IB DP · Thinka 原創模擬試題

2025 IB DP Mathematics - Applications and Interpretation 模擬試題連答案詳解

Thinka May 2025 HL (TZ3) IB Diploma Programme-Style Mock — Mathematics - Applications and Interpretation

275 315 分鐘2025
An original Thinka practice paper modelled on the structure and difficulty of the May 2025 HL (TZ3) IB Diploma Programme Mathematics - Applications and Interpretation paper. Not affiliated with or reproduced from IB.

卷一

Answer all questions. Answers must be written within the answer boxes provided. Working should be shown.
16 題目 · 110
題目 1 · short-response
6.875
Elena buys a manufacturing machine for $12,000. It depreciates at a rate of 8.5% per annum. At the same time, she invests $8,000 in a savings account paying 4.2% interest per annum, compounded monthly.

(a) Find the value of the machine after 5 years.

(b) Find the number of complete years it takes for the value of the investment to exceed the value of the machine.
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解題

(a) Value of the machine after 5 years is given by: \(V_M(5) = 12000 \times (1 - 0.085)^5 = 12000 \times 0.915^5 \approx $7697.30\).

(b) Value of the investment after \(t\) years is: \(V_I(t) = 8000 \times \left(1 + \frac{0.042}{12}\right)^{12t} = 8000 \times (1.0035)^{12t}\). We need to find the smallest integer \(t\) such that \(V_I(t) > V_M(t)\). Using a GDC to compare values:
At \(t = 3\): \(V_M(3) \approx $9193.31\) and \(V_I(3) \approx $9072.93\) (investment is less).
At \(t = 4\): \(V_M(4) \approx $8411.88\) and \(V_I(4) \approx $9462.43\) (investment is greater).
Hence, it takes 4 complete years.

評分準則

(a) [3 marks]
M1 for setting up the depreciation equation: \(12000(0.915)^5\).
A1 for \(0.915^5 \approx 0.6414\).
A1 for final answer \($7697.30\) (accept \(7697\) or \(7700\)).

(b) [4 marks]
M1 for setting up the investment equation with correct compounding: \(8000(1.0035)^{12t}\).
M1 for setting up inequality or equation: \(8000(1.0035)^{12t} = 12000(0.915)^t\).
A1 for finding the intersection point \(t \approx 3.10\) years.
A1 for stating 4 complete years (accept 4).
題目 2 · short-response
6.875
The height \(h\) in meters of a drone \(t\) seconds after it is launched is modeled by the function \(h(t) = -0.4t^2 + kt + 1.8\), where \(k\) is a constant. The drone reaches its maximum height 6 seconds after launch.

(a) Show that \(k = 4.8\).

(b) Find the maximum height reached by the drone.

(c) Find the time, to the nearest tenth of a second, when the drone hits the ground.
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解題

(a) The maximum of a quadratic function \(y = at^2 + bt + c\) occurs at the axis of symmetry \(t = -\frac{b}{2a}\). Here, \(6 = -\frac{k}{2(-0.4)} \implies 6 = \frac{k}{0.8} \implies k = 4.8\).

(b) The maximum height is at \(t = 6\): \(h(6) = -0.4(6)^2 + 4.8(6) + 1.8 = -14.4 + 28.8 + 1.8 = 16.2\) meters.

(c) The drone hits the ground when \(h(t) = 0\): \(-0.4t^2 + 4.8t + 1.8 = 0\). Using the quadratic formula or GDC: \(t \approx 12.369\) or \(t \approx -0.364\). Since \(t \ge 0\), we select \(t \approx 12.4\) seconds (to the nearest tenth of a second).

評分準則

(a) [2 marks]
M1 for utilizing the axis of symmetry formula \(t = -\frac{b}{2a}\) or setting the derivative \(h'(t) = -0.8t + k = 0\) at \(t=6\).
A1 for showing clear algebraic steps leading to \(k = 4.8\).

(b) [2 marks]
M1 for substituting \(t=6\) and \(k=4.8\) into the equation.
A1 for \(16.2\) (m).

(c) [3 marks]
M1 for setting \(h(t) = 0\).
A1 for finding both roots or identifying the positive root: \(t \approx 12.369\).
A1 for rounding to the nearest tenth: \(12.4\) seconds.
題目 3 · short-response
6.875
Three delivery hubs are located at points \(A(2, 8)\), \(B(8, 10)\), and \(C(6, 2)\).

(a) Find the equation of the perpendicular bisector of the line segment \(AB\). Write your answer in the form \(y = mx + c\).

(b) The equation of the perpendicular bisector of \(BC\) is \(y = \frac{1}{4}x + \frac{19}{4}\). Find the coordinates of the circumcenter where these two perpendicular bisectors intersect.
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解題

(a) Midpoint of \(AB\): \(M_{AB} = \left(\frac{2+8}{2}, \frac{8+10}{2}\right) = (5, 9)\). Gradient of \(AB\): \(m_{AB} = \frac{10-8}{8-2} = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}\). The gradient of the perpendicular bisector is the negative reciprocal: \(m_{\perp} = -3\). The equation is: \(y - 9 = -3(x - 5) \implies y = -3x + 24\).

(b) Set the two equations equal to find their intersection: \(-3x + 24 = \frac{1}{4}x + \frac{19}{4}\). Multiply by 4: \(-12x + 96 = x + 19 \implies 13x = 77 \implies x = \frac{77}{13} \approx 5.92\). Substitute \(x\) back to find \(y\): \(y = -3\left(\frac{77}{13}\right) + 24 = \frac{81}{13} \approx 6.23\). The coordinates of the circumcenter are \(\left(\frac{77}{13}, \frac{81}{13}\right)\) or approximately \((5.92, 6.23)\).

評分準則

(a) [3 marks]
A1 for midpoint \((5, 9)\).
M1 for perpendicular gradient \(m_{\perp} = -3\) (derived from gradient of \(AB = \frac{1}{3}\)).
A1 for \(y = -3x + 24\).

(b) [4 marks]
M1 for equating the two perpendicular bisector equations: \(-3x + 24 = 0.25x + 4.75\).
M1 for attempting to solve the resulting equation for \(x\).
A1 for \(x = \frac{77}{13}\) (approx. \(5.92\)).
A1 for \(y = \frac{81}{13}\) (approx. \(6.23\)). Accept coordinates as \((5.92, 6.23)\).
題目 4 · short-response
6.875
The weights of individual bags of coffee beans are normally distributed with a mean of 505 grams and a standard deviation of 4 grams.

(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen bag weighs more than 500 grams.

(b) A box contains 12 randomly selected bags of coffee. Find the probability that exactly 10 of these bags weigh more than 500 grams.

(c) Find the weight \(w\) such that only 2.5% of the bags weigh less than \(w\).
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解題

Let \(X\) be the weight of a bag of coffee beans, where \(X \sim N(505, 4^2)\).

(a) Using GDC: \(P(X > 500) \approx 0.89435\). To 3 s.f., this is \(0.894\).

(b) Let \(Y\) be the number of bags weighing more than 500 grams. \(Y\) follows a binomial distribution: \(Y \sim B(12, 0.89435)\). We want: \(P(Y = 10) = \binom{12}{10} (0.89435)^{10} (1 - 0.89435)^2 \approx 0.24118\). To 3 s.f., this is \(0.241\).

(c) We want to find \(w\) such that \(P(X < w) = 0.025\). Using the inverse normal function on GDC: \(w = \text{invNorm}(0.025, 505, 4) \approx 497.16\) grams. To 3 s.f., this is \(497\) grams.

評分準則

(a) [2 marks]
M1 for normal distribution setup or standardizing: \(P\left(Z > \frac{500-505}{4}\right)\).
A1 for \(0.894\) (accept \(0.89435\)).

(b) [3 marks]
M1 for recognizing binomial distribution with parameters \(n=12\) and \(p\) from part (a).
M1 for binomial probability calculation: \(P(Y=10)\).
A1 for \(0.241\) (accept \(0.24118\)).

(c) [2 marks]
M1 for setup: \(P(X < w) = 0.025\) or standardizing \(z = -1.96\).
A1 for \(497\) (grams) (accept \(497.16\)).
題目 5 · short-response
6.875
A company manufactures closed cylindrical storage cans with a volume of 500 cm\(^3\).

(a) Show that the total surface area \(A\) of the can in terms of its radius \(r\) is given by \(A = 2\pi r^2 + \frac{1000}{r}\).

(b) Find the value of \(r\) that minimizes the total surface area of the can.
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解題

(a) Let the radius be \(r\) and the height be \(h\). The volume is \(V = \pi r^2 h = 500\), which gives \(h = \frac{500}{\pi r^2}\). The total surface area of a closed cylinder is: \(A = 2\pi r^2 + 2\pi r h\). Substituting \(h\) into the area formula: \(A = 2\pi r^2 + 2\pi r \left(\frac{500}{\pi r^2}\right) = 2\pi r^2 + \frac{1000}{r}\).

(b) Differentiate \(A\) with respect to \(r\): \(\frac{dA}{dr} = 4\pi r - \frac{1000}{r^2}\). Set the derivative equal to zero to find the minimum: \(4\pi r - \frac{1000}{r^2} = 0 \implies 4\pi r^3 = 1000 \implies r^3 = \frac{250}{\pi}\). Taking the cube root: \(r = \sqrt[3]{\frac{250}{\pi}} \approx 4.301\) cm. To 3 s.f., this is \(4.30\) cm.

評分準則

(a) [3 marks]
A1 for correct volume formula in terms of \(r\) and \(h\): \(\pi r^2 h = 500\).
M1 for isolating \(h\) and substituting into the surface area formula \(A = 2\pi r^2 + 2\pi r h\).
A1 for showing clear algebraic steps leading to the given expression.

(b) [4 marks]
M1 for finding the derivative: \(4\pi r - \frac{1000}{r^2}\).
M1 for equating the derivative to zero.
A1 for solving for \(r^3\) or \(r\): \(r^3 = \frac{250}{\pi}\).
A1 for final value \(r \approx 4.30\) (cm).
題目 6 · short-response
6.875
A cinema sells three types of tickets: Adult (\(x\)), Child (\(y\)), and Senior (\(z\)).

On Monday, they sold 50 Adult, 30 Child, and 20 Senior tickets, making a total revenue of $1,140.
On Tuesday, they sold 40 Adult, 45 Child, and 25 Senior tickets, making a total revenue of $1,170.
A Senior ticket costs $2 more than a Child ticket.

(a) Write down a system of three linear equations representing this situation.

(b) Find the price of each type of ticket.
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解題

(a) The given information translates to the following system of linear equations:
1) \(50x + 30y + 20z = 1140\)
2) \(40x + 45y + 25z = 1170\)
3) \(z - y = 2\) (or \(z = y + 2\))

(b) We can solve this system using a GDC matrix solver or substitution. Substituting \(z = y+2\) into the first two equations (after simplifying by dividing by 10 and 5 respectively):
\(5x + 3y + 2(y+2) = 114 \implies 5x + 5y = 110 \implies x + y = 22\).
\(8x + 9y + 5(y+2) = 234 \implies 8x + 14y = 224 \implies 4x + 7y = 112\).
From \(x = 22 - y\), substitute into the second: \(4(22-y) + 7y = 112 \implies 88 + 3y = 112 \implies 3y = 24 \implies y = 8\).
Then: \(x = 22 - 8 = 14\) and \(z = 8 + 2 = 10\).
So an Adult ticket costs $14, a Child ticket costs $8, and a Senior ticket costs $10.

評分準則

(a) [3 marks]
A1 for \(50x + 30y + 20z = 1140\) (or equivalent).
A1 for \(40x + 45y + 25z = 1170\) (or equivalent).
A1 for \(z - y = 2\) (or equivalent).

(b) [4 marks]
M1 for a valid method to solve the system (e.g., substitution, elimination, or matrix row reduction on a GDC).
A1 for \(x = 14\) (Adult).
A1 for \(y = 8\) (Child).
A1 for \(z = 10\) (Senior).
題目 7 · short-response
6.875
A vertical mast \(OP\) of height \(h\) meters stands on horizontal ground. From a point \(A\) due South of the mast, the angle of elevation of the top of the mast \(P\) is \(32^\circ\). From point \(B\) due East of the mast, the angle of elevation of \(P\) is \(23^\circ\). The distance between \(A\) and \(B\) is 85 meters.

(a) Express the distances \(OA\) and \(OB\) in terms of \(h\).

(b) Calculate the height \(h\) of the mast.
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解題

(a) Since the ground is horizontal and the mast is vertical, \(\triangle OAP\) and \(\triangle OBP\) are right-angled triangles at \(O\).
In \(\triangle OAP\): \(\tan(32^\circ) = \frac{h}{OA} \implies OA = \frac{h}{\tan(32^\circ)}\).
In \(\triangle OBP\): \(\tan(23^\circ) = \frac{h}{OB} \implies OB = \frac{h}{\tan(23^\circ)}\).

(b) Since \(A\) is due South of \(O\) and \(B\) is due East of \(O\), \(\angle AOB = 90^\circ\). In the right-angled triangle \(OAB\):
\(OA^2 + OB^2 = AB^2\)
\(\left(\frac{h}{\tan(32^\circ)}\right)^2 + \left(\frac{h}{\tan(23^\circ)}\right)^2 = 85^2\)
\(h^2 \left[ \frac{1}{\tan^2(32^\circ)} + \frac{1}{\tan^2(23^\circ)} \right] = 7225\)
Compute the terms: \(\frac{1}{\tan^2(32^\circ)} \approx 2.5610\) and \(\frac{1}{\tan^2(23^\circ)} \approx 5.5501\).
\(h^2 (2.5610 + 5.5501) = 7225 \implies 8.1111 h^2 = 7225\)
\(h^2 \approx 890.75 \implies h \approx 29.845\) meters.
The height of the mast is \(29.8\) meters (to 3 s.f.).

評分準則

(a) [2 marks]
A1 for \(OA = \frac{h}{\tan(32^\circ)}\) (accept \(1.60h\)).
A1 for \(OB = \frac{h}{\tan(23^\circ)}\) (accept \(2.36h\)).

(b) [5 marks]
M1 for recognizing \(\angle AOB = 90^\circ\).
M1 for applying Pythagoras' theorem: \(OA^2 + OB^2 = 85^2\).
M1 for substituting expressions in terms of \(h\).
A1 for finding \(h^2 \approx 891\).
A1 for final answer \(29.8\) (m).
題目 8 · short-response
6.875
A school principal wants to investigate if there is an association between a student's grade level and their preferred method of transport to school. A random sample of 180 students is surveyed, with the results shown below:

| Transport | Grade 10 | Grade 11 | Grade 12 | Total |
| Bus | 28 | 22 | 15 | 65 |
| Car | 12 | 25 | 33 | 70 |
| Walk | 20 | 13 | 12 | 45 |
| Total | 60 | 60 | 60 | 180 |

(a) State the null hypothesis, \(H_0\), for this test.

(b) Show that the expected number of Grade 11 students who travel by Bus is 21.67 (to 4 significant figures).

(c) Find the \(p\)-value for this test.

(d) State, with a reason, whether the null hypothesis should be rejected at the 5% significance level.
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解題

(a) \(H_0\): Student's grade level and preferred method of transport to school are independent.

(b) Expected Value = \(\frac{\text{Row Total} \times \text{Column Total}}{\text{Grand Total}} = \frac{65 \times 60}{180} = \frac{3900}{180} = 21.6667 \approx 21.67\).

(c) Entering the contingency table into a GDC to perform a \(\chi^2\) test of independence yields: \(p\text{-value} \approx 0.00292\).

(d) Since the \(p\)-value (\(0.00292\)) is less than the significance level \(0.05\), we reject the null hypothesis. There is sufficient evidence to suggest that grade level and preferred method of transport are not independent.

評分準則

(a) [1 mark]
A1 for stating that the grade level and preferred method of transport are independent (or 'no association').

(b) [2 marks]
M1 for using the formula \(\frac{\text{Row Total} \times \text{Column Total}}{\text{Grand Total}}\).
A1 for showing \(\frac{65 \times 60}{180} = 21.67\).

(c) [2 marks]
M1 for correctly entering the table in the GDC and choosing the \(\chi^2\) test.
A1 for \(p \approx 0.00292\) (accept 0.0029).

(d) [2 marks]
R1 for comparing the \(p\)-value to \(0.05\) (e.g. \(0.00292 < 0.05\)).
A1 for concluding to reject \(H_0\) (or reject the claim of independence).
題目 9 · short-response
6.875
A company purchases a delivery van for $45,000.

(a) The value of the van depreciates at a constant rate of 15% per year. Find the value of the van after 6 years, to the nearest dollar.

(b) An alternative model of depreciation is given by \(V(t) = 45000 e^{-kt}\), where \(V(t)\) is the value of the van after \(t\) years. Under this model, the value of the van after 3 years is $28,000. Find the value of \(k\) correct to 4 decimal places.
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解題

(a) The value of the van after 6 years under a constant depreciation of 15% per year is given by:
\(V = 45000 \times (1 - 0.15)^6 = 45000 \times (0.85)^6\)
\(V \approx 16971.73\)
To the nearest dollar, the value is $16,972.

(b) Under the continuous model, we have:
\(V(3) = 45000 e^{-3k} = 28000\)
Dividing both sides by 45,000:
\(e^{-3k} = \frac{28}{45}\)
Taking the natural logarithm of both sides:
\(-3k = \ln\left(\frac{28}{45}\right)\)
\(-3k \approx -0.475046\)
\(k \approx 0.158348\)
To 4 decimal places, \(k = 0.1583\).

評分準則

(a)
[M1] for a correct expression for constant depreciation: \(45000 \times (0.85)^6\).
[A1] for the unrounded value \(16971.73\).
[A1] for rounding to the nearest dollar: \(16972\).

(b)
[M1] for substituting into the continuous formula: \(45000 e^{-3k} = 28000\).
[M1] for correctly rearranging and using logarithms: \(-3k = \ln\left(\frac{28}{45}\right)\).
[A1] for \(0.1583\) (accept 0.158).
題目 10 · short-response
6.875
Three cell towers are located at points \(A(2, 9)\), \(B(8, 11)\), and \(C(10, 5)\) on a map, where grid units represent kilometers.

(a) Find the equation of the perpendicular bisector of the line segment \(AB\), giving your answer in the form \(ax + by = d\), where \(a, b, d \in \mathbb{Z}\).

(b) The equation of the perpendicular bisector of \(BC\) is \(x - 3y = -15\). A control station is to be placed at a point \(P\) that is equidistant from \(A\), \(B\), and \(C\). Find the coordinates of \(P\).
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解題

(a) First, find the midpoint \(M\) of \(AB\):
\(M = \left(\frac{2+8}{2}, \frac{9+11}{2}\right) = (5, 10)\).

Next, find the gradient of \(AB\):
\(m_{AB} = \frac{11-9}{8-2} = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}\).

The gradient of the perpendicular bisector is the negative reciprocal:
\(m_{\perp} = -3\).

The equation of the perpendicular bisector is:
\(y - 10 = -3(x - 5)\)
\(y - 10 = -3x + 15\)
\(3x + y = 25\).

(b) The control station \(P\) is located at the intersection of the two perpendicular bisectors. We solve the simultaneous equations:
1) \(3x + y = 25 \implies y = 25 - 3x\)
2) \(x - 3y = -15\)

Substituting (1) into (2):
\(x - 3(25 - 3x) = -15\)
\(x - 75 + 9x = -15\)
\(10x = 60 \implies x = 6\).

Substituting \(x = 6\) back into (1):
\(y = 25 - 3(6) = 7\).

So the coordinates of \(P\) are \((6, 7)\).

評分準則

(a)
[M1] for finding the correct midpoint of \(AB\): \((5, 10)\).
[M1] for calculating the perpendicular gradient \(-3\).
[A1] for the correct final equation in the required form: \(3x + y = 25\) (or equivalent integer form).

(b)
[M1] for setting up a correct system of simultaneous equations.
[M1] for solving for one coordinate (e.g. \(x=6\) or \(y=7\)).
[A1] for the correct coordinates: \((6, 7)\).
題目 11 · short-response
6.875
A survey was conducted to investigate whether there is an association between a person's preferred movie genre (Action, Comedy, Drama) and their age group (Under 30, 30 and over). The table shows the observed frequencies:

$$\begin{array}{c|c|c|c} \text{Age Group} & \text{Action} & \text{Comedy} & \text{Drama} \\ \hline \text{Under 30} & 45 & 35 & 20 \\ \hline \text{30 and over} & 25 & 40 & 35 \end{array}$$

A \(\chi^2\) test for independence is carried out at the 5% significance level.

(a) State the null hypothesis, \(H_0\), for this test.

(b) Find the expected frequency of people under 30 who prefer Drama.

(c) Write down the \(p\)-value for this test.

(d) State, with a reason, whether \(H_0\) should be rejected.
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解題

(a) The null hypothesis \(H_0\): Preferred movie genre and age group are independent.

(b) The total number of people under 30 (Row 1 Total) is \(45 + 35 + 20 = 100\).
The total number of people who prefer Drama (Column 3 Total) is \(20 + 35 = 55\).
The grand total of participants is \(100 + 100 = 200\).

The expected frequency is:
\(E = \frac{\text{Row Total} \times \text{Column Total}}{\text{Grand Total}} = \frac{100 \times 55}{200} = 27.5\).

(c) Using a GDC to run the \(\chi^2\) two-way test on the matrix, the test statistic is \(\chi^2 \approx 10.138\) with \(df = 2\).
The corresponding \(p\)-value is approximately \(0.00629\) (or \(0.0063\) to 3 significant figures).

(d) Since the \(p\)-value (\(0.00629\)) is less than the significance level of \(0.05\), we reject the null hypothesis \(H_0\).

評分準則

(a)
[A1] for stating a correct null hypothesis referencing independence between movie genre and age group.

(b)
[M1] for finding correct row, column, and grand totals.
[A1] for \(27.5\).

(c)
[A1] for \(0.00629\) (accept range \([0.0062, 0.0063]\)).

(d)
[R1] for comparing their \(p\)-value with \(0.05\).
[A1] for the correct conclusion (Reject \(H_0\)).
題目 12 · short-response
6.875
The height of the water, \(H\) meters, in a harbor on a particular day is modeled by the function \(H(t) = a \cos(bt) + d\), where \(t\) is the number of hours after midnight, and \(b > 0\).

The maximum height of the water is 8.2 meters and occurs at midnight (\(t = 0\)). The minimum height of the water is 2.4 meters and occurs 6 hours later.

(a) Find the value of \(a\) and the value of \(d\).

(b) Find the value of \(b\).

(c) Find the first time after midnight when the height of the water is exactly 4.0 meters, giving your answer to 3 significant figures.
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解題

(a) The vertical translation \(d\) is the midline of the function, which is the average of the maximum and minimum heights:
\(d = \frac{8.2 + 2.4}{2} = 5.3\).

The amplitude \(a\) is half the difference between the maximum and minimum heights:
\(a = \frac{8.2 - 2.4}{2} = 2.9\).

Since the maximum occurs at \(t=0\), \(H(0) = 2.9\cos(0) + 5.3 = 2.9 + 5.3 = 8.2\), which is correct.

(b) The time between a maximum and a minimum is half the period. Thus, the period is:
\(T = 2 \times 6 = 12\) hours.

Using the formula for period:
\(12 = \frac{2\pi}{b} \implies b = \frac{\pi}{6} \approx 0.524\).

(c) We set \(H(t) = 4.0\):
\(2.9 \cos\left(\frac{\pi}{6}t\right) + 5.3 = 4.0\)
\(2.9 \cos\left(\frac{\pi}{6}t\right) = -1.3\)
\(\cos\left(\frac{\pi}{6}t\right) = -\frac{1.3}{2.9} \approx -0.448276\)

Solving for the first positive value:
\(\frac{\pi}{6}t = \arccos(-0.448276) \approx 2.0354\) radians
\(t \approx 2.0354 \times \frac{6}{\pi} \approx 3.887\) hours.

To 3 significant figures, the first time is \(3.89\) hours after midnight.

評分準則

(a)
[A1] for \(d = 5.3\).
[A1] for \(a = 2.9\).

(b)
[M1] for finding the period to be 12 hours.
[A1] for \(b = \frac{\pi}{6}\) (or \(0.524\)).

(c)
[M1] for setting up the equation \(2.9 \cos(bt) + 5.3 = 4.0\).
[M1] for solving for \(t\).
[A1] for \(3.89\).
題目 13 · short-response
6.875
A company designs a closed cylindrical container with a fixed volume of \(500\text{ cm}^3\). The total surface area \(A\text{ cm}^2\) of the container is given by the function:

\(A(r) = 2\pi r^2 + \frac{1000}{r}\), where \(r > 0\) is the radius of the container in centimeters.

(a) Find \(A'(r)\).

(b) Find the value of \(r\) that minimizes the surface area.

(c) Calculate the minimum surface area of the container, to the nearest square centimeter.
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解題

(a) Rewrite the function as \(A(r) = 2\pi r^2 + 1000 r^{-1}\).
Differentiating with respect to \(r\):
\(A'(r) = 4\pi r - 1000 r^{-2} = 4\pi r - \frac{1000}{r^2}\).

(b) Set the derivative equal to 0 to find the minimum:
\(4\pi r - \frac{1000}{r^2} = 0\)
\(4\pi r^3 = 1000\)
\(r^3 = \frac{250}{\pi}\)
\(r = \sqrt[3]{\frac{250}{\pi}} \approx 4.30127\text{ cm}\).
To 3 significant figures, \(r = 4.30\text{ cm}\).

(c) Substitute the value of \(r\) into the original equation:
\(A(4.30127) = 2\pi(4.30127)^2 + \frac{1000}{4.30127}\)
\(A \approx 116.22 + 232.49 = 348.71\text{ cm}^2\).
To the nearest square centimeter, the minimum surface area is \(349\text{ cm}^2\).

評分準則

(a)
[M1] for attempting to differentiate with power rule.
[A1] for \(4\pi r\).
[A1] for \(-\frac{1000}{r^2}\).

(b)
[M1] for setting their derivative equal to 0.
[A1] for \(4.30\).

(c)
[M1] for substituting their value of \(r\) into the surface area equation.
[A1] for \(349\).
題目 14 · short-response
6.875
The weights of apples in an orchard are normally distributed with a mean of 150 grams and a standard deviation of 12 grams.

(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected apple weighs between 135 and 165 grams.

(b) Apples that weigh less than \(w\) grams are classified as "small". Given that 8% of the apples are classified as small, find the value of \(w\) to the nearest gram.

(c) A box contains 20 randomly selected apples. Find the probability that at least 2 of these apples are classified as small.
查看答案詳解

解題

Let \(X\) be the weight of an apple, where \(X \sim N(150, 12^2)\).

(a) We want to find \(P(135 \le X \le 165)\).
Using GDC normal cumulative distribution function:
\(P(135 \le X \le 165) \approx 0.7887\).
To 3 significant figures, this is \(0.789\).

(b) We are given \(P(X < w) = 0.08\).
Using the GDC inverse normal function:
\(w \approx 133.14\text{ grams}\).
To the nearest gram, \(w = 133\).

(c) Let \(Y\) be the number of small apples in a box of 20.
Then \(Y \sim B(20, 0.08)\).
We want to find \(P(Y \ge 2) = 1 - P(Y \le 1)\).
Using binomial cumulative distribution:
\(P(Y \le 1) \approx 0.5169\).
Thus, \(P(Y \ge 2) = 1 - 0.5169 = 0.4831\).
To 3 significant figures, the probability is \(0.483\).

評分準則

(a)
[M1] for setting up correct normal interval: \(P(135 \le X \le 165)\).
[A1] for \(0.789\).

(b)
[M1] for setting up the inverse normal equation \(P(X < w) = 0.08\).
[A1] for \(133\).

(c)
[M1] for modeling the situation using Binomial distribution \(B(20, 0.08)\).
[M1] for writing \(1 - P(Y \le 1)\).
[A1] for \(0.483\).
題目 15 · short-response
6.875
A vertical tower \(BT\) has its base \(B\) on horizontal ground. A surveyor at point \(A\) on the ground measures the angle of elevation of the top of the tower, \(T\), to be \(28^\circ\). The distance \(AB\) is 60 meters.

(a) Find the height of the tower, \(BT\).

(b) The surveyor walks to a point \(C\) on the ground, which is 45 meters from \(B\), such that angle \(\angle ABC = 110^\circ\).

(i) Find the distance \(AC\).

(ii) Find the angle of elevation of \(T\) from \(C\).
查看答案詳解

解題

(a) In the right-angled triangle \(ABT\):
\(\tan(28^\circ) = \frac{BT}{AB} = \frac{BT}{60}\)
\(BT = 60 \tan(28^\circ) \approx 31.902\text{ m}\).
To 3 significant figures, the height of the tower is \(31.9\text{ m}\).

(b) (i) In triangle \(ABC\), using the Cosine Rule to find \(AC\):
\(AC^2 = AB^2 + BC^2 - 2(AB)(BC)\cos(110^\circ)\)
\(AC^2 = 60^2 + 45^2 - 2(60)(45)\cos(110^\circ)\)
\(AC^2 = 3600 + 2025 - 5400(-0.342020)\)
\(AC^2 = 5625 + 1846.9 = 7471.9\)
\(AC \approx \sqrt{7471.9} \approx 86.44\text{ m}\).
To 3 significant figures, \(AC = 86.4\text{ m}\).

(ii) In the right-angled triangle \(CBT\), the angle of elevation of \(T\) from \(C\) is \(\angle BCT\):
\(\tan(\angle BCT) = \frac{BT}{BC} = \frac{31.902}{45} \approx 0.70893\)
\(\angle BCT = \arctan(0.70893) \approx 35.33^\circ\).
To 3 significant figures, the angle of elevation is \(35.3^\circ\).

評分準則

(a)
[M1] for using tangent ratio: \(\tan(28^\circ) = \frac{BT}{60}\).
[A1] for \(31.9\).

(b)
(i)
[M1] for substituting correctly into the Cosine Rule.
[A1] for \(86.4\).

(ii)
[M1] for setting up the tangent ratio in triangle \(CBT\): \(\tan(\theta) = \frac{31.902}{45}\).
[A1] for \(35.3^\circ\) (or \(35.3\)).
題目 16 · short-response
6.875
The boundary of a field is modeled by the curve \(y = 12x - x^2\) and the \(x\)-axis, for \(0 \le x \le 12\), where \(x\) and \(y\) are measured in decameters.

(a) Find the exact area of the field by evaluating \(\int_{0}^{12} (12x - x^2) \mathrm{d}x\).

(b) An approximate value for the area is found using the trapezoidal rule with 4 intervals of equal width.

(i) Show that the width of each interval is 3 decameters.

(ii) Calculate the approximate area of the field using the trapezoidal rule.

(c) Calculate the percentage error of this approximation.
查看答案詳解

解題

(a) Integrating the function:
\(\int_{0}^{12} (12x - x^2) \mathrm{d}x = \left[ 6x^2 - \frac{x^3}{3} \right]_{0}^{12} = \left(6(144) - \frac{1728}{3}\right) - 0 = 864 - 576 = 288\).
The exact area is 288 square decameters.

(b) (i) Since \(n=4\) and the interval is from \(0\) to \(12\), the width of each interval is:
\(h = \frac{12 - 0}{4} = 3\) decameters.

(ii) The x-coordinates are \(x_0 = 0\), \(x_1 = 3\), \(x_2 = 6\), \(x_3 = 9\), \(x_4 = 12\).
The corresponding y-values are:
\(y_0 = 12(0) - 0^2 = 0\)
\(y_1 = 12(3) - 3^2 = 27\)
\(y_2 = 12(6) - 6^2 = 36\)
\(y_3 = 12(9) - 9^2 = 27\)
\(y_4 = 12(12) - 12^2 = 0\).

Using the trapezoidal rule formula:
\(\text{Area} \approx \frac{h}{2} [y_0 + y_4 + 2(y_1 + y_2 + y_3)]\)
\(\text{Area} \approx \frac{3}{2} [0 + 0 + 2(27 + 36 + 27)] = \frac{3}{2} [2(90)] = 270\).

(c) The percentage error is:
\(\text{Percentage Error} = \left| \frac{\text{Approximate} - \text{Exact}}{\text{Exact}} \right| \times 100\%\)
\(\text{Percentage Error} = \left| \frac{270 - 288}{288} \right| \times 100\% = \frac{18}{288} \times 100\% = 6.25\%\).

評分準則

(a)
[M1] for a correct integration attempt resulting in \(6x^2 - \frac{x^3}{3}\).
[A1] for \(288\).

(b)
(i)
[A1] for showing the calculation \(\frac{12-0}{4} = 3\).

(ii)
[M1] for finding the correct mid-values of \(y\): \(27, 36, 27\).
[M1] for substituting values correctly into the trapezoidal rule formula.
[A1] for \(270\).

(c)
[M1] for setting up the correct percentage error formula.
[A1] for \(6.25\%\) (or \(6.25\)).

卷二

Answer all questions in the answer booklet provided. Start each question on a new page. Working should be shown.
7 題目 · 109.97000000000003
題目 1 · Long-response
15.71
A rectangular storage container with an open top has a volume of 12 m^3. The length of its base is twice its width, \(w\) meters.
(a) Show that the height, \(h\), of the container can be written as \(h = \frac{6}{w^2}\). [3 marks]
(b) Show that the total surface area, \(A\), of the container is given by \(A = 2w^2 + \frac{36}{w}\). [3 marks]
(c) Find \(\frac{\text{d}A}{\text{d}w}\). [3 marks]
(d) Find the value of \(w\) that minimizes the surface area. [4 marks]
(e) Calculate the minimum surface area of the container. [2.71 marks]
查看答案詳解

解題

(a) Let the width be \(w\) and the length be \(2w\). The volume is given by \(V = \text{length} \times \text{width} \times \text{height} = 2w \times w \times h = 2w^2 h\). Since \(V = 12\), we have \(2w^2 h = 12 \implies h = \frac{12}{2w^2} = \frac{6}{w^2}\).
(b) The container has an open top. The total surface area \(A\) is the sum of the base and the four vertical sides: \(A = \text{Base} + 2(\text{Front}) + 2(\text{Side}) = (2w \times w) + 2(2w \times h) + 2(w \times h) = 2w^2 + 4wh + 2wh = 2w^2 + 6wh\). Substituting \(h = \frac{6}{w^2}\) gives: \(A = 2w^2 + 6w\left(\frac{6}{w^2}\right) = 2w^2 + \frac{36}{w}\).
(c) Differentiating \(A\) with respect to \(w\): \(\frac{\text{d}A}{\text{d}w} = 4w - \frac{36}{w^2}\).
(d) To minimize the surface area, set \(\frac{\text{d}A}{\text{d}w} = 0 \implies 4w - \frac{36}{w^2} = 0 \implies 4w^3 = 36 \implies w^3 = 9 \implies w = \sqrt[3]{9} \approx 2.08\text{ m}\).
(e) Substitute \(w = 2.08008\) back into the surface area equation: \(A = 2(2.08008)^2 + \frac{36}{2.08008} \approx 25.96 \approx 26.0\text{ m}^2\).

評分準則

(a) M1 for volume formula \(V = 2w^2 h\), A1 for setting equal to 12, A1 for rearranging to \(h = \frac{6}{w^2}\).
(b) M1 for area formula \(A = 2w^2 + 6wh\), M1 for substitution of \(h\), A1 for showing the final expression.
(c) M1 for attempting to differentiate, A1 for \(4w\), A1 for \(-\frac{36}{w^2}\).
(d) M1 for setting derivative to 0, M1 for algebraic step \(4w^3 = 36\), A1 for \(w^3 = 9\), A1 for \(w \approx 2.08\).
(e) M1 for substituting their \(w\) into the area formula, A1.71 for the final answer \(26.0\text{ m}^2\) (accept 26 or 25.96).
題目 2 · Long-response
15.71
Three mobile phone towers are located at points \(A(2, 8)\), \(B(8, 10)\), and \(C(4, 2)\) on a grid where the coordinates represent kilometers.
(a) Find the equation of the perpendicular bisector of the line segment \(AB\), writing your answer in the form \(y = mx + c\). [4 marks]
(b) Given that the perpendicular bisector of the segment \(BC\) is \(y = -0.5x + 9\), find the coordinates of the circumcenter where the three coverage boundaries meet. [4 marks]
(c) A new house is built at coordinates \(H(5, 6)\). Determine which cell tower is closest to this house. [3 marks]
(d) Calculate the distance from this house to the closest cell tower, rounding your answer to 2 decimal places. [4.71 marks]
查看答案詳解

解題

(a) The midpoint of \(AB\) is \(M = \left(\frac{2+8}{2}, \frac{8+10}{2}\right) = (5, 9)\). The gradient of \(AB\) is \(m = \frac{10-8}{8-2} = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}\). The gradient of the perpendicular bisector is \(m_{\perp} = -3\). The equation of the perpendicular bisector is \(y - 9 = -3(x - 5) \implies y = -3x + 24\).
(b) Set the two perpendicular bisectors equal to find the circumcenter: \(-3x + 24 = -0.5x + 9 \implies 2.5x = 15 \implies x = 6\). Substituting \(x = 6\) into \(y = -3x + 24\) gives \(y = -3(6) + 24 = 6\). The circumcenter is at \((6, 6)\).
(c) Find the squared distance from \(H(5, 6)\) to each tower: \(HA^2 = (5-2)^2 + (6-8)^2 = 9 + 4 = 13 \implies HA = \sqrt{13} \approx 3.61\text{ km}\); \(HB^2 = (5-8)^2 + (6-10)^2 = 9 + 16 = 25 \implies HB = 5\text{ km}\); \(HC^2 = (5-4)^2 + (6-2)^2 = 1 + 16 = 17 \implies HC = \sqrt{17} \approx 4.12\text{ km}\). Since \(HA\) is the shortest distance, Tower \(A\) is the closest.
(d) The distance is \(HA = \sqrt{13} \approx 3.61\text{ km}\).

評分準則

(a) M1 for finding midpoint (5, 9), M1 for finding gradient 1/3, M1 for perpendicular gradient -3, A1 for final equation \(y = -3x + 24\).
(b) M1 for setting the two linear equations equal, M1 for solving for \(x\), A1 for \(x = 6\), A1 for \(y = 6\).
(c) M1 for attempting to use the distance formula, A1 for calculating distances (e.g., \(\sqrt{13}\), \(5\), \(\sqrt{17}\)), A1 for concluding Tower A is closest.
(d) M2 for identifying the distance as \(\sqrt{13}\), A2.71 for the final value 3.61.
題目 3 · Long-response
15.71
The daily average temperature, \(T\) (\(^{\circ}\text{C}\)), and the number of cups of hot chocolate sold, \(C\), at a local café were recorded over 8 days:
\(T\): 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14, 16, 18
\(C\): 110, 95, 80, 75, 55, 45, 30, 20
(a) Find the mean temperature, \(\bar{T}\), and the mean number of cups sold, \(\bar{C}\). [2 marks]
(b) Write down the product-moment correlation coefficient, \(r\), for this data. [2 marks]
(c) Describe the correlation between \(T\) and \(C\). [1 mark]
(d) Find the equation of the regression line of \(C\) on \(T\) in the form \(C = aT + b\). [3 marks]
(e) Use your regression line to estimate the number of cups of hot chocolate sold on a day when the average temperature is \(11^{\circ}\text{C}\). [2 marks]
(f) State, with a reason, whether this estimate is reliable. [2 marks]
(g) The café owner wants to predict sales when the temperature is \(25^{\circ}\text{C}\). Explain why the regression line may not be appropriate for this prediction. [3.71 marks]
查看答案詳解

解題

(a) \(\bar{T} = \frac{4+6+8+10+12+14+16+18}{8} = 11\). \(\bar{C} = \frac{110+95+80+75+55+45+30+20}{8} = 63.75 \approx 63.8\).
(b) Using a GDC, the product-moment correlation coefficient is \(r \approx -0.997\) (or exact \(-0.996839\)).
(c) There is a very strong, negative linear correlation.
(d) Using a GDC, the linear regression line is \(C = -6.43T + 134.46\) (or \(C = -6.43T + 134\) to 3 significant figures).
(e) When \(T = 11\), \(C = -6.42857(11) + 134.464 = 63.75 \approx 64\) cups.
(f) The estimate is highly reliable because \(11^{\circ}\text{C}\) lies within the range of the original data (interpolation) and the correlation coefficient is extremely high in magnitude.
(g) Using \(T = 25^{\circ}\text{C}\) involves extrapolation (predicting outside the range of given data), which is unreliable because the linear trend may not continue (for instance, the model would predict negative cups of hot chocolate sold, which is physically impossible).

評分準則

(a) A1 for \(\bar{T} = 11\), A1 for \(\bar{C} = 63.8\) (or 63.75).
(b) A2 for \(r \approx -0.997\) (accept -0.996 to -1.00).
(c) A1 for 'strong negative' (both words required).
(d) M1 for recognizing linear regression, A1 for slope \(a \approx -6.43\), A1 for intercept \(b \approx 134\).
(e) M1 for substituting 11 into their equation, A1 for \(63.8\) or 64.
(f) R1 for mentioning interpolation / within data range, R1 for pointing out the very strong correlation.
(g) R2 for identifying this as extrapolation / outside range, R1.71 for discussing the physical/logical limitation (e.g., sales cannot be negative).
題目 4 · Long-response
15.71
Amelia purchases a car costing $25,000. She takes out a loan for the entire amount at an interest rate of 6.5\% per annum, compounded monthly, to be repaid over 5 years in equal monthly installments.
(a) Calculate the value of her monthly payment. [4 marks]
(b) Find the total amount Amelia will pay for the car. [2 marks]
(c) Find the total interest paid over the life of the loan. [2 marks]
(d) After 3 years (exactly 36 payments), Amelia decides to pay off the remaining balance of the loan in one lump sum. Calculate the remaining balance of the loan. [4 marks]
(e) If Amelia had instead invested $20,000 in a savings account offering 4.8\% per annum compounded quarterly, calculate the value of her investment after 5 years. [3.71 marks]
查看答案詳解

解題

(a) Using the TVM Solver on a GDC: \(N = 60\), \(I\% = 6.5\), \(PV = 25000\), \(FV = 0\), \(P/Y = 12\), \(C/Y = 12\). Solving for \(PMT\) gives \(PMT = -489.15\). Thus, the monthly payment is $489.15.
(b) Total amount paid: \(489.15 \times 60 = \$29,349.00\).
(c) Total interest: $29,349.00 - $25,000.00 = $4,349.00.
(d) To find the remaining balance after 36 payments, use TVM Solver with \(N = 36\), \(I\% = 6.5\), \(PV = 25000\), \(PMT = -489.15\), \(P/Y = 12\), \(C/Y = 12\). Solving for \(FV\) gives \(FV = -10981.18\). Thus, the remaining balance is $10,981.18.
(e) For the savings account: \(PV = 20000\), \(I\% = 4.8\), \(N = 5 \times 4 = 20\) quarters, \(P/Y = 4\), \(C/Y = 4\). Using GDC TVM Solver or formula \(FV = 20000(1 + 0.048/4)^{20} \approx 25387.74\). The value of the investment is $25,387.74.

評分準則

(a) M2 for setting up TVM Solver parameters (e.g. \(N=60\), \(I=6.5\), etc.), A2 for \(PMT = \$489.15\) (accept $489.15 or $489.14 depending on rounding).
(b) M1 for \(489.15 \times 60\), A1 for $29,349.00.
(c) M1 for subtracting 25000 from their part (b), A1 for $4,349.00.
(d) M2 for updating TVM parameters for \(N = 36\) (or using remaining \(N = 24\)), A2 for $10,981.18 (accept $10,981.02 depending on exact PMT rounding).
(e) M1 for compounding quarterly setup, A1 for \(N = 20\), A1.71 for $25,387.74.
題目 5 · Long-response
15.71
The temperature, \(T\) (\(^{\circ}\text{C}\)), of a hot drink \(t\) minutes after being poured is modeled by the function \(T(t) = A e^{-kt} + 20\), where \(t \ge 0\), and \(A\) and \(k\) are positive constants. The initial temperature of the drink is \(85^{\circ}\text{C}\).
(a) Show that \(A = 65\). [2 marks]
(b) After 5 minutes, the temperature of the drink is \(60^{\circ}\text{C}\). Find the value of \(k\), giving your answer correct to 4 decimal places. [4 marks]
(c) Find the temperature of the drink after 15 minutes. [2 marks]
(d) Write down the temperature the drink approaches as \(t\) becomes very large. [2 marks]
(e) Write down the rate at which the temperature is decreasing at \(t = 10\). [5.71 marks]
查看答案詳解

解題

(a) Since the initial temperature is \(85^{\circ}\text{C}\), \(T(0) = 85 \implies A e^{0} + 20 = 85 \implies A + 20 = 85 \implies A = 65\).
(b) At \(t = 5\), \(T(5) = 60 \implies 65 e^{-5k} + 20 = 60 \implies 65 e^{-5k} = 40 \implies e^{-5k} = \frac{40}{65} = \frac{8}{13}\). Taking natural logs on both sides: \(-5k = \ln\left(\frac{8}{13}\right) \approx -0.485508 \implies k \approx 0.0971\) (to 4 decimal places).
(c) Substituting \(t = 15\) and \(k = 0.0971\): \(T(15) = 65 e^{-15(0.0971)} + 20 \approx 35.2^{\circ}\text{C}\).
(d) As \(t \to \infty\), \(e^{-kt} \to 0\). Thus, \(T(t) \to 20^{\circ}\text{C}\).
(e) The rate of change of temperature is given by the derivative \(T'(t) = -k A e^{-kt} = -0.0971 \times 65 e^{-0.0971 t}\). At \(t = 10\), \(T'(10) = -0.0971 \times 65 e^{-10(0.0971)} \approx -2.39^{\circ}\text{C/min}\). The rate of decrease is \(2.39^{\circ}\text{C/min}\).

評分準則

(a) M1 for setting \(T(0) = 85\), A1 for showing \(A = 65\).
(b) M1 for setting up the equation \(65 e^{-5k} + 20 = 60\), M1 for simplifying to \(e^{-5k} = \frac{8}{13}\), M1 for taking natural logs, A1 for \(k \approx 0.0971\).
(c) M1 for substituting \(t=15\), A1 for \(35.2^{\circ}\text{C}\) (or \(35.1^{\circ}\text{C}\) using exact \(k\)).
(d) A2 for \(20^{\circ}\text{C}\).
(e) M2 for attempting to differentiate \(T(t)\), A2 for \(T'(t) = -6.3115 e^{-0.0971 t}\), M1 for substituting \(t = 10\), A0.71 for the rate of decrease of \(2.39^{\circ}\text{C/min}\).
題目 6 · Long-response
15.71
A particle moves along a straight line such that its velocity \(v\) (in \text{m s}^{-1}) at time \(t\) seconds is given by \(v(t) = 3t^2 - 12t + 9\) for \(0 \le t \le 4\).
(a) Find the times when the particle is momentarily at rest. [3 marks]
(b) Find the initial acceleration of the particle. [3 marks]
(c) Find the total distance traveled by the particle in the first 3 seconds. [5 marks]
(d) Determine the displacement of the particle from its starting position at \(t = 4\). [4.71 marks]
查看答案詳解

解題

(a) The particle is at rest when \(v(t) = 0 \implies 3t^2 - 12t + 9 = 0 \implies 3(t^2 - 4t + 3) = 0 \implies 3(t-1)(t-3) = 0\). Thus, \(t = 1\) s and \(t = 3\) s.
(b) Acceleration \(a(t) = v'(t) = 6t - 12\). The initial acceleration is at \(t = 0 \implies a(0) = 6(0) - 12 = -12\text{ m s}^{-2}\).
(c) The particle changes direction at \(t = 1\) and \(t = 3\). The displacement function is \(s(t) = \int (3t^2 - 12t + 9)\text{d}t = t^3 - 6t^2 + 9t + c\). Let \(s(0) = 0\). Then \(s(1) = 4\) and \(s(3) = 0\). The total distance is \(|s(1) - s(0)| + |s(3) - s(1)| = |4 - 0| + |0 - 4| = 4 + 4 = 8\text{ m}\).
(d) The displacement at \(t = 4\) is \(s(4) - s(0) = (4^3 - 6(4^2) + 9(4)) - 0 = 64 - 96 + 36 = 4\text{ m}\).

評分準則

(a) M1 for setting \(v(t) = 0\), M1 for factoring or quadratic formula, A1 for \(t = 1\) and \(t = 3\) (both needed).
(b) M1 for differentiating \(v(t)\) to find \(a(t) = 6t - 12\), M1 for substituting \(t = 0\), A1 for \(-12\text{ m s}^{-2}\).
(c) M1 for realizing integration is needed, M1 for dividing interval at \(t = 1\), M1 for correct integration to \(t^3 - 6t^2 + 9t\), A1 for calculating intermediate positions 4 and 0, A1 for sum of absolute distances = 8 m.
(d) M2 for definite integral \(\int_{0}^{4} (3t^2 - 12t + 9)\text{d}t\), A2.71 for final answer 4 m.
題目 7 · Long-response
15.71
The masses of apples in an orchard are normally distributed with a mean of 150 g and a standard deviation of 20 g.
(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected apple has a mass between 130 g and 170 g. [3 marks]
(b) Apples with a mass less than 110 g are classified as 'small'. Find the percentage of apples classified as 'small'. [3 marks]
(c) The heaviest 10\% of apples are classified as 'premium'. Find the minimum mass required for an apple to be classified as 'premium'. [4 marks]
(d) A sample of 5 apples is selected at random. Find the probability that exactly 2 of them are classified as 'premium'. [5.71 marks]
查看答案詳解

解題

(a) Let \(X \sim N(150, 20^2)\). We want to find \(P(130 < X < 170)\). Using GDC normalCDF(130, 170, 150, 20), we get \(0.682689 \approx 0.683\).
(b) We want to find \(P(X < 110)\). Using GDC normalCDF(-\infty, 110, 150, 20), we find \(0.02275\). Expressing this as a percentage: \(2.28\%\).
(c) We want to find the value \(x\) such that \(P(X > x) = 0.10 \implies P(X \le x) = 0.90\). Using inverse normal on GDC: \(x = \text{invNorm}(0.90, 150, 20) \approx 175.63\text{ g}\). Rounding to the nearest gram, the minimum mass is 176 g.
(d) Let \(Y\) be the number of premium apples in a sample of 5. This follows a binomial distribution \(Y \sim B(5, 0.10)\). We need to find \(P(Y = 2) = \binom{5}{2} (0.10)^2 (0.90)^3 = 10 \times 0.01 \times 0.729 = 0.0729\).

評分準則

(a) M2 for normal distribution setup, A1 for 0.683 (or 68.3\%).
(b) M2 for finding \(P(X < 110)\), A1 for 2.28\% (accept 2.27\% to 2.28\%).
(c) M2 for writing the inverse normal statement \(P(X < x) = 0.90\), A1 for finding 175.63, A1 for rounding to 176 g.
(d) M2 for identifying Binomial distribution with \(n = 5\) and \(p = 0.10\), M2 for binomial formula or GDC binomialPDF setup, A1.71 for 0.0729.

Paper 3

Answer both questions in the answer booklet provided. Start each question on a new page. Working should be shown.
2 題目 · 55
題目 1 · Extended case-study
28
A bike-sharing system in a small city has three main stations: A, B, and C. The movement of bikes between these stations at the end of each day is modeled as a Markov chain.

For bikes at Station A, at the end of each day:
- 60% stay at Station A
- 20% are moved to Station B
- 20% are moved to Station C

For bikes at Station B:
- 20% are moved to Station A
- 60% stay at Station B
- 20% are moved to Station C

For bikes at Station C:
- 10% are moved to Station A
- 30% are moved to Station B
- 60% stay at Station C

(a) Write down the transition matrix \(T\) for this system, where the state vector is defined as \(\mathbf{x}_n = [A_n, B_n, C_n]^T\). [2]

Suppose initially on Monday morning (Day 0) there are 360 bikes in total, distributed as 160 at Station A, 100 at Station B, and 100 at Station C.

(b) Find the number of bikes at each station on:
(i) Tuesday morning (Day 1).
(ii) Wednesday morning (Day 2). [4]

(c) Find the steady-state distribution of the 360 bikes. [5]

To manage potential congestion at Station B, the city council decides to implement a redistribution process. At the end of each day, after the natural movement described by \(T\) occurs, a team transfers 10% of the bikes from Station B to Station A, and 5% of the bikes from Station B to Station C. The remaining 85% of the bikes at Station B stay at Station B.

(d)
(i) Show that the matrix representing this redistribution process is \(R = \begin{pmatrix} 1 & 0.10 & 0 \\ 0 & 0.85 & 0 \\ 0 & 0.05 & 1 \end{pmatrix}\). [2]
(ii) Find the combined daily transition matrix \(M = R T\). [3]

(e) Find the new steady-state distribution of the 360 bikes under this combined model, rounding your answers to one decimal place. [5]

(f) The cost of moving each bike from Station B to Station A is $3.50, and from Station B to Station C is $2.00.
(i) Determine the expected number of bikes at Station B at the end of the day before the redistribution takes place, under steady-state conditions of the combined model. [3]
(ii) Calculate the expected daily cost of this redistribution process. [2]
(iii) The bike-sharing system operates 365 days a year. The city council has an annual budget of $22,000 for bike redistribution. Determine if this budget is sufficient, justifying your answer. [2]
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解題

(a) From the probabilities given, we write the transition matrix \(T\) by reading the destination stations down columns (origin stations):
\(T = \begin{pmatrix} 0.6 & 0.2 & 0.1 \\ 0.2 & 0.6 & 0.3 \\ 0.2 & 0.2 & 0.6 \end{pmatrix}\).

(b)
(i) Tuesday morning (Day 1):
\(\mathbf{x}_1 = T \mathbf{x}_0 = \begin{pmatrix} 0.6 & 0.2 & 0.1 \\ 0.2 & 0.6 & 0.3 \\ 0.2 & 0.2 & 0.6 \end{pmatrix} \begin{pmatrix} 160 \\ 100 \\ 100 \end{pmatrix} = \begin{pmatrix} 126 \\ 122 \\ 112 \end{pmatrix}\).
So there are 126 bikes at A, 122 at B, and 112 at C.
(ii) Wednesday morning (Day 2):
\(\mathbf{x}_2 = T \mathbf{x}_1 = \begin{pmatrix} 0.6 & 0.2 & 0.1 \\ 0.2 & 0.6 & 0.3 \\ 0.2 & 0.2 & 0.6 \end{pmatrix} \begin{pmatrix} 126 \\ 122 \\ 112 \end{pmatrix} = \begin{pmatrix} 111.2 \\ 132 \\ 116.8 \end{pmatrix}\).
So there are 111.2 (or 111) bikes at A, 132 at B, and 116.8 (or 117) at C.

(c) At steady-state, \(T \mathbf{x} = \mathbf{x}\) where \(x_A + x_B + x_C = 360\). This yields:
\(-0.4 x_A + 0.2 x_B + 0.1 x_C = 0\)
\(0.2 x_A - 0.4 x_B + 0.3 x_C = 0\)
\(0.2 x_A + 0.2 x_B - 0.4 x_C = 0\)
From the third equation: \(x_C = 0.5(x_A + x_B)\).
Substituting into the first equation: \(-0.4 x_A + 0.2 x_B + 0.05 x_A + 0.05 x_B = 0 \implies 0.25 x_B = 0.35 x_A \implies x_B = 1.4 x_A\).
Then \(x_C = 0.5(x_A + 1.4 x_A) = 1.2 x_A\).
Since \(x_A + x_B + x_C = 360\):
\(x_A + 1.4 x_A + 1.2 x_A = 360 \implies 3.6 x_A = 360 \implies x_A = 100\).
Thus, \(x_B = 140\) and \(x_C = 120\).

(d)
(i) The redistribution equations are:
\(x_{A,\text{new}} = x_{A,\text{old}} + 0.10 x_{B,\text{old}}\) (100% of A's bikes stay, 10% of B's are added)
\(x_{B,\text{new}} = 0.85 x_{B,\text{old}}\) (85% of B's bikes stay)
\(x_{C,\text{new}} = 0.05 x_{B,\text{old}} + x_{C,\text{old}}\) (5% of B's bikes are added, 100% of C's bikes stay)
In matrix form \(\mathbf{x}_{\text{new}} = R \mathbf{x}_{\text{old}}\), this gives:
\(R = \begin{pmatrix} 1 & 0.10 & 0 \\ 0 & 0.85 & 0 \\ 0 & 0.05 & 1 \end{pmatrix}\).
(ii) \(M = R T = \begin{pmatrix} 1 & 0.10 & 0 \\ 0 & 0.85 & 0 \\ 0 & 0.05 & 1 \end{pmatrix} \begin{pmatrix} 0.6 & 0.2 & 0.1 \\ 0.2 & 0.6 & 0.3 \\ 0.2 & 0.2 & 0.6 \end{pmatrix} = \begin{pmatrix} 0.62 & 0.26 & 0.13 \\ 0.17 & 0.51 & 0.255 \\ 0.21 & 0.23 & 0.615 \end{pmatrix}\).

(e) To find the new steady-state, we solve \(M \mathbf{x} = \mathbf{x}\) subject to \(x_A + x_B + x_C = 360\). Using GDC or solving the systems of equations:
\(x_A \approx 119.7\)
\(x_B \approx 109.6\)
\(x_C \approx 130.7\)

(f)
(i) Let \(\mathbf{y}\) be the state of the bikes before redistribution. We have \(\mathbf{x}_{steady} = R \mathbf{y}\). Looking at the second row:
\(x_{B, steady} = 0.85 y_B \implies y_B = \frac{109.565}{0.85} \approx 128.9\) bikes.
(ii) Number of bikes moved to A: \(0.10 \times 128.9 = 12.89\).
Number of bikes moved to C: \(0.05 \times 128.9 = 6.445\).
Daily cost \(= (12.89 \times 3.50) + (6.445 \times 2.00) \approx 45.115 + 12.89 = \$58.01\).
(iii) Annual cost \(= 365 \times 58.01 \approx \$21,173.65\). Since \(\$21,173.65 < \$22,000\), the budget is sufficient.

評分準則

(a)
M1: Attempt to write down transition matrix with entries in correct positions.
A1: Correct transition matrix \(T\). [2 marks]

(b)
M1: Method to find \(\mathbf{x}_1\).
A1: Correct results for Tuesday: 126 at A, 122 at B, 112 at C.
M1: Method to find \(\mathbf{x}_2\).
A1: Correct results for Wednesday: 111.2 at A, 132 at B, 116.8 at C. [4 marks]

(c)
M1: Setting up steady-state matrix equation \(T \mathbf{x} = \mathbf{x}\).
M1: Translating to a system of equations.
M1: Utilizing constraint \(x_A + x_B + x_C = 360\).
A1: Solving for ratios (e.g., \(x_B = 1.4 x_A\)).
A1: Correct steady-state distribution: 100 at A, 140 at B, 120 at C. [5 marks]

(d)
(i) R1: Explaining that since 15% leave B, 85% remain at B.
A1: Constructing equations for the transition \(\mathbf{x}_{\text{new}} = R \mathbf{x}_{\text{old}}\) to show the rows of \(R\).
(ii) M1: Setting up matrix multiplication \(R T\).
A2: Correctly calculated matrix \(M\) (award A1 for 1 or 2 correct rows). [5 marks]

(e)
M1: Attempting to solve \(M \mathbf{x} = \mathbf{x}\).
M1: Applying the constraint \(x_A + x_B + x_C = 360\).
A1: \(x_A \approx 119.7\).
A1: \(x_B \approx 109.6\).
A1: \(x_C \approx 130.7\). [5 marks]

(f)
(i) M1: Realizing relationship \(\mathbf{x}_{steady} = R \mathbf{y}\).
M1: Writing the equation \(x_{B, steady} = 0.85 y_B\).
A1: Finding \(y_B \approx 128.9\).
(ii) M1: Setting up the cost calculation \((0.10 y_B \times 3.50) + (0.05 y_B \times 2.00)\).
A1: Correct daily cost: \(\$58.01\) (accept \(\$58.00\)).
(iii) M1: Setting up the annual cost calculation \(365 \times 58.01\).
R1: Correctly comparing with budget and making a valid conclusion. [7 marks]
題目 2 · Extended case-study
27
Biologists model the population of fish, \(P(t)\) (in thousands), in a lake over time \(t\) (in years). When no harvesting takes place, the rate of change of the fish population is modeled by the logistic differential equation:
\(\frac{dP}{dt} = 0.5 P \left(1 - \frac{P}{10}\right)\)

(a) Show that this differential equation has two equilibrium solutions, state their stability, and explain their physical meaning. [3]

To control the population and support local commerce, fish are harvested at a rate of \(h\) thousand fish per year, leading to the modified differential equation:
\(\frac{dP}{dt} = 0.5 P \left(1 - \frac{P}{10}\right) - h\)

(b) Assuming a constant harvesting rate of \(h = 0.8\), find the two equilibrium populations of the fish. [4]

(c) Under this constant harvesting rate of \(h = 0.8\):
(i) Describe the long-term behavior of the fish population if the initial population is \(P(0) = 1.5\), and if the initial population is \(P(0) = 5\).
(ii) Determine the minimum initial population of fish required to prevent the population from eventually dying out. [4]

(d) Find the maximum sustainable constant harvesting rate, \(h_{\text{max}}\), such that the population does not inevitably go extinct for all initial populations, and state the corresponding equilibrium population. [3]

To better protect the ecosystem, the biologists propose a variable harvesting rate that changes with the season and the current population:
\(h(t) = 0.1 P(t) \cos^2(\pi t)\)
This results in the differential equation:
\(\frac{dP}{dt} = 0.5 P \left(1 - \frac{P}{10}\right) - 0.1 P \cos^2(\pi t)\)

(e) Given an initial population of \(P(0) = 4\), use Euler's method with a step size of \(\Delta t = 0.25\) to estimate the fish population at \(t = 0.75\). Show all your intermediate calculations. [6]

(f) The biologists want to estimate the total number of fish harvested over the first two years (from \(t = 0\) to \(t = 2\)). The total number of fish harvested, \(H\) (in thousands), is given by:
\(H = \int_{0}^{2} h(t) \, dt = \int_{0}^{2} 0.1 P(t) \cos^2(\pi t) \, dt\)
To simplify the calculation, they assume that for the first two years, the population remains approximately constant at its average value, \(\bar{P} \approx 4.5\).
(i) Under this assumption, write down the definite integral representing the estimated total harvest \(H\). [2]
(ii) Use the identity \(\cos^2(\theta) = \frac{1 + \cos(2\theta)}{2}\) to find the exact value of this integral, and hence find the estimated number of fish harvested. [3]
(iii) State one limitation of the assumption that \(P(t)\) is constant when estimating the total harvest. [2]
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解題

(a) Set \(\frac{dP}{dt} = 0 \implies 0.5 P \left(1 - \frac{P}{10}\right) = 0\). This gives two equilibrium solutions: \(P = 0\) and \(P = 10\).
- \(P = 0\) is unstable: if \(P > 0\), then \(\frac{dP}{dt} > 0\), and the population grows away from 0. Physically, it is the extinction state.
- \(P = 10\) is stable: if \(0 < P < 10\), then \(\frac{dP}{dt} > 0\) (population increases toward 10); if \(P > 10\), then \(\frac{dP}{dt} < 0\) (population decreases toward 10). Physically, this represents the carrying capacity of the lake (10,000 fish).

(b) For \(h = 0.8\), we solve \(0.5 P - 0.05 P^2 - 0.8 = 0 \implies 0.05 P^2 - 0.5 P + 0.8 = 0\).
Multiplying by 20: \(P^2 - 10P + 16 = 0 \implies (P - 2)(P - 8) = 0\).
Thus, the equilibrium solutions are \(P = 2\) (2,000 fish) and \(P = 8\) (8,000 fish).

(c)
(i) If \(P(0) = 1.5\), then since \(1.5 < 2\), \(\frac{dP}{dt} < 0\), meaning the population continuously decreases and goes extinct (approaches 0).
If \(P(0) = 5\), then since \(2 < 5 < 8\), \(\frac{dP}{dt} > 0\), meaning the population increases and asymptotically approaches the stable carrying capacity of \(P = 8\) (8,000 fish).
(ii) The threshold to survive is the unstable equilibrium; hence, the minimum initial population must be strictly greater than 2 (2,000 fish).

(d) For equilibria, \(0.05 P^2 - 0.5 P + h = 0\).
To prevent extinction for all starting populations above the threshold, we must have real roots. The maximum sustainable constant rate occurs when the quadratic has exactly one real root (the vertex).
Using the discriminant: \(\Delta = (-0.5)^2 - 4(0.05)h = 0 \implies 0.25 - 0.2h = 0 \implies h = 1.25\) (1,250 fish per year).
The corresponding equilibrium population is \(P = -\frac{-0.5}{2(0.05)} = 5\) (5,000 fish).

(e) Let \(f(t, P) = 0.5 P - 0.05 P^2 - 0.1 P \cos^2(\pi t)\). We use \(t_0 = 0\), \(P_0 = 4\), and \(\Delta t = 0.25\).
- Step 1: at \(t = 0\):
\(f(0, 4) = 0.5(4) - 0.05(16) - 0.1(4)\cos^2(0) = 2 - 0.8 - 0.4 = 0.8\).
\(P_1 = P_0 + \Delta t \times f(0, 4) = 4 + 0.25(0.8) = 4.2\).
- Step 2: at \(t = 0.25\):
\(f(0.25, 4.2) = 0.5(4.2) - 0.05(17.64) - 0.1(4.2)\cos^2(\pi/4) = 2.1 - 0.882 - 0.21 = 1.008\).
\(P_2 = P_1 + \Delta t \times f(0.25, 4.2) = 4.2 + 0.25(1.008) = 4.452\).
- Step 3: at \(t = 0.5\):
\(f(0.5, 4.452) = 0.5(4.452) - 0.05(4.452^2) - 0.1(4.452)\cos^2(\pi/2)\).
Since \(\cos(\pi/2) = 0\), the last term is 0.
\(f(0.5, 4.452) = 2.226 - 0.05(19.8203) = 1.23498\).
\(P_3 = P_2 + \Delta t \times f(0.5, 4.452) = 4.452 + 0.25(1.23498) \approx 4.761\).
Thus, the estimated population at \(t = 0.75\) is approximately 4.761 thousand fish (or 4,761 fish).

(f)
(i) Substituting \(P(t) \approx 4.5\):
\(H \approx \int_{0}^{2} 0.1(4.5) \cos^2(\pi t) \, dt = 0.45 \int_{0}^{2} \cos^2(\pi t) \, dt\).
(ii) Applying the double-angle identity:
\(\int_{0}^{2} \cos^2(\pi t) \, dt = \int_{0}^{2} \frac{1 + \cos(2\pi t)}{2} \, dt = \left[ \frac{t}{2} + \frac{\sin(2\pi t)}{4\pi} \right]_{0}^{2} = (1 + 0) - (0) = 1\).
Thus, \(H \approx 0.45 \times 1 = 0.45\) thousand fish (or 450 fish).
(iii) One limitation is that \(P(t)\) is not constant in reality; as seen in part (e), it changes continuously, which means this model ignores the correlation between fluctuations in fish population and seasonal changes (cosine term) over time.

評分準則

(a)
M1: Setting \(\frac{dP}{dt} = 0\).
A1: Finding \(P = 0\) and \(P = 10\).
R1: Describing the stability and explaining physical meanings. [3 marks]

(b)
M1: Setting up equation with \(h=0.8\).
M1: Rearranging into standard quadratic form.
A2: Finding correct equilibrium populations: \(P=2\) and \(P=8\). [4 marks]

(c)
A1: Explaining extinction for \(P(0)=1.5\).
A1: Explaining asymptotic growth to 8 for \(P(0)=5\).
M1: Correct rationale for the threshold.
A1: Identifying \(P=2\) (2,000 fish) as the minimum initial population. [4 marks]

(d)
M1: Establishing condition for tangent/vertex of the parabola.
M1: Setting discriminant \(\Delta = 0\).
A1: Correct maximum harvest rate \(h_{\text{max}} = 1.25\) and population \(P = 5\). [3 marks]

(e)
M1: Correct use of Euler's formula.
M1: Step 1 calculations yielding \(P(0.25) = 4.2\).
M1: Step 2 calculations yielding \(f(0.25, 4.2) = 1.008\).
A1: Step 2 final value \(P(0.5) = 4.452\).
M1: Step 3 calculations yielding \(f(0.5, 4.452) = 1.23498\).
A1: Step 3 final value \(P(0.75) \approx 4.761\). [6 marks]

(f)
(i) A1: Substituting \(P(t) = 4.5\).
A1: Writing down correct definite integral. [2 marks]
(ii) M1: Applying cosine double-angle identity.
M1: Finding the antiderivative.
A1: Finding \(H = 0.45\) (450 fish). [3 marks]
(iii) R1: Identifying that the population \(P(t)\) is dynamic (or not constant).
R1: Describing the limitation (such as ignoring the interaction of population cycles with seasonal harvesting rates). [2 marks]

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