Question 1 · structured
25 marks1 (a) Study Fig. 1.1, which shows birth and death rates in South Korea (an MEDC in East Asia) between 1970 and 2022.
(i) Identify the birth rate of South Korea in 1990. [1]
(ii) Describe the overall trend in the death rate between 1970 and 2022. [2]
(iii) Compare the natural population change in South Korea in 1970 with that in 2022. Use statistics from Fig. 1.1 in your answer. [3]
(iv) Explain why birth rates are low in MEDCs such as South Korea. [4]
(b) Study Fig. 1.2, which shows the percentage of South Korea's population aged 65 and over from 1980 projected to 2050.
(i) Describe the problems caused by an ageing population for the economy of a country. [3]
(ii) Suggest strategies that governments can use to address the challenges of an ageing population and a shrinking workforce. [5]
(c) For a named country you have studied, explain the causes of a high rate of natural population growth. [7]
(i) Identify the birth rate of South Korea in 1990. [1]
(ii) Describe the overall trend in the death rate between 1970 and 2022. [2]
(iii) Compare the natural population change in South Korea in 1970 with that in 2022. Use statistics from Fig. 1.1 in your answer. [3]
(iv) Explain why birth rates are low in MEDCs such as South Korea. [4]
(b) Study Fig. 1.2, which shows the percentage of South Korea's population aged 65 and over from 1980 projected to 2050.
(i) Describe the problems caused by an ageing population for the economy of a country. [3]
(ii) Suggest strategies that governments can use to address the challenges of an ageing population and a shrinking workforce. [5]
(c) For a named country you have studied, explain the causes of a high rate of natural population growth. [7]
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Worked solution
(a) (i) 15 per 1000 (accept 14 to 16 per 1000).
(ii) The death rate remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 5 and 6 per 1000, before showing a slight upward trend towards the end of the period, reaching approximately 7 per 1000 by 2022.
(iii) In 1970, South Korea had a high rate of natural increase as the birth rate (31 per 1000) was much higher than the death rate (6 per 1000). By 2022, South Korea experienced a natural decrease because the birth rate had fallen to 5 per 1000, which was lower than the death rate of 7 per 1000.
(iv) Birth rates are low in MEDCs due to: widespread availability and affordability of contraception; high cost of raising children and education; emancipation of women who focus on careers and higher education; delayed marriage and family planning; and low infant mortality rates meaning families do not need to have many children to ensure survival.
(b) (i) Economic problems of an ageing population include: a shrinking active workforce leading to labour shortages; increased government expenditure on state pensions and elderly healthcare; and a heavier tax burden on the smaller working-age population.
(ii) Strategies to address this include: raising the retirement age to keep people in the workforce longer; introducing pro-natalist policies such as subsidised childcare or tax incentives to encourage larger families; investing in automation and artificial intelligence to replace scarce manual labour; and encouraging immigration of skilled, working-age migrants from other nations.
(c) Case study of Niger:
Niger has a high rate of natural population growth driven by high birth rates and falling death rates. High birth rates are caused by early marriage (average age of marriage for girls is under 16), low levels of female literacy (less than 20%), and strong cultural preferences for large families to assist with subsistence farming. Furthermore, lack of access to family planning resources and high infant mortality rates (around 48 per 1000) encourage families to have more children to ensure some survive to adulthood. Concurrently, death rates have decreased due to improved medical interventions, vaccinations, and cleaner water supply projects funded by international aid.
(ii) The death rate remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 5 and 6 per 1000, before showing a slight upward trend towards the end of the period, reaching approximately 7 per 1000 by 2022.
(iii) In 1970, South Korea had a high rate of natural increase as the birth rate (31 per 1000) was much higher than the death rate (6 per 1000). By 2022, South Korea experienced a natural decrease because the birth rate had fallen to 5 per 1000, which was lower than the death rate of 7 per 1000.
(iv) Birth rates are low in MEDCs due to: widespread availability and affordability of contraception; high cost of raising children and education; emancipation of women who focus on careers and higher education; delayed marriage and family planning; and low infant mortality rates meaning families do not need to have many children to ensure survival.
(b) (i) Economic problems of an ageing population include: a shrinking active workforce leading to labour shortages; increased government expenditure on state pensions and elderly healthcare; and a heavier tax burden on the smaller working-age population.
(ii) Strategies to address this include: raising the retirement age to keep people in the workforce longer; introducing pro-natalist policies such as subsidised childcare or tax incentives to encourage larger families; investing in automation and artificial intelligence to replace scarce manual labour; and encouraging immigration of skilled, working-age migrants from other nations.
(c) Case study of Niger:
Niger has a high rate of natural population growth driven by high birth rates and falling death rates. High birth rates are caused by early marriage (average age of marriage for girls is under 16), low levels of female literacy (less than 20%), and strong cultural preferences for large families to assist with subsistence farming. Furthermore, lack of access to family planning resources and high infant mortality rates (around 48 per 1000) encourage families to have more children to ensure some survive to adulthood. Concurrently, death rates have decreased due to improved medical interventions, vaccinations, and cleaner water supply projects funded by international aid.
Marking scheme
1 (a) (i) 1 mark for correct identification of birth rate in 1990 (15 per 1000, accept 14–16).
(ii) 2 marks for describing the trend: fluctuates/stable around 5-6 per 1000 [1], rises slightly towards 2022 [1].
(iii) 3 marks: Statement identifying natural increase in 1970 and decrease/lower growth in 2022 [1]. Accurate paired data for 1970 (Birth rate 31, Death rate 6) [1]. Accurate paired data for 2022 (Birth rate 5, Death rate 7) [1].
(iv) 4 marks for explaining low birth rates: Contraception availability [1], high cost of living/children [1], women working/seeking careers [1], late marriage/lifestyle changes [1].
(b) (i) 3 marks for describing economic problems: Higher tax rates for working population [1], increased government spend on health/care homes [1], workforce/skills shortages [1].
(ii) 5 marks for suggesting strategies: Pro-natalist policies/childcare subsidies [1], raising retirement age [1], encouraging selective immigration [1], automation/mechanisation [1], private pension incentives [1].
(c) L1 (1-3 marks): Simple statements explaining high birth rates or falling death rates (e.g., they need children to work on farms, girls marry early, better healthcare).
L2 (4-6 marks): Developed explanations with specific linkages (e.g., girls marry early due to cultural traditions which increases their reproductive window, leading to high birth rates of over 6 children per woman).
L3 (7 marks): Comprehensive, well-developed explanation with reference to both births and deaths, including place-specific details for a named country (e.g., Niger, Niamey, fertility rate of 6.8).
(ii) 2 marks for describing the trend: fluctuates/stable around 5-6 per 1000 [1], rises slightly towards 2022 [1].
(iii) 3 marks: Statement identifying natural increase in 1970 and decrease/lower growth in 2022 [1]. Accurate paired data for 1970 (Birth rate 31, Death rate 6) [1]. Accurate paired data for 2022 (Birth rate 5, Death rate 7) [1].
(iv) 4 marks for explaining low birth rates: Contraception availability [1], high cost of living/children [1], women working/seeking careers [1], late marriage/lifestyle changes [1].
(b) (i) 3 marks for describing economic problems: Higher tax rates for working population [1], increased government spend on health/care homes [1], workforce/skills shortages [1].
(ii) 5 marks for suggesting strategies: Pro-natalist policies/childcare subsidies [1], raising retirement age [1], encouraging selective immigration [1], automation/mechanisation [1], private pension incentives [1].
(c) L1 (1-3 marks): Simple statements explaining high birth rates or falling death rates (e.g., they need children to work on farms, girls marry early, better healthcare).
L2 (4-6 marks): Developed explanations with specific linkages (e.g., girls marry early due to cultural traditions which increases their reproductive window, leading to high birth rates of over 6 children per woman).
L3 (7 marks): Comprehensive, well-developed explanation with reference to both births and deaths, including place-specific details for a named country (e.g., Niger, Niamey, fertility rate of 6.8).