Cambridge IAS-Level · 分析与预测

2026 Cambridge IAS-Level History (9489) 历年真题分析与预测

The May/June 2026 AS Level History series (Components 12 and 22) maintains Cambridge's rigorous standard for source evaluation and structured historical analysis. Paper 1 requires disciplined cross-referencing and provenance evaluation across challenging primary sources, while Paper 2 demands multi-causal explanation and balanced, thematic essay judgements across standard syllabus options.

更新: 2026年9月23日

分析模拟试题

难度 3.4/5

总分

100

时间

160 分钟

最高频考点

Source-based document evaluation and causal essay analysis across European, American, and International 19th/20th-century options.

分卷

卷一 Document Question (9489/12): 40 分 · 75 分钟卷二 Outline Study (9489/22): 60 分 · 105 分钟

重点章节

Russia from autocracy to revolution, 1881–1924 · 40 分The Civil War and Reconstruction, 1820–77 · 40 分France, 1774–1814 · 30 分

Overall Exam Verdict

The 2026 series for Cambridge International AS Level History (9489) provides an accessible yet rigorous test of disciplinary historical skills. Across both Paper 1 (Document Question) and Paper 2 (Outline Study), questions adhere strictly to standard syllabus themes, avoiding niche factual traps while demanding precise historical contextualisation and rigorous analytical structure.

Where the Marks Are Won

Success in Paper 1 centres on the dual demands of Part (a) (15 marks) and Part (b) (25 marks):

Part (a) Comparative Precision: Candidates must identify direct points of agreement and disagreement between two specific sources before explaining why these differences exist using provenance and historical context.
Part (b) Hypothesis Testing: Grouping the four sources clearly into support and challenge sides, evaluating their reliability in context, and formulating a synthesised concluding judgement is essential to reach Level 4 and Level 5 (16–25 marks).

In Paper 2, the 10-mark Part (a) questions reward candidates who explain at least two or three distinct causal factors and explore links between them to reach Level 4 (9–10 marks). For the 20-mark Part (b) essays, sustained top-band marks require a balanced debate with direct counter-arguments supported by precise factual evidence, culminating in a nuanced, qualified conclusion.

Examiner Pitfalls & Traps

Source Paraphrasing: Summarising sources sequentially without direct side-by-side thematic comparison caps Part (a) responses at Level 1 or 2.
Generic Provenance Tagging: Simply asserting that a source is biased because it is a political speech or propaganda without explaining how its specific motive alters its historical value fails to secure Level 4/5 evaluation marks.
Descriptive Essay Narratives: On Paper 2 essays, lapsing into chronological storytelling rather than sustaining an analytical focus directly responding to the prompt leads to lower band scores.

Exam Strategy & Revision Forecast

For Paper 1, practice cross-referencing source pairs under timed conditions (allocating approximately 25 minutes to Part (a) and 50 minutes to Part (b)). For Paper 2, structure essays around defined thematic categories (economic, political, social, diplomatic) and ensure each body paragraph explicitly evaluates the prompt's validity.

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图表

章节分数分布

快速找出分数最集中在哪些考点，优先分配复习时间。

以上考点分数合计 290 分，但已分析的试卷共 100 分。部分题目可能被重复计算或遗漏，数字仅供参考。

题型分布

比较不同题型的占分，了解试卷结构和答题比重。

Source Comparison (卷一 Part a)15 分 · 3 题
Source Hypothesis Testing (卷一 Part b)25 分 · 3 题
Causal Explanation Essay (卷二 Part a)20 分 · 9 题
Evaluative Outline Essay (卷二 Part b)40 分 · 9 题

分数难度分布

估算哪些分数属于基础分、进阶分或高难度分。

75%属较易或中等难度

较易: 30 分中等: 45 分较难: 25 分

历年难度趋势

比较历年难度，判断今年是否明显偏难或偏易。

指令词频率

留意常见指令词，避免答题方向错配。

技能比重

显示本届试卷主要考核的能力比例。

复习回报

越高代表占分越多，越靠左代表越容易。优先复习又高又靠左的考点。

Source Provenance & Contextual Evaluation (Paper 1)

40 分 · 难度 3.5

Balanced Historiographical Judgement (Paper 2 Part b)

40 分 · 难度 3.8

Origins and Consequences of 19th/20th Century Conflicts

30 分 · 难度 3

Causal Linkages & Multi-Factor Explanations (Paper 2 Part a)

20 分 · 难度 2.5

时间与分数

比较每部分的分数和建议作答时间，帮助安排考场节奏。

分分钟

下一年趋势预测

整理下一年较值得关注的考点，以及背后的原因。这些只是根据历年试题的推测，并非预告。

Italian Foreign Policy & the Abyssinian Crisis (International Option)

With Manchuria and Anschluss tested in this paper, the Italian invasion of Abyssinia and the League's sanctions mechanism are key overdue topics in Section C.

Origins of the First World War and Alliances (European Option)

Having focused heavily on the French Revolution and German Unification in recent Series 22 papers, 19th-century imperial rivalries and the outbreak of WW1 are highly overdue in European Paper 2.

The New Deal Legislation and Opposition (American Option)

After examining the 1920s lack of regulation and the social impacts of the Depression, detailed assessment of Second New Deal reforms and Supreme Court resistance remains a primary candidate for upcoming sessions.

累积分数阶梯

曲线显示逐题累积的分数，虚线为各等级的估算分界；有本年分数线时，会与下方表格一致。看曲线在哪一题附近越过你的目标等级，就知道要稳答到第几题、哪些题目决定升降级。

跨年度考点热度

按年度比较考点热度，找出常考或回归概率较高的内容。

Jun 2023 (V2)

Jun 2024 (V2)

Nov 2024 (V3)

Jun 2025 (V1)

Jun 2025 (V2)

Nov 2025 (V1)

Nov 2025 (V2)

Jun 2026 (V1)

Jun 2026 (V2)

European option: Modern Europe, 1750–1921 (Papers 1 and 2)

33.3

International option: International history, 1870–1945 (Papers 1 and 2)

33.4

American option: The history of the USA, 1820–1941 (Papers 1 and 2)

33.3

Russia from autocracy to revolution, 1881–1924

The Civil War and Reconstruction, 1820–77

Imperialism and the emergence of world powers, c.1870–1918

France, 1774–1814

Liberalism and nationalism in Germany, 1815–71

The Gilded Age and the Progressive Era, 1870–1920

The Great Crash, the Great Depression and the New Deal, 1920–41

考官重点

AI 推断

常见失分点

Treating sources sequentially in Paper 1 Part (a) rather than offering a direct, point-by-point comparative synthesis.
Listing source provenance mechanically (e.g. 'Source B is biased because Lenin wrote it') without demonstrating how the author's purpose shapes the evidence.
Writing purely descriptive, narrative accounts in Paper 2 Part (a) rather than grouping and explaining explicit causal factors.
Failing to build a balanced counter-argument in Paper 2 Part (b) before asserting a final historical judgement.

常见误区

Assuming that any difference in perspective between sources means one source is completely false or historically invalid.
Believing that explaining multiple causes in Paper 2 Part (a) is sufficient for top marks without demonstrating how those causes interact or link.
Confusing the 1934 failed Anschluss attempt with the successful 1938 Anschluss in the International Option.

失分原因

Losing Level 4/5 in Paper 1 Part (b) due to evaluating only two or three sources instead of addressing all four sources in the set.
Failing to provide specific factual supporting evidence (dates, legislation names, statistics) in Paper 2 Part (b) essays.
Writing a rushed or purely summary conclusion that merely repeats the essay introduction rather than weighing conflicting evidence.

等级分数线估算

更新: 2026年9月23日

来源: Cambridge International grade thresholds (official)

等级	分数	百分比
A	62/100	62%
B	54/100	54%
C	48/100	48%
D	42/100	42%
E	37/100	37%

Official grade boundaries published by Cambridge International grade thresholds (official).

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