Question 1 · structured
18 marksTable 1.1 shows selected population structure data for Country X (a newly industrializing country) and Country Y (a highly developed country).
Table 1.1:
- Young dependents (0-14 years): Country X = 25.0%, Country Y = 13.0%
- Economically active (15-64 years): Country X = 66.0%, Country Y = 64.0%
- Old dependents (65+ years): Country X = 9.0%, Country Y = 23.0%
- Total dependency ratio: Country X = 51.5, Country Y = 56.3
(a) Study Table 1.1.
(i) What percentage of Country Y's population is made up of young dependents?
Underline or state your choice from: 9.0% / 13.0% / 23.0% / 25.0% [1]
(ii) Compare the proportion of old dependents in Country X and Country Y. Use statistics in your answer. [2]
(iii) Describe three features of a population pyramid for a country with a low birth rate and high life expectancy, such as Country Y. [3]
(iv) Explain why birth rates are declining in many transitioning countries like Country X. [4]
(b) Many countries have unbalanced dependency ratios.
(i) Describe three problems that a country might face if it has a high young dependency ratio. [3]
(ii) Explain the strategies a country can use to cope with a rapidly aging population. [5]
Table 1.1:
- Young dependents (0-14 years): Country X = 25.0%, Country Y = 13.0%
- Economically active (15-64 years): Country X = 66.0%, Country Y = 64.0%
- Old dependents (65+ years): Country X = 9.0%, Country Y = 23.0%
- Total dependency ratio: Country X = 51.5, Country Y = 56.3
(a) Study Table 1.1.
(i) What percentage of Country Y's population is made up of young dependents?
Underline or state your choice from: 9.0% / 13.0% / 23.0% / 25.0% [1]
(ii) Compare the proportion of old dependents in Country X and Country Y. Use statistics in your answer. [2]
(iii) Describe three features of a population pyramid for a country with a low birth rate and high life expectancy, such as Country Y. [3]
(iv) Explain why birth rates are declining in many transitioning countries like Country X. [4]
(b) Many countries have unbalanced dependency ratios.
(i) Describe three problems that a country might face if it has a high young dependency ratio. [3]
(ii) Explain the strategies a country can use to cope with a rapidly aging population. [5]
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Worked solution
(a)(i) According to Table 1.1, the percentage of young dependents in Country Y is 13.0%.
(a)(ii) Country Y has a significantly higher proportion of old dependents (23.0%) compared to Country X (9.0%). This is a difference of 14.0% points.
(a)(iii) Features of an aging country's population pyramid include a narrow base (indicating low birth rates), a wide/thick top (indicating high life expectancy/large elderly cohort), and straight or barrel-shaped sides (low death rates in middle age).
(a)(iv) Declining birth rates in transitioning economies are driven by increased urbanization, female empowerment and participation in higher education/careers, availability and social acceptance of family planning and contraception, and a shift away from subsistence agriculture where children are needed as laborers.
(b)(i) High young dependency ratios cause heavy government expenditure on primary education and school infrastructure, strain healthcare systems with pediatric care, and limit domestic savings as parents spend disposable income on immediate childcare.
(b)(ii) To manage an aging population, governments can raise the retirement age (retaining older workers in the tax base), encourage selective immigration of working-age adults, introduce pro-natalist subsidies/policies to boost birth rates, promote private pension schemes to reduce reliance on state funding, and invest in healthcare automation.
(a)(ii) Country Y has a significantly higher proportion of old dependents (23.0%) compared to Country X (9.0%). This is a difference of 14.0% points.
(a)(iii) Features of an aging country's population pyramid include a narrow base (indicating low birth rates), a wide/thick top (indicating high life expectancy/large elderly cohort), and straight or barrel-shaped sides (low death rates in middle age).
(a)(iv) Declining birth rates in transitioning economies are driven by increased urbanization, female empowerment and participation in higher education/careers, availability and social acceptance of family planning and contraception, and a shift away from subsistence agriculture where children are needed as laborers.
(b)(i) High young dependency ratios cause heavy government expenditure on primary education and school infrastructure, strain healthcare systems with pediatric care, and limit domestic savings as parents spend disposable income on immediate childcare.
(b)(ii) To manage an aging population, governments can raise the retirement age (retaining older workers in the tax base), encourage selective immigration of working-age adults, introduce pro-natalist subsidies/policies to boost birth rates, promote private pension schemes to reduce reliance on state funding, and invest in healthcare automation.
Marking scheme
(a)(i) 13.0% = 1 mark.
(a)(ii) 2 marks: 1 mark for comparison (higher in Y / lower in X); 1 mark for correct paired statistics (Country Y is 23% and Country X is 9%).
(a)(iii) 3 @ 1 mark: Narrow base / contracted bottom; Wide top / thick apex; Straight/barrel-shaped sides; Tall height.
(a)(iv) 4 @ 1 mark: Access to / cost of contraception; Female education / career focus; Later marriages; Cost of raising children; Low infant mortality rates (no need for 'replacement' children); Anti-natalist policies.
(b)(i) 3 @ 1 mark: Cost of schools/teachers; Strain on pediatric healthcare; Lack of immediate workforce / high dependency burden on active workers; Underinvestment in other economic sectors.
(b)(ii) 5 @ 1 mark (or development): Raise retirement age (retains taxpayers); Encourage migration of active age groups; Pro-natalist incentives (e.g., tax breaks/childcare subsidies); Increase taxes to pay for elder care; Promote private pension funding; Use of technology/care-automation.
(a)(ii) 2 marks: 1 mark for comparison (higher in Y / lower in X); 1 mark for correct paired statistics (Country Y is 23% and Country X is 9%).
(a)(iii) 3 @ 1 mark: Narrow base / contracted bottom; Wide top / thick apex; Straight/barrel-shaped sides; Tall height.
(a)(iv) 4 @ 1 mark: Access to / cost of contraception; Female education / career focus; Later marriages; Cost of raising children; Low infant mortality rates (no need for 'replacement' children); Anti-natalist policies.
(b)(i) 3 @ 1 mark: Cost of schools/teachers; Strain on pediatric healthcare; Lack of immediate workforce / high dependency burden on active workers; Underinvestment in other economic sectors.
(b)(ii) 5 @ 1 mark (or development): Raise retirement age (retains taxpayers); Encourage migration of active age groups; Pro-natalist incentives (e.g., tax breaks/childcare subsidies); Increase taxes to pay for elder care; Promote private pension funding; Use of technology/care-automation.