題目 1 · essay
10 分Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how a central bank can intervene in the foreign exchange market to prevent its domestic currency from depreciating.
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解題
### Key Definitions
- **Depreciation**: A decrease in the free-market value of a currency relative to another currency in a floating or managed exchange rate system.
- **Central Bank Intervention**: Official actions taken by a central bank to influence the value of its domestic currency in foreign exchange markets.
### Mechanisms of Intervention
1. **Direct Intervention (Buying Domestic Currency)**:
- The central bank sells its reserves of foreign currencies (e.g., US dollars or Euros) in the foreign exchange market.
- With these foreign currencies, the central bank buys its own domestic currency.
- This direct purchase increases the market demand for the domestic currency, shifting the demand curve to the right, which increases the exchange rate.
2. **Indirect Intervention (Raising Interest Rates)**:
- The central bank can increase its benchmark interest rate.
- Higher domestic interest rates offer foreign investors a higher rate of return on financial investments (deposits, bonds) in that country.
- This attracts speculative financial capital, commonly known as "hot money" flows.
- To invest in these domestic assets, foreign investors must first convert their foreign currency into the domestic currency, which increases the demand for the domestic currency and shifts the demand curve to the right.
### Diagrammatic Representation
- **Axes**: The vertical axis is labeled 'Price of domestic currency in foreign currency' (e.g., USD/Domestic Currency) and the horizontal axis is labeled 'Quantity of domestic currency'.
- **Curves**: A downward-sloping demand curve (\(D_1\)) and an upward-sloping supply curve (\(S_1\)) of the domestic currency.
- **Shift**: An increase in demand is shown by shifting the demand curve to the right from \(D_1\) to \(D_2\).
- **Equilibrium**: The exchange rate rises from \(ER_1\) to \(ER_2\), countering the downward (depreciating) pressure on the currency.
- **Depreciation**: A decrease in the free-market value of a currency relative to another currency in a floating or managed exchange rate system.
- **Central Bank Intervention**: Official actions taken by a central bank to influence the value of its domestic currency in foreign exchange markets.
### Mechanisms of Intervention
1. **Direct Intervention (Buying Domestic Currency)**:
- The central bank sells its reserves of foreign currencies (e.g., US dollars or Euros) in the foreign exchange market.
- With these foreign currencies, the central bank buys its own domestic currency.
- This direct purchase increases the market demand for the domestic currency, shifting the demand curve to the right, which increases the exchange rate.
2. **Indirect Intervention (Raising Interest Rates)**:
- The central bank can increase its benchmark interest rate.
- Higher domestic interest rates offer foreign investors a higher rate of return on financial investments (deposits, bonds) in that country.
- This attracts speculative financial capital, commonly known as "hot money" flows.
- To invest in these domestic assets, foreign investors must first convert their foreign currency into the domestic currency, which increases the demand for the domestic currency and shifts the demand curve to the right.
### Diagrammatic Representation
- **Axes**: The vertical axis is labeled 'Price of domestic currency in foreign currency' (e.g., USD/Domestic Currency) and the horizontal axis is labeled 'Quantity of domestic currency'.
- **Curves**: A downward-sloping demand curve (\(D_1\)) and an upward-sloping supply curve (\(S_1\)) of the domestic currency.
- **Shift**: An increase in demand is shown by shifting the demand curve to the right from \(D_1\) to \(D_2\).
- **Equilibrium**: The exchange rate rises from \(ER_1\) to \(ER_2\), countering the downward (depreciating) pressure on the currency.
評分準則
### Markbands
- **Level 1 (1-3 marks)**:
- Explains few relevant economic terms.
- Conceptual errors are present.
- The diagram is missing, incorrect, or poorly labeled.
- **Level 2 (4-6 marks)**:
- Explains some relevant economic terms (e.g., definition of depreciation, foreign exchange market).
- The diagram is drawn with minor errors or is not fully integrated into the explanation.
- Explains only one mechanism of intervention (e.g., only reserves or only interest rates) with limited detail.
- **Level 3 (7-8 marks)**:
- Key terms are defined correctly.
- An accurate, fully labeled exchange rate diagram showing a rightward shift in demand for the domestic currency is included.
- The explanation clearly details how either selling foreign reserves to buy domestic currency OR raising interest rates prevents depreciation, but may lack balance between the two methods.
- **Level 4 (9-10 marks)**:
- Excellent definitions of depreciation and central bank intervention.
- An accurate, fully labeled diagram showing the rightward shift in the demand curve for the domestic currency, fully integrated into the text.
- A thorough, balanced explanation of both direct intervention (using foreign currency reserves to buy domestic currency) and indirect intervention (raising interest rates to attract 'hot money' inflows) to prevent depreciation.
- **Level 1 (1-3 marks)**:
- Explains few relevant economic terms.
- Conceptual errors are present.
- The diagram is missing, incorrect, or poorly labeled.
- **Level 2 (4-6 marks)**:
- Explains some relevant economic terms (e.g., definition of depreciation, foreign exchange market).
- The diagram is drawn with minor errors or is not fully integrated into the explanation.
- Explains only one mechanism of intervention (e.g., only reserves or only interest rates) with limited detail.
- **Level 3 (7-8 marks)**:
- Key terms are defined correctly.
- An accurate, fully labeled exchange rate diagram showing a rightward shift in demand for the domestic currency is included.
- The explanation clearly details how either selling foreign reserves to buy domestic currency OR raising interest rates prevents depreciation, but may lack balance between the two methods.
- **Level 4 (9-10 marks)**:
- Excellent definitions of depreciation and central bank intervention.
- An accurate, fully labeled diagram showing the rightward shift in the demand curve for the domestic currency, fully integrated into the text.
- A thorough, balanced explanation of both direct intervention (using foreign currency reserves to buy domestic currency) and indirect intervention (raising interest rates to attract 'hot money' inflows) to prevent depreciation.