln(x^2 - 3x + 3) \), for \( x \in \mathbb{R} \). Find the coordinates of the points on the graph of \( f \) where the tangent is parallel to the line \( y = x \).
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Worked solution

To find where the tangent is parallel to the line \( y = x \), we set the derivative of \( f(x) \) equal to the gradient of the line, which is \( 1 \). First, find \( f'(x) \) using the chain rule: \( f'(x) = \frac{2x - 3}{x^2 - 3x + 3} \). Set \( f'(x) = 1 \): \( \frac{2x - 3}{x^2 - 3x + 3} = 1 \). Multiply both sides by \( x^2 - 3x + 3 \) (which is always positive since the discriminant is negative): \( 2x - 3 = x^2 - 3x + 3 \). Rearrange into a quadratic equation: \( x^2 - 5x + 6 = 0 \). Factor the quadratic: \( (x - 2)(x - 3) = 0 \). So, \( x = 2 \) or \( x = 3 \). Find the corresponding \( y \)-coordinates: For \( x = 2 \), \( f(2) = \ln(2^2 - 3(2) + 3) = \ln(1) = 0 \). For \( x = 3 \), \( f(3) = \ln(3^2 - 3(3) + 3) = \ln(3) \). Thus, the coordinates of the points are \( (2, 0) \) and \( (3, \ln 3) \).

Marking scheme

M1 for attempting to use the chain rule to differentiate. A1 for correct derivative: \( f'(x) = \frac{2x - 3}{x^2 - 3x + 3} \). M1 for setting their \( f'(x) = 1 \). M1 for attempting to solve the resulting equation to form a quadratic equation. A1 for finding \( x = 2 \) and \( x = 3 \). A1 for \( y = 0 \). A1 for \( y = \ln 3 \).
Question 5 · Short response
7 marks
A discrete random variable \( X \) has the probability distribution shown in the table: \( \begin{array}{c|c|c|c|c} x & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 \\ \hline \text{P}(X=x) & a & b & 0.2 & 0.1 \end{array} \) where \( a, b \in \mathbb{R} \). Given that \( \text{E}(X) = 2.2 \): (a) Find the value of \( a \) and of \( b \). (b) Find \( \text{Var}(X) \).
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Worked solution

(a) Since the sum of probabilities must equal 1: \( a + b + 0.2 + 0.1 = 1 \implies a + b = 0.7 \). Using the expected value \( \text{E}(X) = 2.2 \): \( 1(a) + 2(b) + 3(0.2) + 4(0.1) = 2.2 \implies a + 2b + 1.0 = 2.2 \implies a + 2b = 1.2 \). Subtracting the first equation from the second gives: \( b = 0.5 \). Substituting \( b = 0.5 \) back gives: \( a = 0.2 \). (b) To find the variance, first find \( \text{E}(X^2) \): \( \text{E}(X^2) = 1^2(0.2) + 2^2(0.5) + 3^2(0.2) + 4^2(0.1) = 0.2 + 2.0 + 1.8 + 1.6 = 5.6 \). Now, use the variance formula: \( \text{Var}(X) = \text{E}(X^2) - [\text{E}(X)]^2 = 5.6 - (2.2)^2 = 5.6 - 4.84 = 0.76 \).

Marking scheme

M1 for using sum of probabilities is 1 to get \( a + b = 0.7 \). M1 for using expected value formula to get \( a + 2b = 1.2 \). A1 for \( b = 0.5 \). A1 for \( a = 0.2 \). M1 for a valid attempt to find \( \text{E}(X^2) \). A1 for \( \text{E}(X^2) = 5.6 \). A1 for \( \text{Var}(X) = 0.76 \).
Question 6 · Short response
7 marks
Solve the equation \( 2\cos^2(x) + 3\sin(x) - 3 = 0 \) for \( 0 \le x \le 2\pi \).
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Worked solution

Use the identity \( \cos^2(x) = 1 - \sin^2(x) \) to rewrite the equation in terms of sine: \( 2(1 - \sin^2(x)) + 3\sin(x) - 3 = 0 \). Simplify the expression: \( 2 - 2\sin^2(x) + 3\sin(x) - 3 = 0 \implies 2\sin^2(x) - 3\sin(x) + 1 = 0 \). Factor the quadratic equation: \( (2\sin(x) - 1)(\sin(x) - 1) = 0 \). This gives two possible cases: \( \sin(x) = \frac{1}{2} \) or \( \sin(x) = 1 \). Solve each equation in the interval \( 0 \le x \le 2\pi \): For \( \sin(x) = \frac{1}{2} \), we find \( x = \frac{\pi}{6} \) and \( x = \frac{5\pi}{6} \). For \( \sin(x) = 1 \), we find \( x = \frac{\pi}{2} \). Thus, the full set of solutions is \( x = \frac{\pi}{6}, \frac{\pi}{2}, \frac{5\pi}{6} \).

Marking scheme

M1 for substituting \( \cos^2(x) = 1 - \sin^2(x) \). A1 for obtaining a correct quadratic equation in terms of sine: \( 2\sin^2(x) - 3\sin(x) + 1 = 0 \). M1 for attempting to factorize or solve their quadratic equation. A1 for finding both \( \sin(x) = \frac{1}{2} \) and \( \sin(x) = 1 \). A1 for \( x = \frac{\pi}{6} \). A1 for \( x = \frac{5\pi}{6} \). A1 for \( x = \frac{\pi}{2} \).

Paper 1 Section B

Answer all questions in the answer booklet provided.
3 Question · 45 marks
Question 1 · Extended response
13 marks
Let \(f(x) = \sin^2(x) + \cos(x)\) for \(0 \le x \le \pi\).

(a) Show that \(f'(x) = \sin(x)(2\cos(x) - 1)\). [3]

(b) Find the \(x\)-coordinates of the stationary points of \(f\) on the interval \(0 \le x \le \pi\). [3]

(c) Determine the nature of each stationary point found in part (b). [3]

(d) Find the area of the region enclosed by the curve \(y = f(x)\), the \(x\)-axis, and the vertical lines \(x = 0\) and \(x = \frac{\pi}{2}\). [4]
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Worked solution

(a) Write \(f(x) = (\sin(x))^2 + \cos(x)\).
Using the chain rule to differentiate \(\sin^2(x)\):
\[\frac{d}{dx}(\sin^2(x)) = 2\sin(x)\cos(x)\]
Using the standard derivative for \(\cos(x)\):
\[\frac{d}{dx}(\cos(x)) = -\sin(x)\]
Thus, \(f'(x) = 2\sin(x)\cos(x) - \sin(x)\).
Factorizing out \(\sin(x)\):
\[f'(x) = \sin(x)(2\cos(x) - 1)\]

(b) To find the stationary points, we set \(f'(x) = 0\):
\[\sin(x)(2\cos(x) - 1) = 0\]
This gives two cases:
1. \(\sin(x) = 0\)
Since \(0 \le x \le \pi\), this yields \(x = 0\) and \(x = \pi\).
2. \(2\cos(x) - 1 = 0 \implies \cos(x) = \frac{1}{2}\)
Since \(0 \le x \le \pi\), this yields \(x = \frac{\pi}{3}\).
Therefore, the \(x\)-coordinates of the stationary points are \(x = 0\), \(x = \frac{\pi}{3}\), and \(x = \pi\).

(c) We can use the second derivative test. First, write the derivative as:
\[f'(x) = 2\sin(x)\cos(x) - \sin(x) = \sin(2x) - \sin(x)\]
Differentiating again with respect to \(x\):
\[f''(x) = 2\cos(2x) - \cos(x)\]
Now we test each stationary point:
- For \(x = 0\):
\[f''(0) = 2\cos(0) - \cos(0) = 2(1) - 1 = 1 > 0\]
Since \(f''(0) > 0\), the point at \(x = 0\) is a local minimum.
- For \(x = \frac{\pi}{3}\):
\[f''\left(\frac{\pi}{3}\right) = 2\cos\left(\frac{2\pi}{3}\right) - \cos\left(\frac{\pi}{3}\right) = 2\left(-\frac{1}{2}\right) - \frac{1}{2} = -1 - \frac{1}{2} = -\frac{3}{2} < 0\]
Since \(f''\left(\frac{\pi}{3}\right) < 0\), the point at \(x = \frac{\pi}{3}\) is a local maximum.
- For \(x = \pi\):
\[f''(\pi) = 2\cos(2\pi) - \cos(\pi) = 2(1) - (-1) = 3 > 0\]
Since \(f''(\pi) > 0\), the point at \(x = \pi\) is a local minimum.

(d) The area \(A\) is given by the definite integral:
\[A = \int_{0}^{\frac{\pi}{2}} f(x) \, dx = \int_{0}^{\frac{\pi}{2}} (\sin^2(x) + \cos(x)) \, dx\]
Using the double angle identity \(\sin^2(x) = \frac{1 - \cos(2x)}{2}\):
\[A = \int_{0}^{\frac{\pi}{2}} \left(\frac{1}{2} - \frac{1}{2}\cos(2x) + \cos(x)\right) \, dx\]
Integrating term-by-term:
\[A = \left[ \frac{1}{2}x - \frac{1}{4\vphantom{2}}\sin(2x) + \sin(x) \right]_{0}^{\frac{\pi}{2}}\]
Substitute the upper limit \(x = \frac{\pi}{2}\):
\[\left(\frac{1}{2}\left(\frac{\pi}{2}\right) - \frac{1}{4}\sin(\pi) + \sin\left(\frac{\pi}{2}\right)\right) = \frac{\pi}{4} - 0 + 1 = \frac{\pi}{4} + 1\]
Substitute the lower limit \(x = 0\):
\[\left(0 - 0 + 0\right) = 0\]
Thus, the area is \(\frac{\pi}{4} + 1\).

Marking scheme

(a)
M1 for attempting to use the chain rule on \(\sin^2(x)\).
A1 for correct differentiation of both terms, leading to \(2\sin(x)\cos(x) - \sin(x)\).
A1 for factorizing to show the required form \(\sin(x)(2\cos(x) - 1)\).
[3 marks]

(b)
M1 for setting \(f'(x) = 0\).
A1 for finding \(x = 0\) and \(x = \pi\).
A1 for finding \(x = \frac{\pi}{3}\).
[3 marks]

(c)
M1 for attempting to find the second derivative or analyzing the sign of the first derivative around the stationary points.
\(f''(x) = 2\cos(2x) - \cos(x)\)
A1 for correctly determining that \(x = \frac{\pi}{3}\) is a local maximum with supporting work (e.g., \(f''(\frac{\pi}{3}) = -\frac{3}{2} < 0\)).
A1 for correctly determining that \(x = 0\) and \(x = \pi\) are local minima with supporting work (e.g., \(f''(0) = 1 > 0\) and \(f''(\pi) = 3 > 0\)).
Note: Accept sign charts with clear explanation of derivative changing sign.
[3 marks]

(d)
M1 for setting up the correct definite integral \(\int_{0}^{\frac{\pi}{2}} (\sin^2(x) + \cos(x)) \, dx\).
M1 for substituting the identity \(\sin^2(x) = \frac{1 - \cos(2x)}{2}\).
A1 for correct integration: \(\frac{1}{2}x - \frac{1}{4}\sin(2x) + \sin(x)\).
A1 for substituting limits and obtaining the final exact area of \(\frac{\pi}{4} + 1\).
[4 marks]
Question 2 · Extended response
15 marks
Let \( f(x) = e^{2x} - 5e^x + 4 \), for \( x \in \mathbb{R} \).

(a) Find the \( x \)-intercepts of the graph of \( f \). [3 marks]

(b) Find the coordinates of the local minimum of the graph of \( f \). [4 marks]

(c) Find the coordinates of the point of inflection of the graph of \( f \). [3 marks]

(d) The region \( R \) is bounded by the graph of \( f \) and the \( x \)-axis. Show that the area of \( R \) is \( \frac{15}{2} - 8\ln 2 \). [5 marks]
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Worked solution

(a) To find the \( x \)-intercepts, we solve \( f(x) = 0 \):

\( e^{2x} - 5e^x + 4 = 0 \)

Let \( u = e^x \). The equation becomes:

\( u^2 - 5u + 4 = 0 \implies (u-1)(u-4) = 0 \)

Thus, \( u = 1 \) or \( u = 4 \).

Since \( e^x = u \):

\( e^x = 1 \implies x = 0 \)

\( e^x = 4 \implies x = \ln 4 \) (or \( 2\ln 2 \))

So, the \( x \)-intercepts are at \( x = 0 \) and \( x = \ln 4 \).

(b) To find the coordinates of the local minimum, we first find the first derivative \( f'(x) \):

\( f'(x) = 2e^{2x} - 5e^x \)

Set \( f'(x) = 0 \) to find the stationary points:

\( e^x(2e^x - 5) = 0 \)

Since \( e^x > 0 \) for all \( x \in \mathbb{R} \), we have:

\( 2e^x - 5 = 0 \implies e^x = \frac{5}{2} \implies x = \ln\left(\frac{5}{2}\right) \)

To find the corresponding \( y \)-coordinate, substitute \( x = \ln\left(\frac{5}{2}\right) \) into \( f(x) \):

\( f\left(\ln\left(\frac{5}{2}\right)\right) = \left(\frac{5}{2}\right)^2 - 5\left(\frac{5}{2}\right) + 4 = \frac{25}{4} - \frac{25}{2} + 4 = -\frac{9}{4} \)

To verify that this point is indeed a local minimum, we find the second derivative \( f''(x) \):

\( f''(x) = 4e^{2x} - 5e^x \)

Evaluating \( f''(x) \) at \( x = \ln\left(\frac{5}{2}\right) \):

\( f''\left(\ln\left(\frac{5}{2}\right)\right) = 4\left(\frac{25}{4}\right) - 5\left(\frac{5}{2}\right) = 25 - \frac{25}{2} = \frac{25}{2} > 0 \)

Since \( f''\left(\ln\left(\frac{5}{2}\right)\right) > 0 \), the graph is concave up at this point, verifying a local minimum.

Thus, the coordinates of the local minimum are \( \left(\ln\left(\frac{5}{2}\right), -\frac{9}{4}\right) \).

(c) For a point of inflection, we set \( f''(x) = 0 \):

\( 4e^{2x} - 5e^x = 0 \implies e^x(4e^x - 5) = 0 \)

Since \( e^x > 0 \), we have:

\( 4e^x - 5 = 0 \implies e^x = \frac{5}{4} \implies x = \ln\left(\frac{5}{4}\right) \)

To find the corresponding \( y \)-coordinate, substitute \( x = \ln\left(\frac{5}{4}\right) \) into \( f(x) \):

\( f\left(\ln\left(\frac{5}{4}\right)\right) = \left(\frac{5}{4}\right)^2 - 5\left(\frac{5}{4}\right) + 4 = \frac{25}{16} - \frac{25}{4} + 4 = \frac{25 - 100 + 64}{16} = -\frac{11}{16} \)

Since \( f''(x) \) changes sign around \( x = \ln\left(\frac{5}{4}\right) \), this is a point of inflection.

The coordinates of the point of inflection are \( \left(\ln\left(\frac{5}{4}\right), -\frac{11}{16}\right) \).

(d) The region \( R \) is bounded by the graph of \( f \) and the \( x \)-axis. This region lies below the \( x \)-axis between the two \( x \)-intercepts found in part (a), \( x = 0 \) and \( x = \ln 4 \).

Therefore, the area of \( R \) is given by:

\( \text{Area} = -\int_{0}^{\ln 4} f(x) \, dx = \int_{0}^{\ln 4} (5e^x - e^{2x} - 4) \, dx \)

Now, we find the antiderivative:

\( \int (5e^x - e^{2x} - 4) \, dx = 5e^x - \frac{1}{2}e^{2x} - 4x \)

Evaluating this antiderivative at the upper limit \( x = \ln 4 \):

\( 5e^{\ln 4} - \frac{1}{2}e^{2\ln 4} - 4\ln 4 = 5(4) - \frac{1}{2}(16) - 4\ln(2^2) = 20 - 8 - 8\ln 2 = 12 - 8\ln 2 \)

Evaluating this antiderivative at the lower limit \( x = 0 \):

\( 5e^0 - \frac{1}{2}e^0 - 4(0) = 5 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{9}{2} \)

Subtracting the lower limit value from the upper limit value:

\( \text{Area} = (12 - 8\ln 2) - \frac{9}{2} = \frac{24}{2} - \frac{9}{2} - 8\ln 2 = \frac{15}{2} - 8\ln 2 \)

Thus, the area of \( R \) is indeed \( \frac{15}{2} - 8\ln 2 \).

Marking scheme

Part (a)
* **M1**: For setting \( f(x) = 0 \) to find the x-intercepts.
* **A1**: Finding the correct values \( e^x = 1 \) and \( e^x = 4 \).
* **A1**: Finding the correct x-coordinates: \( x = 0, \ln 4 \) (or \( 2\ln 2 \)). Accept coordinates written as \( (0, 0) \) and \( (\ln 4, 0) \).

Part (b)
* **M1**: For differentiating \( f(x) \) to find \( f'(x) = 2e^{2x} - 5e^x \).
* **A1**: For setting \( f'(x) = 0 \) and solving for \( x = \ln\left(\frac{5}{2}\right) \).
* **A1**: For finding the correct y-coordinate \( y = -\frac{9}{4} \).
* **R1**: For justifying that this is a local minimum, e.g., showing \( f''\left(\ln(5/2)\right) = 12.5 > 0 \) (or using a sign diagram for the first derivative).

Part (c)
* **M1**: For setting \( f''(x) = 0 \) to find the point of inflection, where \( f''(x) = 4e^{2x} - 5e^x \).
* **A1**: For finding \( x = \ln\left(\frac{5}{4}\right) \).
* **A1**: For finding the correct y-coordinate \( y = -\frac{11}{16} \). (Must be written as a coordinate pair \( \left(\ln\left(\frac{5}{4}\right), -\frac{11}{16}\right) \)).

Part (d)
* **M1**: For formulating the integral for the area with correct limits, \( -\int_{0}^{\ln 4} f(x) \, dx \) or \( \int_{0}^{\ln 4} (5e^x - e^{2x} - 4) \, dx \).
* **A1**: For the correct antiderivative, e.g., \( 5e^x - \frac{1}{2}e^{2x} - 4x \).
* **M1**: For correctly substituting the limits of integration \( 0 \) and \( \ln 4 \).
* **A1**: For evaluating the upper and lower limits correctly as \( 12 - 8\ln 2 \) and \( \frac{9}{2} \).
* **AG**: For showing all intermediate algebraic steps clearly to obtain the final requested expression: \( \frac{15}{2} - 8\ln 2 \).
Question 3 · Extended response
17 marks
Let \( f(x) = x \ln(x) \) for \( x > 0 \).

(a) (i) Find \( f'(x) \).
(ii) Hence, find the coordinates of the local minimum point of the graph of \( f \). [4 marks]

(b) Find the equation of the normal to the curve \( y = f(x) \) at the point \( P(e, e) \). Give your answer in the form \( ax + by + d = 0 \) where \( a, b, d \in \mathbb{R} \). [4 marks]

(c) Find \( f''(x) \) and determine, with a reason, whether the graph of \( f \) has any points of inflexion. [3 marks]

(d) The region \( R \) is bounded by the graph of \( f \), the \( x \)-axis, and the vertical lines \( x = 1 \) and \( x = e \). Find the exact area of \( R \). [6 marks]
Show answer & marking scheme

Worked solution

(a) (i) Using the product rule on \( f(x) = x \ln(x) \):
\( f'(x) = 1 \cdot \ln(x) + x \cdot \frac{1}{x} = \ln(x) + 1 \).

(ii) To find the local minimum, we set \( f'(x) = 0 \):
\( \ln(x) + 1 = 0 \implies \ln(x) = -1 \implies x = e^{-1} = \frac{1}{e} \).

Substituting this back into \( f(x) \) to find the \( y \)-coordinate:
\( f\left(\frac{1}{e}\right) = \frac{1}{e} \ln\left(\frac{1}{e}\right) = -\frac{1}{e} \).

Thus, the coordinates of the local minimum point are \( \left(\frac{1}{e}, -\frac{1}{e}\right) \).

(b) At point \( P(e, e) \), the gradient of the tangent is given by \( f'(e) \):
\( f'(e) = \ln(e) + 1 = 2 \).

Since the normal is perpendicular to the tangent, the gradient of the normal is:
\( m = -\frac{1}{2} \).

Using the point-slope formula for the equation of the normal line through \( (e, e) \):
\( y - e = -\frac{1}{2}(x - e) \)
\( 2y - 2e = -x + e \)
\( x + 2y - 3e = 0 \).

(c) Differentiating \( f'(x) = \ln(x) + 1 \):
\( f''(x) = \frac{1}{x} \).

For a point of inflexion, the second derivative must equal zero or be undefined, and change sign. However, since the domain of \( f \) is \( x > 0 \), we have \( f''(x) = \frac{1}{x} > 0 \) for all \( x \) in the domain. Since \( f''(x) \neq 0 \) and does not change sign (the graph remains concave up), there are no points of inflexion.

(d) Since \( f(x) \ge 0 \) on the interval \( [1, e] \), the area of \( R \) is given by:
\( \text{Area} = \int_1^e x \ln(x) \, dx \).

We use integration by parts: \( \int u \, dv = uv - \int v \, du \).
Let \( u = \ln(x) \) and \( dv = x \, dx \).
Then \( du = \frac{1}{x} \, dx \) and \( v = \frac{x^2}{2} \).

Applying the formula:
\( \int x \ln(x) \, dx = \frac{x^2}{2} \ln(x) - \int \frac{x^2}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{x} \, dx \)
\( = \frac{x^2}{2} \ln(x) - \frac{1}{2} \int x \, dx \)
\( = \frac{x^2}{2} \ln(x) - \frac{x^2}{4} \).

Now evaluate the definite integral from \( 1 \) to \( e \):
\( \left[ \frac{x^2}{2} \ln(x) - \frac{x^2}{4} \right]_1^e = \left( \frac{e^2}{2} \ln(e) - \frac{e^2}{4} \right) - \left( \frac{1^2}{2} \ln(1) - \frac{1^2}{4} \right) \)
\( = \left( \frac{e^2}{2} - \frac{e^2}{4} \right) - \left( 0 - \frac{1}{4} \right) \)
\( = \frac{e^2}{4} + \frac{1}{4} = \frac{e^2 + 1}{4} \).

Marking scheme

(a) (i)
- M1 for attempting to use the product rule
- A1 for correct derivative: \( f'(x) = \ln(x) + 1 \)
(ii)
- M1 for setting \( f'(x) = 0 \) and solving for \( x \)
- A1 for the correct coordinates \( \left(\frac{1}{e}, -\frac{1}{e}\right) \)
[4 marks]

(b)
- A1 for finding gradient of the tangent: \( f'(e) = 2 \)
- M1 for finding gradient of the normal: \( m = -\frac{1}{2} \)
- M1 for writing down a line equation using their gradient and point \( (e, e) \)
- A1 for correct equation in required form: \( x + 2y - 3e = 0 \) (or any equivalent integer multiple form)
[4 marks]

(c)
- A1 for \( f''(x) = \frac{1}{x} \)
- M1 for explaining that a point of inflexion requires \( f''(x) = 0 \) or a change in sign
- R1 for concluding there are no points of inflexion because \( f''(x) > 0 \) for all \( x > 0 \)
[3 marks]

(d)
- A1 for setting up the correct integral: \( \int_1^e x \ln(x) \, dx \)
- M1 for attempting integration by parts with correct choice of \( u \) and \( dv \)
- A1 for finding the correct antiderivative: \( \frac{x^2}{2} \ln(x) - \frac{x^2}{4} \)
- M1 for substituting the limits \( e \) and \( 1 \) into their antiderivative
- A1 for correct evaluation of upper limit terms and lower limit terms
- A1 for the final exact answer: \( \frac{e^2 + 1}{4} \)
[6 marks]

Paper 2 Section A

Answer all questions. Answers must be written within the answer boxes provided. A GDC is required.
6 Question · 34 marks
Question 1 · Short response
4 marks
The masses of a certain breed of domestic cat are normally distributed with a mean of \(4.2\text{ kg}\). It is known that \(15\%\) of these cats weigh more than \(5.1\text{ kg}\).

(a) Find the standard deviation of the cat masses.

(b) Find the probability that a randomly chosen cat of this breed weighs between \(3.5\text{ kg}\) and \(4.5\text{ kg}\).
Show answer & marking scheme

Worked solution

(a) Let \(X\) be the mass of a cat, so \(X \sim N(4.2, \sigma^2)\).
We are given \(\text{P}(X > 5.1) = 0.15\), which implies \(\text{P}(X \le 5.1) = 0.85\).
Using the standard normal distribution, we convert this to a \(z\)-score:
\(\frac{5.1 - 4.2}{\sigma} = z_{0.85}\)
Using the GDC inverse normal function:
\(z_{0.85} \approx 1.03643\)
\(\frac{0.9}{\sigma} = 1.03643\)
\̂\sigma \approx 0.86836\dots \approx 0.868\text{ kg}

(b) We now need to find \(\text{P}(3.5 \le X \le 4.5)\) where \(X \sim N(4.2, 0.86836^2)\).
Using the GDC normal cumulative distribution function (normalcdf):
\(\text{P}(3.5 \le X \le 4.5) \approx 0.42505\dots \approx 0.425\)

Marking scheme

(a)
**M1** for attempting to standardise and setting equal to a standard normal \(z\)-value (e.g., \(\frac{0.9}{\sigma} = 1.036\dots\) or \(\Phi\left(\frac{0.9}{\sigma}\right) = 0.85\)).
**A1** for \(\sigma \approx 0.868\) (or \(0.86836\dots\)).

(b)
**M1** for attempting to calculate the interval probability \(\text{P}(3.5 < X < 4.5)\) using their standard deviation from (a).
**A1** for \(0.425\) (accept \(0.42505\dots\)).
Question 2 · Short response
5 marks
The weights, \(W\) grams, of a particular variety of apples are normally distributed with mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma\).

It is given that \(15\%\) of the apples weigh more than \(180\text{ g}\), and \(6\%\) of the apples weigh less than \(120\text{ g\)}.

Find the value of \(\mu\) and of \(\sigma\).
Show answer & marking scheme

Worked solution

Let \(W \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2)\) and \(Z \sim N(0, 1)\) be the standard normal variable.

We are given:
\(P(W > 180) = 0.15 \implies P(W < 180) = 0.85\)
\(P(W < 120) = 0.06\)

Using the inverse normal cumulative distribution function on a GDC, we find the \(z\)-scores:
For \(P(Z < z_1) = 0.85\):
\(z_1 \approx 1.03643\)

For \(P(Z < z_2) = 0.06\):
\(z_2 \approx -1.55477\)

Using the standardization formula \(z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}\), we set up the following equations:
\(180 - \mu = 1.03643\sigma\)
\(120 - \mu = -1.55477\sigma\)

Subtracting the second equation from the first equation:
\(60 = (1.03643 - (-1.55477))\sigma\)
\(60 = 2.59120\sigma\)
\(120 - \mu = -1.55477\sigma\)

Solving for \(\sigma\):
\(\sigma \approx 23.1553...\)

Substituting \(\sigma\) back to find \(\mu\):
\(\mu = 180 - 1.03643(23.1553...) \approx 155.999...\)

Rounding to 3 significant figures:
\(\mu \approx 156\)
\(\sigma \approx 23.2\)

Marking scheme

**[1 Mark]** for finding the correct standard normal value for the upper tail: \(z_1 \approx 1.0364...\) (accept \(1.04\))
**[1 Mark]** for finding the correct standard normal value for the lower tail: \(z_2 \approx -1.5548...\) (accept \(-1.55\))
**[1 Mark]** for setting up at least one correct standardization equation involving \(\mu\) and \(\sigma\), e.g., \(\frac{180 - \mu}{\sigma} = 1.0364...\) or \(\frac{120 - \mu}{\sigma} = -1.5548...\)
**[1 Mark]** for correctly solving the system of equations for one of the variables (e.g., \(\sigma \approx 23.2\))
**[1 Mark]** for finding the other variable (e.g., \(\mu \approx 156\))

*Note:* If 3 s.f. values of \(z\) are used (\(1.04\) and \(-1.55\)), the equations are:
\(180 - \mu = 1.04\sigma\)
\(120 - \mu = -1.55\sigma\)
Subtracting gives \(60 = 2.59\sigma \implies \sigma \approx 23.166... \approx 23.2\).
Then \(\mu = 180 - 1.04(23.166...) \approx 155.90... \approx 156\). Accept these rounded results.
Question 3 · Short response
6 marks
The masses of a certain brand of chocolate bars, \(X\) grams, are normally distributed with a mean of 150 g and a standard deviation of 8 g. (a) Find the probability that a randomly selected chocolate bar has a mass greater than 155 g. (b) A sample of 5 chocolate bars is selected at random. Find the probability that exactly 2 of them have a mass greater than 155 g. (c) Given that a chocolate bar has a mass greater than 145 g, find the probability that its mass is less than 155 g.
Show answer & marking scheme

Worked solution

Let \(X \sim N(150, 8^2)\). (a) Using a graphic display calculator (GDC), \(P(X > 155) \approx 0.265985...\). To 3 significant figures, \(P(X > 155) = 0.266\). (b) Let \(Y\) be the number of chocolate bars with a mass greater than 155 g. \(Y \sim B(5, 0.265985...)\). Using binomial probability on a GDC, \(P(Y = 2) = \binom{5}{2} (0.265985...)^2 (1 - 0.265985...)^3 \approx 0.279791...\). To 3 significant figures, \(P(Y = 2) = 0.280\). (c) We want to find the conditional probability \(P(X < 155 \mid X > 145) = \frac{P(145 < X < 155)}{P(X > 145)}\). Using the GDC, \(P(145 < X < 155) \approx 0.468028...\) and \(P(X > 145) \approx 0.734014...\). Thus, \(\frac{0.468028...}{0.734014...} \approx 0.637628...\). To 3 significant figures, the probability is 0.638.

Marking scheme

(a) (M1) for attempting to use normal CDF on a GDC, (A1) for 0.266. (b) (M1) for identifying binomial distribution with \(n=5\) and \(p \approx 0.266\), (A1) for 0.280. (c) (M1) for setting up the conditional probability: \(\frac{P(145 < X < 155)}{P(X > 145)}\), (A1) for 0.638.
Question 4 · Short response
6 marks
A sector of a circle of radius 8 cm has an angle of \(\theta\) radians at the centre \(O\), where \(0 < \theta < \pi\). The points \(A\) and \(B\) lie on the circumference. The area of the sector \(OAB\) is twice the area of the triangle \(OAB\). (a) Write down an equation in terms of \(\theta\). (b) Find the value of \(\theta\). (c) Hence, find the area of the segment bounded by the chord \(AB\) and the arc \(AB\).
Show answer & marking scheme

Worked solution

(a) The area of the sector is \(\frac{1}{2} r^2 \theta = 32\theta\). The area of the triangle is \(\frac{1}{2} r^2 \sin\theta = 32\sin\theta\). Since the sector area is twice the triangle area, \(32\theta = 2(32\sin\theta) \implies \theta = 2\sin\theta\). (b) Using a GDC to solve \(\theta = 2\sin\theta\) in the interval \(0 < \theta < \pi\), we get \(\theta \approx 1.89549...\). To 3 significant figures, \(\theta = 1.90\) radians. (c) The area of the segment is the area of the sector minus the area of the triangle: \(\text{Area} = \frac{1}{2} r^2 \theta - \frac{1}{2} r^2 \sin\theta = 32(\theta - \sin\theta)\). Using \(\theta \approx 1.89549...\), \(\text{Area} = 32(1.89549... - \sin(1.89549...)) \approx 32(0.947743...) \approx 30.3278...\). To 3 significant figures, the area is 30.3.

Marking scheme

(a) (A1) for a correct equation, e.g., \(\frac{1}{2}(8)^2\theta = 2 \left(\frac{1}{2}(8)^2\sin\theta\right)\) or \(\theta = 2\sin\theta\). (b) (M1) for attempting to solve the equation using GDC, (A1) for \(\theta \approx 1.90\). (c) (M1) for expressing the area of the segment as \(\frac{1}{2}r^2(\theta - \target)\) or \(32(\theta - \sin\theta)\), (A1) for substituting the values correctly, (A1) for 30.3.
Question 5 · Short response
6 marks
Let \(f(x) = \mathrm{e}^{-0.5x^2}\) and \(g(x) = x^2 - 2\) for \(x \in \mathbb{R}\). The graphs of \(f\) and \(g\) intersect at two points, enclosing a region \(R\). (a) Find the \(x\)-coordinates of the points of intersection of the graphs of \(f\) and \(g\. (b) Find the area of the region \)R\).
Show answer & marking scheme

Worked solution

(a) To find the points of intersection, we set \(f(x) = g(x) \implies \mathrm{e}^{-0.5x^2} = x^2 - 2\). Using a GDC to find the intersections of the two curves, we get \(x \approx -1.52138... \) and \(x \approx 1.52138...\). To 3 significant figures, the \(x\)-coordinates are \(x = -1.52\) and \(x = 1.52\). (b) The area of the region \(R\) is given by \(\text{Area} = \int_{-1.52138...}^{1.52138...} (f(x) - g(x)) \mathrm{d}x = \int_{-1.52138...}^{1.52138...} \left(\mathrm{e}^{-0.5x^2} - (x^2 - 2)\right) \mathrm{d}x\). Using the numerical integration function on a GDC, we get \(\text{Area} \approx 5.92438...\). To 3 significant figures, the area is 5.92.

Marking scheme

(a) (M1) for setting up the equation \(\mathrm{e}^{-0.5x^2} = x^2 - 2\), (A1) for \(x \approx -1.52\), (A1) for \(x \approx 1.52\). (b) (M1) for setting up the integral for the area with their limits from part (a), (A1) for correct substitution of limits and functions: \(\int_{-1.52}^{1.52} \left(\mathrm{e}^{-0.5x^2} - x^2 + 2\right) \mathrm{d}x\), (A1) for 5.92.
Question 6 · Short response
7 marks
The mass, \(X\) grams, of a certain type of apple is normally distributed with mean \(150\text{ g}\) and standard deviation \(12\text{ g}\).

Apples are classified as "Standard" if they weigh between \(135\text{ g}\) and \(165\text{ g}\).

Apples are classified as "Premium" if they weigh more than \(165\text{ g}\).

(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected apple is Premium.

(b) An apple is chosen at random and is found to be Standard. Find the probability that it weighs more than \(145\text{ g}\).

(c) A box contains \(10\) randomly selected apples. Find the probability that at least \(8\) of these apples weigh more than \(135\text{ g}\).
Show answer & marking scheme

Worked solution

(a) Let \(X\) be the mass of a randomly selected apple, where \(X \sim \text{N}(150, 12^2)\).
We want to find \(P(X > 165)\).
Using a GDC with lower bound \(165\), upper bound \(\infty\), \(\mu = 150\), and \(\sigma = 12\):
\(P(X > 165) \approx 0.105650... \approx 0.106\).

(b) "Standard" apples have a mass between \(135\text{ g}\) and \(165\text{ g}\).
We want to find the conditional probability \(P(X > 145 \mid 135 \le X \le 165)\).
Using the conditional probability formula:
\(P(X > 145 \mid 135 \le X \le 165) = \frac{P(145 < X \le 165)}{P(135 \le X \le 165)}\).
Using a GDC to find the individual probabilities:
\(P(145 < X \le 165) \approx 0.555889...\)
\(P(135 \le X \le 165) \approx 0.788700...\)
Now, calculate the ratio:
\(\frac{0.555889...}{0.788700...} \approx 0.704817... \approx 0.705\).

(c) Let \(Y\) be the number of apples in the box that weigh more than \(135\text{ g}\).
First, we find the probability of a single apple weighing more than \(135\text{ g}\):
\(p = P(X > 135) = 1 - P(X \le 135)\).
Since \(P(X \le 135) \approx 0.105650...\), we have \(p \approx 1 - 0.105650 = 0.894350...\).
Since the apples are randomly and independently selected, \(Y\) follows a binomial distribution:
\(Y \sim \text{B}(10, 0.894350...)\).
We want to find \(P(Y \ge 8) = P(Y = 8) + P(Y = 9) + P(Y = 10)\).
Using a GDC for binomial cumulative probability:
\(P(Y \ge 8) = 1 - P(Y \le 7) \approx 1 - 0.083259... \approx 0.916741... \approx 0.917\).

Marking scheme

(a)
M1: For attempting to find \(P(X > 165)\) using the normal distribution with \(\mu = 150\) and \(\sigma = 12\).
A1: \(0.106\) (accept \(0.105\))
[2 marks]

(b)
M1: For a correct formulation of the conditional probability, i.e., \(\frac{P(145 < X \le 165)}{P(135 \le X \le 165)}\).
M1: For finding \(P(145 < X \le 165) \approx 0.556\) and \(P(135 \le X \le 165) \approx 0.789\).
A1: \(0.705\) (accept \(0.704\))
[3 marks]

(c)
M1: For recognizing the binomial scenario with \(n = 10\) and probability of success \(p = P(X > 135) \approx 0.894\).
A1: \(0.917\) (accept \(0.916\))
[2 marks]

Paper 2 Section B

Answer all questions in the answer booklet provided. A GDC is required.
3 Question · 46 marks
Question 1 · Extended Response
14 marks
A local bakery produces artisanal loaves of bread. The weights of these loaves, \(W\) grams, are normally distributed with mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma\).

It is known that \(10\%\) of the loaves weigh less than \(385\text{ g}\), and \(5\%\) of the loaves weigh more than \(415\text{ g}\).

(a) Find the value of \(\mu\) and of \(\sigma\). [5]

(b) Find the probability that a randomly chosen loaf of bread weighs between \(390\text{ g}\) and \(410\text{ g}\). [2]

The bakery sells its loaves in bags of 6. A bag of bread is classified as *premium* if at least 4 of the loaves in the bag weigh more than \(402\text{ g}\).

(c) (i) Find the probability that a randomly chosen loaf of bread weighs more than \(402\text{ g}\). [2]

(ii) Find the probability that a randomly chosen bag of bread is classified as *premium*. [3]

(d) Given that a bag of bread is premium, find the probability that all 6 loaves in the bag weigh more than \(402\text{ g}\). [2]
Show answer & marking scheme

Worked solution

(a) Let \(W\) be the weight of a loaf of bread, where \(W \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2)\).
Using the standard normal distribution \(Z \sim N(0, 1)\):
\(P(W < 385) = 0.10 \implies P\left(Z < \frac{385 - \mu}{\sigma}\right) = 0.10\)
Using a GDC, the \(z\)-score for the 10th percentile is \(-1.28155...\)
So, \(\frac{385 - \mu}{\sigma} = -1.28155 \implies \mu - 1.28155\sigma = 385\) (Equation 1)

Similarly,
\(P(W > 415) = 0.05 \implies P\left(Z < \frac{415 - \mu}{\sigma}\right) = 0.95\)
Using a GDC, the \(z\)-score for the 95th percentile is \(1.64485...\)
So, \(\frac{415 - \mu}{\sigma} = 1.64485 \implies \mu + 1.64485\sigma = 415\) (Equation 2)

Subtracting Equation 1 from Equation 2:
\((\mu + 1.64485\sigma) - (\mu - 1.28155\sigma) = 415 - 385\)
\(2.92640\sigma = 30\)
\(\sigma \approx 10.2515...\)
\(\sigma = 10.3\text{ g}\) (to 3 s.f.)

Substituting \(\sigma\) back to find \(\mu\):
\(\mu = 415 - 1.64485(10.2515) \approx 398.138...\)
\(\mu = 398\text{ g}\) (to 3 s.f.)

(b) We want to find \(P(390 < W < 410)\) where \(W \sim N(398.138, 10.2515^2)\).
Using the normal CDF function on a GDC with lower limit \(390\), upper limit \(410\), \(\mu = 398.138\), and \(\sigma = 10.2515\):
\(P(390 < W < 410) \approx 0.66275...\)
\(P(390 < W < 410) = 0.663\) (to 3 s.f.)

(c) (i) We want to find \(P(W > 402)\).
Using the normal CDF function on a GDC with lower limit \(402\), upper limit \(\infty\):
\(P(W > 402) \approx 0.42795...\)
\(P(W > 402) = 0.428\) (to 3 s.f.)

(ii) Let \(X\) be the number of loaves in a bag of 6 that weigh more than \(402\text{ g}\).
Then \(X\) follows a binomial distribution: \(X \sim B(6, p)\) where \(p = 0.42795...\)
We want to find \(P(X \ge 4)\).
\(P(X \ge 4) = 1 - P(X \le 3)\)
Using the binomial CDF function on a GDC with \(n = 6\), \(p = 0.42795\), and \(x = 3\):
\(P(X \le 3) \approx 0.78000...\)
\(P(X \ge 4) = 1 - 0.78000... \approx 0.22000...\)
\(P(X \ge 4) = 0.220\) (to 3 s.f.)

(d) We want to find the conditional probability \(P(X = 6 \mid X \ge 4)\).
\(P(X = 6 \mid X \ge 4) = \frac{P(X = 6 \cap X \ge 4)}{P(X \ge 4)} = \frac{P(X = 6)}{P(X \ge 4)}\)
Using binomial PDF on a GDC:
\(P(X = 6) = (0.42795)^6 \approx 0.0061418...\)
\(P(X = 6 \mid X \ge 4) = \frac{0.0061418}{0.22000} \approx 0.027917...\)
\(P(X = 6 \mid X \ge 4) = 0.0279\) (to 3 s.f.)

Marking scheme

**Part (a)**
* **M1**: Evidence of standardizing and setting up a probability equation (e.g., \(z = -1.282\) or \(1.645\)).
* **M1**: Another standardizing equation for the second percentage.
* **A1**: Both standard normal equations correct: \(\frac{385-\mu}{\sigma} = -1.28155...\) and \(\frac{415-\mu}{\sigma} = 1.64485...\) (or equivalent).
* **M1**: Evidence of attempting to solve the system of equations for \(\mu\) and \(\sigma\).
* **A1**: Correct values for both: \(\mu = 398\) (accept \(398.138...\)), \(\sigma = 10.3\) (accept \(10.2515...\)).
*Note: Accept answers that round to 3 s.f. directly from GDC equations.*

**Part (b)**
* **M1**: Evidence of normal CDF calculation on GDC (such as writing down the lower and upper bounds with their mean and standard deviation).
* **A1**: Correct probability: \(0.663\) (accept \(0.662\) to \(0.664\) depending on rounding of \(\mu\) and \(\sigma\)).

**Part (c)(i)**
* **M1**: Attempting to calculate \(P(W > 402)\) using their \(\mu\) and \(\sigma\).
* **A1**: Correct probability: \(0.428\) (accept \(0.42795...\)).

**Part (c)(ii)**
* **M1**: Recognizing binomial distribution with parameters \(n = 6\) and \(p = \text{their answer to (c)(i)}\).
* **M1**: Evidence of calculating \(P(X \ge 4)\), e.g., writing \(1 - P(X \le 3)\) or \(P(X=4) + P(X=5) + P(X=6)\).
* **A1**: Correct probability: \(0.220\) (accept \(0.22000...\)).

**Part (d)**
* **M1**: Writing down a correct expression for conditional probability, \(\frac{P(X = 6)}{P(X \ge 4)}\).
* **A1**: Correct final probability: \(0.0279\) (accept \(0.027917...\) or \(0.0280\) if using rounded 3 s.f. values).
Question 2 · Extended response
15 marks
The net rate of flow of water into a reservoir, in thousands of cubic meters per hour (\(10^3\text{ m}^3\text{h}^{-1}\)), is modeled by the function \(R(t) = 2 + 8 \sin\left(\frac{\pi t}{4}\right) e^{-0.12t}\), for \(0 \le t \le 12\), where \(t\) is the time in hours after midnight.

(a) Find:
(i) the initial net rate of flow;
(ii) the net rate of flow at \(t = 2\). [2]

(b) Find the first time \(t\) after midnight at which the net rate of flow of water is zero. [3]

(c) Find the maximum net rate of flow of water into the reservoir, and the time at which this maximum occurs. Justify why this is the global maximum on the interval \(0 \le t \le 12\). [4]

(d) At midnight, the reservoir contains \(50\) thousand cubic meters of water. Find the volume of water in the reservoir at \(t = 8\). [4]

(e) Find the average net rate of flow into the reservoir over the first \(8\) hours. [2]
Show answer & marking scheme

Worked solution

**(a)**
(i) Substitute \(t = 0\) into the model: \(R(0) = 2 + 8 \sin(0) e^0 = 2\) thousand cubic meters per hour.

(ii) Substitute \(t = 2\) into the model: \(R(2) = 2 + 8 \sin\left(\frac{2\pi}{4}\right) e^{-0.12 \times 2} = 2 + 8(1)e^{-0.24} \approx 8.29\) thousand cubic meters per hour.

**(b)**
We set \(R(t) = 0\):
\(2 + 8 \sin\left(\frac{\pi t}{4}\right) e^{-0.12t} = 0\)
Using a graphic display calculator (GDC) to find the first positive root, we obtain:
\(t \approx 4.57\) hours (or \(4.569...\) hours).

**(c)**
Using the GDC maximum finder tool on the graph of \(R(t)\) for \(0 \le t \le 12\), we find a local maximum occurs at:
\(t \approx 1.81\) hours (or \(1.807...\) hours) with a maximum rate of flow of \(R(1.81) \approx 8.37\) thousand cubic meters per hour (or \(8.366...\)).

To justify that this is the global maximum on the interval \(0 \le t \le 12\), we compare it with the boundary values and other local extrema:
- At the boundaries: \(R(0) = 2\) and \(R(12) = 2 + 8 \sin(3\pi) e^{-1.44} = 2\).
- The next local maximum occurs when \(\frac{\pi t}{4} \approx 1.419 + 2\pi \implies t \approx 9.81\) hours, where \(R(9.81) \approx 4.44\).
Since \(8.37 > 4.44\) and \(8.37 > 2\), the local maximum at \(t \approx 1.81\) is the global maximum on the domain.

**(d)**
The volume of water at \(t = 8\) is given by:
\(V(8) = V(0) + \int_0^8 R(t) \, \mathrm{d}t\)
\(V(8) = 50 + \int_0^8 \left( 2 + 8 \sin\left(\frac{\pi t}{4}\right) e^{-0.12t} \right) \mathrm{d}t\)
Using the numerical integration feature of the GDC, we evaluate the definite integral:
\(\int_0^8 R(t) \, \mathrm{d}t \approx 22.143...\)
Therefore, \(V(8) \approx 50 + 22.143 = 72.1\) thousand cubic meters (or \(72143\text{ m}^3\)).

**(e)**
The average net rate of flow is given by:
\(\text{Average} = \frac{1}{8-0} \int_0^8 R(t) \, \mathrm{d}t\)
\(\text{Average} = \frac{22.143...}{8} \approx 2.77\) thousand cubic meters per hour.

Marking scheme

**(a)**
(i) \(R(0) = 2\) *(A1)*
(ii) \(R(2) = 8.29\) *(A1)*
*[2 Marks]*

**(b)**
Setting \(R(t) = 0\) *(M1)*
Evidence of using GDC to solve (e.g. sketching or writing down equation) *(M1)*
\(t = 4.57\) (accept \(4.569...\)) *(A1)*
*[3 Marks]*

**(c)**
Method to find local maximum (e.g., setting \(R'(t) = 0\) or using GDC maximum finder) *(M1)*
\(t = 1.81\) (accept \(1.807...\)) *(A1)*
Maximum net rate of flow \(= 8.37\) (accept \(8.366...\)) *(A1)*
Comparing the local maximum value with boundaries and/or other local extrema to justify it is the global maximum *(R1)*
*[4 Marks]*

**(d)**
Recognizing that volume is the integral of the rate plus initial volume *(M1)*
\(V(8) = 50 + \int_0^8 R(t) \, \mathrm{d}t\) *(A1)*
Evaluating the integral to obtain \(\approx 22.143...\) (or \(22.1\)) *(A1)*
\(V(8) = 72.1\) (thousand cubic meters) (accept \(72.143...\) or \(72143\)) *(A1)*
*[4 Marks]*

**(e)**
Correct average value formula *(M1)*
\(\text{Average} = 2.77\) (thousand cubic meters per hour) (accept \(2.767...\)) *(A1)*
*[2 Marks]*
Question 3 · Extended response
17 marks
A designer is modeling the shape of a new ceramic vase. The vase has a flat base and a height of \(6\text{ cm}\).

The cross-sectional radius of the vase, in cm, at a height \(x\text{ cm}\) above the base can be modeled by a function. The base of the vase corresponds to \(x = 0\) and the top of the vase corresponds to \(x = 6\).

**Model 1**

The first model uses the function \(f(x) = 5 + 2\sin(x) - 0.5x\) for \(0 \le x \le 6\).

(a) Find the coordinates of the local maximum of \(f(x)\) in the interval \(0 \le x \le 6\). [2 marks]

(b) In this model, the solid shape of the vase is formed by rotating the region bounded by the curve \(y = f(x)\), the \(x\)-axis, and the lines \(x = 0\) and \(x = 6\) through \(360^\circ\) about the \(x\)-axis. Find the volume of the vase predicted by Model 1. [3 marks]

**Model 2**

The second model proposes that the cross-sectional radius is modeled by a quadratic function \(g(x) = ax^2 + bx + c\) for \(0 \le x \le 6\).

The profile of this model passes through the points on the curve of Model 1 at \(x = 0\), \(x = 3\), and \(x = 6\).

(c) (i) Find the values of \(a\), \(b\), and \(c\). [4 marks]

(ii) Find the volume of the vase predicted by Model 2. [3 marks]

**Evaluation**

The actual volume of the completed ceramic vase is measured to be \(290\text{ cm}^3\).

(d) (i) State, with a reason, which model is a more accurate representation of the actual volume of the vase. [2 marks]

(ii) For the more accurate model identified in part (d)(i), calculate the percentage error between the predicted volume and the actual volume. [3 marks]
Show answer & marking scheme

Worked solution

**(a)**
To find the local maximum, we set the first derivative of \(f(x)\) to zero:
\(f'(x) = 2\cos(x) - 0.5 = 0\)
\(\cos(x) = 0.25\)
For \(0 \le x \le 6\), the local maximum occurs at \(x \approx 1.31812... \approx 1.32\).
Substitute \(x\) back into \(f(x)\):
\(f(1.31812...) = 5 + 2\sin(1.31812...) - 0.5(1.31812...) \approx 6.2774...\)
So, the coordinates of the local maximum are \((1.32, 6.28)\).

**(b)**
The volume is given by the formula:
\(V = \pi \int_{0}^{6} [f(x)]^2 \, dx\)
\(V = \pi \int_{0}^{6} (5 + 2\sin(x) - 0.5x)^2 \, dx\)
Using a GDC to evaluate the definite integral:
\(V \approx 103.414... \times \pi \approx 324.881... \approx 325\text{ cm}^3\).

**(c) (i)**
First, we evaluate \(f(x)\) at the given \(x\) values:
- At \(x = 0\), \(f(0) = 5\).
- At \(x = 3\), \(f(3) = 5 + 2\sin(3) - 1.5 \approx 3.78224...\).
- At \(x = 6\), \(f(6) = 5 + 2\sin(6) - 3 \approx 1.44117...\).

Since the curve of \(g(x)\) passes through these points:
- \(g(0) = c = 5\)
- \(g(3) = 9a + 3b + 5 = 3.78224...\)
- \(g(6) = 36a + 6b + 5 = 1.44117...\)

Solving this linear system using a GDC or algebraic elimination:
\(9a + 3b = -1.21776... \implies 3a + b = -0.40592...\)
\(36a + 6b = -3.55883... \implies 6a + b = -0.59314...\)
Subtracting the first simplified equation from the second:
\(3a = -0.18722... \implies a \approx -0.062407... \approx -0.0624\)
Then, \(b = -0.40592... - 3(-0.062407...) \approx -0.21870... \approx -0.219\).
So, \(a \approx -0.0624\), \(b \approx -0.219\), \(c = 5\).

**(c) (ii)**
The volume is given by:
\(V = \pi \int_{0}^{6} (ax^2 + bx + c)^2 \, dx\)
Substituting the exact values of \(a, b, c\):
\(V = \pi \int_{0}^{6} (-0.062407...x^2 - 0.21870...x + 5)^2 \, dx\)
Using a GDC to evaluate this integral:
\(V \approx 84.0458... \times \pi \approx 264.04... \approx 264\text{ cm}^3\).

**(d) (i)**
We compare the predicted volumes with the actual volume of \(290\text{ cm}^3\):
- Error in Model 1: \(|324.88... - 290| \approx 34.9\text{ cm}^3\)
- Error in Model 2: \(|264.04... - 290| \approx 26.0\text{ cm}^3\)
Model 2 is more accurate because its predicted volume is closer to the actual volume of \(290\text{ cm}^3\).

**(d) (ii)**
The percentage error is:
\(\text{Percentage Error} = \frac{|\text{Predicted} - \text{Actual}|}{\text{Actual}} \times 100\%\)
\(\text{Percentage Error} = \frac{|264.04... - 290|}{290} \times 100\% \approx 8.95\%\) (accept \(8.96\%\) or \(8.97\%\) if using rounded values from previous steps).

Marking scheme

**(a)**
- **(M1)** for attempting to find the local maximum (e.g. setting \(f'(x) = 0\) or finding the peak on a GDC sketch).
- **(A1)** for \((1.32, 6.28)\) (must have both coordinates correct to 3 sf).

**(b)**
- **(M1)** for setting up the volume of revolution integral \(\pi \int y^2 \, dx\).
- **(A1)** for the correct substitution of \(f(x)\) and limits: \(\pi \int_{0}^{6} (5 + 2\sin(x) - 0.5x)^2 \, dx\).
- **(A1)** for \(325\text{ cm}^3\) (or \(103\pi\)).

**(c) (i)**
- **(M1)** for finding the values of \(f(0)\), \(f(3)\), and \(f(6)\) (at least two correct).
- **(A1)** for \(c = 5\).
- **(M1)** for setting up a correct system of equations in terms of \(a\) and \(b\).
- **(A1)** for \(a \approx -0.0624\) and \(b \approx -0.219\).

**(c) (ii)**
- **(M1)** for setting up the volume integral with their quadratic expression: \(\pi \int_{0}^{6} (g(x))^2 \, dx\).
- **(A1)(FT)** for the correct substitution of their \(a, b, c\).
- **(A1)(FT)** for \(264\text{ cm}^3\) (or \(84.0\pi\)).

**(d) (i)**
- **(M1)** for finding the absolute difference from the actual volume for both models (\(34.9\) vs \(26.0\)).
- **(R1)** for concluding Model 2 is more accurate because \(26.0 < 34.9\).

**(d) (ii)**
- **(M1)** for setting up the percentage error formula.
- **(A1)** for substituting the correct values: \(\frac{|264.04... - 290|}{290} \times 100\%\).
- **(A1)(FT)** for \(8.95\%\) (accept \(8.96\%\) or \(8.97\%\). If Model 1 was chosen in (d)(i), award **(A1)(FT)** for \(12.0\%\)).

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